Recall that an asset is a piece of property that is a store of value. Items such as money, bonds, stocks, art, land, hauses, farm equipment, and manufacturing.

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Presentation transcript:

Recall that an asset is a piece of property that is a store of value. Items such as money, bonds, stocks, art, land, hauses, farm equipment, and manufacturing machinery are all aasets. Facing the question of whether to buy and hold an asset or wether to buy one asset rather than another, an individual must consider the following factors: 1. Wealth, the total resources owned by the individual, including all assets 2. Expected return (the return expected over the next period) on one asset relative to alternative assets

3. Risk (the degree of uncertainty associated with the return) on one asset relative to alternative assets 4. Liquidity (the ease and speed with wich an asset can be turned into cash) relative to alternative assets. Theory of Asset Demand All the determining factors we have just discussed can be assembled into the theory of asset demand, which states that, holding all of the other factors constant: 1. The quantity demanded of an asset is positively related to wealth

2. The quantity demanded of an asset is positively related to its expected return relative to alternative assets 3. The quantity demanded of an asset is negatively related to the risk of its returns relative to alternative assets 4. The quantity demanded of an asset is positively related to its liquidity relative to alternative assets

Tabel 1 : Response of the Quantity of an Asset Demanded to Changes in Wealth, Expected Returns, Risk, and Liquidity Change in Variable Change in Variable QD Wealth Expected return relative to other assets Risk relative to other assets Liquidity relative to other assets

Demand Curve This means that expected return on this bond is equal to the interest rate i, wich, using Equation 6 in Chapter 4, is i = R = e F - P P Where i = interest rate = yield to maturity R = Expected return F = face value of the discount bond P = initial purchase price of the discount bond e If the bond sells for $950, the interest rate and expected return are : = 0.053=5.3% $ 1,000 - $ 950 $ 950

A B C D E B d I H G F Price of Bonds, P($) 1000 (i=0%) 950 (i=5,3%) 900 (i=11.1%) P = 850 (I = 17,6%) 800 (i=25.0%) 750 (i=33.0%) Quantity of Bonds, B ($billions)

At a price of $900,the interest rate and expected return is $ 1,000 - $ 900 $900 = = 11.1% Supply Curve  We use the same assumption in deriving a supply curve, wich shows the relationship between the quantity supplied and the price when all other economic variables are held costant.  The B curve, which connects these point, is the supply curve for bonds.  It has the usual upward slope found in supply curves, indicating that as the price increases(everything else being equal), the quantity supplied increases. s

Market Equilibrium  In economics, market equilibrium occurs when the amount that people are willing to buy (demand) equals the amount the people are willing to sell (supply) at a given price  In the bond market, this is achieved when the quantity of bonds demanded equals the quantity of bonds supplied: B = B d s

The theory of asset demand demonstrated at the beginning of the chapter provides a framework for deciding which factors cause the demand curve for bonds to shift. These factors include changes in four parameters: 1.Wealth 2.Expected returns on bonds relative to alternative assets 3.Risk of bonds relative to alternative assets

Tabel 2: Factors That Shift the Demand Curve for Bonds Variable Change in variable Change in Quantity Demanded at Each Bond Price Shift in Demand Curve Wealth Expected interest rate Expected inflation Riskiness of bonds relative to other assets Liquidity of bonds relative to other assets P P P P P

A B C D E A B C D E B dd 12 Quantity of Bonds, B Price of Bonds, P

Shifts in the Supply of Bonds  Certain factors can cause the supply curve for bonds to shift, among them these: 1. Expected profitability of investment oppurtunities 2. Expected inflation 3. Government budget

Changes In Equilibrium Interest Rates in The Liquidity Preference Framework  Income Effect  Price Level Effect  Expected Inflation Effect