Concepts and tools BONUS BalticAPP: Wellbeing from the Baltic Sea – applications combining natural science and economics, 2015 – 2018.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Adaptation – learning from case studies for adaptation policies and sustainable development Habiba Gitay World Resources Institute Climate,

Advertisements

A modelling framework for assessing adaptive management options of Finnish agrifood systems to global change R.P. Rötter 1 *, H. Lehtonen 2, H. Kahiluoto.

Why economic valuation of Hima can be useful

Sabina L. Shaikh University of Chicago Economic Valuation of Ecosystems Conference May 29, 2009 Ecosystems and Economics: Progress and Optimism for the.

Bringing Ecosystems to the Forefront of the Water-Energy-Food Nexus Discussion IUCN/IWA/UNEP Side Event at Nexus 2014 Conference, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.

Rainfed and Basin SRP linkages Simon Langan. Water, Land and Ecosystems Water Surface Groundwater Irrigated/rainfed Demand/supply –Physical –Economic.

AIACC Regional Study AS07 Southeast Asia Regional Vulnerability to Changing Water Resources and Extreme Hydrological due to Climate Change.

Master Narratives & Global Climate Change Charlie Vars Dave Bella Court Smith IPCC January 29, 2013.

© CommNet 2013 Education Phase 3 Sustainable food production.

Scientific Advice for the Management of Transboundary Marine Eutrophication.

Global Food Security Sustainable Futures Challenge 27 April 2015 Dr Will Simonson Coordinator, GFSI Global Food Security a Strategic Research Initiative.

SPICOSA Training Support Pack The economic dimension in the SAF Material produced by Johanna D’Hernoncourt 1.

Conclusions: Diversity and Ecosystem Function

Professor John Agard UWI Environment in Development.

Reducing nutrient loadings from agricultural soils to the Baltic Sea via groundwater and streams Soils2Sea team Partner Logo.

How to value ecosystem goods and services in agriculture at increasing land use pressure ? Katarina Hedlund Lund university, Sweden.

The model Modelling best practice in SEA a 10-step presentation.

Millennium Assessment (MA) 2003 Typology of Ecosystem Goods and Services Regulating Benefits obtained from regulation of ecosystem processes climate regulation.

Valuation Discussion: Motivation, Concepts and Methods Emily McKenzie and Shan Ma.

Common Agricultural Policy - FoEE FoEE meeting Monor May 2009 o Europe is a big player o CAP is at the heart of EU food system o What is FoEE going to.

Results: Test-run in the Willamette Basin Some areas provide higher levels of services than others. The agriculture and timber maps show dollar values—high.

South Eastern Latin America LA26: Impact of GC on coastal areas of the Rio de la Plata: Sea level rise and meteorological effects LA27: Building capacity.

Understanding „the nexus“ in the MENA region Holger Hoff Stockholm Environment Institute Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Beirut, 22 January.

Food security… ... exists when all people, at all times, have physical, social and economic access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food to meet their.

Climate, Development, Energy, and Finance Tariq Banuri Stockholm Environment Institute.

Staffan Lund Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SLU Ola Palm JTI – Swedish Institute of Agricultural and Environmental Engineering.

Yaqui Valley Land-Water System WaterAgriculture Industry Wetlands Aquaculture Urban Fisheries + Marine Estuaries + Fisheries Climate  (sea level, precip)

Thinking in Terms of Social- Ecological Systems: Connecting climate change impacts to human communities Miranda H. Mockrin Rocky Mountain Research Station.

Soil carbon in dynamic land use optimization models Uwe A. Schneider Research Unit Sustainability and Global Change Hamburg University.

The Implementation of Land and Ecosystem Accounts in Europe Towards integrated land and ecosystem accounting Roy Haines-Young, University of Nottingham.

Professor Philip Lowe Newcastle University Director of UK Research Councils’ Rural Economy and Land Use Programme Researching Environment - Society Relations.

Investment in Sustainable Natural Resource Management (focus: Agriculture) increases in agricultural productivity have come in part at the expense of deterioration.

Dr Richard Johnson, Mountain Environments, UK.  Lead Partner: Germany: Research Institute of Forest Ecology and Forestry  Partner countries: Germany,

Tradeoff Analysis and Minimum-Data Modeling John Antle Jetse Stoorvogel Workshop on Adaptation to Climate Change, Nairobi September

Adaptation Baselines Through V&A Assessments Prof. Helmy Eid Climate Change Experts (SWERI) ARC Egypt Material for : Montreal Workshop 2001.

Summary of Recommendations on Data Availability, Access and Use by Leisa Perch MACC PDF-B Technical Coordinator, Organization of American States.

Monitoring and Modelling in the Malé Declaration Kevin Hicks Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), UK Bangkok, March 2008 Malé Declaration 6 th Monitoring.

How to value ecosystem goods and services in agriculture at increasing land use pressure ? Katarina Hedlund Lund university, Sweden.

The Environment, Green Growth & Agriculture Horsens, Denmark, 5 June 2012 Simon Upton Director OECD Environment Directorate For more information, see

Water Framework Directive and the SRDP Jannette MacDonald Land Unit, SEPA.

Transboundary River Basins: Status and Trends A global, comparative, indicator-based assessment Paul Glennie.

Georgia Climate Change Summit antruth Al Gore: an inconvenient truth IPCC: 4th Assessment Report 2007 Nobel Peace Prize.

