Terminator-Based Television Property Future Derivative Series With the lack of success of THE SARA CONNOR CHRONICLES, the property would likely need to.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Fin351: lecture 5 Other Investment Criteria and Free Cash Flows in Finance Capital Budgeting Decisions.
Advertisements

© Mcgraw-Hill Companies, 2008 Farm Management Chapter 17 Investment Analysis.
CAPITAL BUDGETING CHAPTER 11 Decision Rules Reinvestment Rate Assumptions Sensitivity Analysis.
1 Making Investment Decisions Lecture 2 Fall 2010 Advanced Corporate Finance FINA 7330 Ronald F. Singer.
Chapter 17 Investment Analysis
Cost-Volume-Profit Analysis and Planning
Other Investment Criteria and Free Cash Flows in Finance
Incremental Cash Flows
4. Project Investment Decision-Making
Finance Competency For CFM Exam. Overview Operating & Capital Budgeting General Financial Concepts Management Accounting Principles Procurement Life Cycle.
Capital Budgeting Continued Overview: (1) Estimating cash flows (2) CB examples (3) Dealing with uncertainty of cash flows Chapter 7: 1,5,6,7,34,38 Chapter.
Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter 13 Measuring and Evaluating Financial Performance.
Fin351: lecture 4 Other Investment Criteria and discounted Cash Flow Analysis Capital Budgeting Decision.
26 - 1©2002 Prentice Hall, Inc. Business Publishing Accounting, 5/E Horngren/Harrison/Bamber Chapter 26 Special Business Decisions and Capital Budgeting.
Part 3: Effective Advertising Media Chapter 9
Finance June 2012.
CONFIDENTIAL Sony Pictures Entertainment Summary Overview April 2010.
Costs and Revenues The webinar will cover: Calculating contribution
Chapter six Variable Costing: A Tool for Management.
Fundamentals of Corporate Finance, 2/e ROBERT PARRINO, PH.D. DAVID S. KIDWELL, PH.D. THOMAS W. BATES, PH.D.
Confidential Draft Embassy Row Acquisition Overview November 2007.
Week 10 DIFD 321 Accounting & Finance. WHAT IS MARKETING? The action or business of promoting and selling products or services, including market research.
Investment Analysis Lecture: 7 Course Code: MBF702.
APPENDIX MID RANGE PLAN FISCAL YEARS 2012–2015 SEPTEMBER 8, 2011.
Confidential Draft Overview of Potential Reality TV Partnerships March 2008.
1 EGGC4214 Systems Engineering & Economy Lecture 2 Cost Concepts and Economic Environment.
1 Cash Flows and Other Topics in Capital Budgeting Chapter 10.
Chapter 19 Capital Budgeting Basic Concepts I. Cash flow Cash inflow+Cash outflow = Net cash flow Cash surplus/ Cash deficit.
Lecture 5 Project Analysis Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Managerial Finance FINA 6335 Ronald F. Singer.
The Measurement Fundamentals of Financial Accounting Presentations for Chapter 3 by Glenn Owen.
On Target Group Coaching
Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter 13 Measuring and Evaluating Financial Performance.
Confidential Draft Game Show/Reality Format Business November 2007 DRAFT AS OF:
Bell Ringer What is the total price of an item that is $102.30, if the sales tax rate is 6%?
April 27 th, 2011 Period 1.  Ceo Alan Newman and CFO Mark Cohen founded Newmark Productions in  Newmark maintains offices in New York and Los.
Energy Economics A synthetic methane plant from coal is to be constructed at a cost of $4 billion dollars. It requires 14,000 tons/day of coal (10,000.
CONFIDENTIAL Relativity TV Slate Financing Proposal Summary March 4, 2008.
Sony Pictures Entertainment and Sony Network Entertainment: Project Update: Crackle Plus February 13, 2012.
Pro Forma Income Statement Projected or “future” financial statements. The idea is to write down a sequence of financial statements that represent expectations.
Lecture 7 and 8 Rules of Capital Budgeting Corporate Finance FINA 4332 Ronald F. Singer Fall, 2010.
CONFIDENTIAL SPE Monetization Opportunities April 2010 DRAFT.
Newmark Productions Summary. Fast Facts CEO Alan Newman and CFO Mark Cohen founded Newmark Productions in Newmark maintains offices in New York.
Calculating Break Even When will you be independent?
Factors that Makeup Prices Analyzing Revenues, Costs, & Expenses.
Scheduling Strategies How DO they do it?. Some TV Terminology LEAD OFF Beginning the evening with an especially strong program. Networks routinely move.
Cost-Volume-Profit Relationships Chapter 6. © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2003 McGraw-Hill/Irwin The Basics of Cost-Volume- Profit (CVP) Analysis.
Animation Channel Strategic Evaluation. 1 I.Executive Summary II.Animation Market Overview III.Potential Financials Agenda.
FINANCIAL PLANNING Business Studies Calculating revenue, costs and profit.
College Bowl Round #4. Question #1 As a producer of automobiles, you are currently importing parts from Mexico. If you were to expand sales of automobiles.
Chapter 3 Economics in the United States 3.3. Profit Profit is the money a business or person makes after expenses have been paid. Profits are very important.
Confidential Draft Embassy Row Acquisition Overview November 2007 DRAFT AS OF:
Television is a business like any other. The goal is to make money, not entertain the masses. Television – tele –far, vision -sight.
Ceo Alan Newman and CFO Mark Cohen founded Newmark Productions in Newmark maintains offices in New York and Los Angeles and currently employs more.
Confidential Draft Game Show/Reality Format Business November 2007.
Financial management: lecture 7 Free Cash Flows in Finance Calculate future cash flows.
10 Project analysis McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Overview of Sony Pictures Television Networks Materials Presented to Sony Corporation’s Board of Directors July 18, 2011.
Budget Planning, Implementation and Monitoring Second Step: Building the Projections – Corporate Approach Chris Droussiotis September 2011 Lecture Series.
ENGL 6750/7750 Film Studies Movies vs. Television July 17, 2013.
Using Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions Project Analysis By : Else Fernanda, SE.Ak., M.Sc. ICFI.
Confidential Draft Game Show/Reality Format Business November 2007.
CONFIDENTIAL Grouper Acquisition Opportunity Financial Overview August 2006.
Analysis of Cost- Volume Pricing to increase profitability Chapter 3.
CONFIDENTIAL Relativity Scripted Series Financing Proposal Summary.
COST–VOLUME–PROFIT ANALYSIS: ADDITIONAL ISSUES
Cash Flow Estimation Byers.
Factors that Makeup Prices
Lecture 7 Capital Budgeting Complications
SINGLE CAMERA PRODUCTION
Cash Flow Estimation Byers.
Presentation transcript:

