© FIRMA EVK1-CT Conclusions What have we learned? Was it a good course? What next? What have we learned? Was it a good course? What next?

© FIRMA EVK1-CT What have we (I) learned? Regional applications –Control, scarcity, quality –Complicated institutions and stakeholders –Problems not yet clear (compare Barcelona) –Space important, but not always

© FIRMA EVK1-CT Hydrology and models Uncertainty, even in water balls Interaction between hydrological issues and political issues Models as abstractions Multi-level models Modelling as a language

© FIRMA EVK1-CT Integrated assessment ‘The’ cultural theory Participatory approach Property rights, equity and efficiency Appropriate level of complication of model –Detailed hydrology? –Abstract role-playing game?

© FIRMA EVK1-CT An evaluation of the course Course is an innovation for a project of this kind Certainly increased mutual understanding –And understanding of varied expertise and backgrounds Syllabus often not clear –Learning objectives –Review of area –Summary Order of presentations not ideal

© FIRMA EVK1-CT What next? Course on the web… –Presentations to Claire Developing relationships with stakeholders Gathering data about regional applications –Meta-descriptions Simple (pilot) models for discussion

© FIRMA EVK1-CT Things we ought to read SIRCH working paper on institutions (circulated) Wooldridge, Michael (1999) Intelligent agents, in G. Weiss (ed.) Multiagent systems Cambridge: MIT Press, p Integrated assessment: a bird’s eyes view & Uncertainty in integrated assessment, both at Rotmans, Jan. and van Asselt (1997) Perspectives on Uncertainty. Global Environmental Change Janssen,M. and Jager, W (1999) An integrated approach to simulating behavioural processes, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol 2, no. 2, Russell, S and Norvig, P, Artificial Intelligence: a modern approach, 1998 (2nd ed.), Prentice Hall Nilsson, Nils J. (1998) Artificial intelligence: a new synthesis. Morgan Kaufmann. Gilbert, Nigel and Troitzsch, Klaus, G. (1999), Simulation for the Social Scientist Milton Keynes: Open University Press. Bunge, Mario (1978) The Furniture of the World, A treatise in basic philosophy, vol 4. Dordrecht:Kluver. Jacques Ferber, Systèmes Multi-agents Gilbert, Nigel (1995) Emergence in social simulation, in Nigel Gilbert and Rosaria Conte, Artificial Societies. London: UCL Press.

© FIRMA EVK1-CT Thanks to… Nils Flavie Olivier Cebenna you Nils Flavie Olivier Cebenna you

© FIRMA EVK1-CT Next meeting 5-8 September, Zurich Concluding reports from WP1.1, 1.2, 1.3 Detailed plans for WP2, 3, 4