1 Bringing Global Thinking to Local Sustainability Efforts: A Collaborative Project for the Boston Region James Goldstein Tellus Institute.

Long-Term River Basin Planning: GA-LP Approach Daene McKinney Center for Research in Water Resources University of Texas at Austin Ximing Cai International.

Jamboree, October 19-22, 2015, Oostende, Belgium Nutrients in the Danish part of the North Sea EMODnet Chemistry Martin M. Larsen & Jonas K. Rømer, Aarhus.

Scientific Plan Introduction –History of LBA Background –Definition of Amazon –7 Themes with achievements Motivation for Phase II –Unresolved questions.

The scale of the water resource challenge Professor Kevin Hiscock School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia

Vulnerability Assessment by Nazim Ali Senior Research Fellow Global Change Impact Studies Centre Islamabad, Pakistan.

© Natural Resources Institute Finland Heini Ahtiainen Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke) HOLAS II Workshop, 30 September.

Millennium Assessment (MA) 2003 Typology of Ecosystem Goods and Services Regulating Benefits obtained from regulation of ecosystem processes climate regulation.

Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services at the CSIR. © CSIR What is biodiversity? Biological diversity – the variety and richness of plant.

Global Environmental Change Changes in the biophysical environment caused or strongly influenced by human activities Land cover & soils Atmospheric composition.

What are the key issues around land use & what are the trade-offs between food security and GHG mitigation objectives on the land? Pete Smith ClimateXChange.

Taking on the Challenge Addressing Sustainability and Nutrient Loss Reduction Strategy Goals Caroline Wade, Nutrient Watershed Manager Illinois Corn Growers.

Lecture 3. Coastal Resilience 30 January Leading Discussions Feb 6 th : Coastal Policy – Ian, Rose, Jaclyn Feb 13 th : Coastal Development, Recreation,

- Proposed actions, targets and indicators to reach the objectives

SLCP Benefits Toolkit:

Model Summary Fred Lauer

Challenges in a Changing World

Water and the Green Economy: The EEA perspective

Urban floods and environmental impact

4.1.5 The potential impact on society and outdoor environments of land degradation, introduced species, climate change, urbanisation and other significant.

Fredrik Wulff Systems Ecology Stockholm University, Sweden

SEEA as a framework for assessing policy responses to climate change

Swedish Environmental Protection Agency

Environmental modeling application domains

EC Workshop on European Water Scenarios Brussels 30 June 2003

A three steps assessment

Challenges in a Changing World

Floodplains: important ecosystems and mitigators of flood risks

Presentation transcript:

Concepts and tools BONUS BalticAPP: Wellbeing from the Baltic Sea – applications combining natural science and economics, 2015 – 2018.

(1) University of Helsinki, Finland (UH), Prof Kari Hyytiäinen (2) Aarhus University, Denmark (AU), Dr Marianne Zandersen (3) Kiel Institute of the World Economy, Germany (IfW), Prof Katrin Rehdanz (4) Natural Resources Institute Finland (LUKE), Prof Eija Pouta (5) Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Sweden (SMHI), Prof Markus Meier (6) Stockholm University, Sweden (SU), Dr Bo Gustafsson (7) University of Warsaw, Poland (UW), Prof Mikołaj Czajkowski

DRIVING FORCES: 1.Global climate projections downscaled to the Baltic Sea Drainage Basin, Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), IPCC 2.Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for climate (SSPs) translated as regional challenges to mitigate eutrophication and manage fisheries in the Baltic sea, IPCC & IIASA

PRESSURES: 1.Nutrient loads (agriculture, waste water, other point sources, air pollution, etc.) 2.Fisheries effort

Farmer profit Y=px-c Farmer profit Y=px-c Amounts of production animals (cows, pigs, chicken) Inorganic N fertization Inorganic P fertization Other abatement measures inc catch crops, buffer zones, soil preparation, liming Stock of nutrients in soil Wetlands Nutrients to the sea Price of electricity (eurostat, f(RCP)) Food price f(RCP, population, etc) Global supply of P not scarce yet, but may become locally scarce in case of ”Rocky road” narrative Global supply of P not scarce yet, but may become locally scarce in case of ”Rocky road” narrative Reg & glob popul. (IIASA projections) Reg & glob popul. (IIASA projections) Consumption patterns (source?) Land prices Climate change, temporal distribution of rainfall, f(RCP) AGRICULTURE Technical progress, innovation f(SSP) source??

STATE: Projections for , physical-biogeochemical RCO-SCOBI model (Meier et al.)

Impact on wellbeing: This information is obtained by studying the demand for ecosystem services: Environmental and ecosystem service valuation Existing data (BalticSTERN) & novel valuation study benefit functions for changes in the provision of cultural ecosystem services & provisioning services (fish catches) Link the benefits to the trajectories of sea state (variables of the 3D model -> cost-benefit analysis

Response: Paths of nutrient abatement needed to reach and maintain GES Cost-benefit analysis: is GES realistic, reachable or affordable?

STATE GES BASELINE POLICY

Provision of ecosystem services and as response to environmental change (Eva Ehrnsten & Alf Norkko) Demonstration: Raymond biochemistry lab, Yale

PRODUCTS:  Long-term projections (pressures, state of the sea, costs & benefits) Baseline projections (with alternative socioeconomic pathways) Policy projections (effort needed to reach and maintain GES)  Maps non-use and recreation benefits linked to scenarios spatially explicit recreation sites describing the value of current and future projected values of recreation  Mobile application Recreation hotspots