Terminator-Based Television Property Future Derivative Series With the lack of success of THE SARA CONNOR CHRONICLES, the property would likely need to be rested before attempting to develop and sell a new derivative series. A new TV series would most likely air on cable rather than broadcast. Without the specifics of a new derivative series (cast, story line, network, budget, etc.) a generic 1-hour cable series could roughly approximate the economic opportunity: –First season loss of $1m to $5m. –A successful 5-season series could generate $35m in nominal profit before overhead. Discounted cash flow at 16% is break even [assuming 3 year rest before airing?] –Approximately only 1/3 of original scripted cable series are “successful” and survive 4 or more seasons [strike this bullet] –A highly successful 5-season sci-fi series could generate up to $75m in nominal profit before overhead. Discounted cash flow is $18m. [assuming 3 year rest before airing?] –These figures don’t assume any extraordinary costs associated with acquisition of rights. Sci-fi series likely cost more due to special effects, costumes and action sequences. These additional expenses do not have a direct correlation to additional revenue generation.

Generic 1-Hour Scripted Cable Series A generic 1-hour cable series with strong international appeal can generate $34m before allocated overhead. Discounted cash flow is break-even before any extraordinary rights acquisitions costs. Cable success rate is approximately 1/3. Sci-fi series would likely cost more than a standard 1-hour series likely decreasing profits. [shouldn’t NPV on 3 year rest be worse??]

Generic 1-Hour Scripted Cable Series Highly Successful Scenario An uncommonly successful 1-hour cable series can generate $75m in profit. Discounted cash flow is $18m assuming the property is rested. Assumptions: International TV Sales - $1.5m / episode (top end of int’l sales model.) DVD of 450k units / season. The top two sci-fi series on DVD sold 550k units / season (BATTLESTAR GALACTICA) and 435k units / season (STARGATE SG-1)

Terminator-Based Television Property TERMINATOR: THE SARA CONNOR CHRONICLES Series had strong premiere ratings on FOX, but ratings quickly declined resulting in cancellation partially through it’s second season with a total of 31 episodes. –Premiere Rating: 7.7 A18-49 –Season 1 Average Rating: 4.4 A18-49 –Season 2 Average Rating: 1.7 A18-49 DVD was a modest success - season 1 has sold 150k units. –Successful sci-fi series have sold far more DVD units: BATTLE STAR GALACTICA has sold 2.2m units over 4 seasons (550k units / season) and STARGATE SG-1 has sold 3.9m units over 9 seasons (435k units / season) The producing studio (Warner Bros.) likely realized a loss on this project. Given the experience of THE SARA CONNOR CHRONCILES, it appears as though the TERMINATOR brand does not appear to enhance the potential for success for a derivative series.