CYCLES AND TRANSITIONS (II) Global Factors, International Forces.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Modern Latin America (1945 to Present). Mexico “The Mexican Miracle” (period of economic growth) 1946 Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI)

Advertisements

Post-Communist Political Development in Russia Jennifer Neufeld PS5293.

CYCLES AND TRANSITIONS. READING Smith, Democracy, Introduction + chs. 1-2, 4 Modern Latin America, chs. 3, 5 (Mexico, Cuba) Magaloni, “Demise of Mexico’s.

11 Why Are Developing Countries so Resistant to the Rule of Law? Barry R. Weingast Stanford University.

PS 134AA: COMPARATIVE POLITICS OF LATIN AMERICA, or DEMOCRACY AND DEMOCRATIZATION IN LATIN AMERICA Spring 2011.

Today’s Topics Pacts and Transitology 1.Example of South African pact. 2.Characteristics and components of pacts. 3.Analysis of transition model. 4.Group.

INSTITUTIONS OF DEMOCRACY Presidentialism, Parties, and Legislatures.

MID-TERM STUDY GUIDE PS 134AA/Spring TIME AND PLACE Wednesday, May 4 Classroom 5:00-6:30 p.m. Closed-book exam Bring blue books and pens/pencils.

Transitions to Democracy in Latin America Prof. Angelina Godoy.

AUTHORITARIANISM AND DEMOCRACY. READINGS MLA, ch. 13 (“Dynamics of Political Transformation”) MLA Website, Document 14 (Rigoberta Menchú)

MILITARY AND POLICE REFORM IN CHILE 3/29/2010. Civilian Control Over the Military and Democracy  Rule of Law  Guarantees during non-election times 

WHAT NOW? Democracy and U.S.-Latin American Relations.

LIBERAL AND ILLIBERAL DEMOCRACY. READINGS Smith, Democracy, chs

PS 134AA: COMPARATIVE POLITICS OF LATIN AMERICA, or DEMOCRATIZATION IN LATIN AMERICA Spring 2004 Peter H. Smith.

Democracy spreads to Latin America and Africa Enduring Understandings 1.Long-standing cultural and religious differences and conflicts are still evident.

Political Culture Where does it come from? What difference does it make?

Democratic Civil-Military Relations US-Japan Conference on Myanmar March 25, 2015.

Chapter 35 The End of the Cold War and the Shape of a New Era: World History

Democratization in Asia Causes, Processes, and Consequences.

Chapter 11: The Less Developed Countries. Thinking About the Third World Interdependence Sites of “Western” resources and battles.

Part Two: Sovereignty, Authority & Power

Democracy spreads to Africa Enduring Understandings 1.Long-standing cultural and religious differences and conflicts are still evident in the post-colonial.

Conceptual Approach to Comparative Government & Politics.

Modern Latin America (1945 to Present). Mexico “The Mexican Miracle” (period of economic growth) 1946 Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI)

DEMOCRATIC TRANSITION IN MEXICO 3/1/2010. PHASE 1: Transitional Democracy  Breakdown of the old regime  Transition to democratic forms, procedures 

POLI 134AA FALL 2014 COMPARATIVE POLITICS OF LATIN AMERICA: DEMOCRACY AND DEMOCRATIZATION.

Will China Democratize?. Waves of Democratization ``A group of transitions from nondemocratic to democratic regimes that occur within a specified period.

Part Two: Sovereignty, Authority & Power “Sovereignty is not given, it is taken.” -- Kemal Ataturk (Turkish soldier) “I have as much authority as the Pope,

PRESIDENTIALISM AND REPRESENTATION INSTITUTIONS OF DEMOCRACY.

The Prospects for Global Democracy Sylvia Espinoza, Ai Morimoto, Midori Araki, Xi Jia, Risa Takahashi International Studies 190 Professor Peter Smith April.

Waves of Democracy Ideas of Samuel P. Huntington.

COMPARATIVE POLITICS OF LATIN AMERICA: DEMOCRACY AND DEMOCRATIZATION POLI 134AA Spring 2012.

POLI 134AA SPRING 2014 COMPARATIVE POLITICS OF LATIN AMERICA: DEMOCRACY AND DEMOCRATIZATION.

RUSSIA. Thinking About Russia The Basics –Diversity Russia and 14 other former Soviet states The Russian Federation is the world’s largest country,

Mexico PRI-Institutional Revolutionary Party, a one party system that dominated most of 20th century. Political leaders chose candidate, citizens “voted”

The Politics of United States Foreign Policy. Politics and national interest Politics: Who gets what, when and how Competition for power and shared meaning.

PS 134AA: Comparative Politics of Latin America Course Summary and Study Guide.

Chapter AP* Sixth Edition World Civilizations The Global Experience World Civilizations The Global Experience Copyright ©2011, ©2007, ©2004 by Pearson.

WHAT NOW? Democracy and U.S.-Latin American Relations.

© Chapter 2: The New World Main Developments in American History.

Part Two: Sovereignty, Authority & Power “Sovereignty is not given, it is taken.” -- Kemal Ataturk (Turkish soldier) “I have as much authority as the Pope,

,. Upon completion of this seminar you will be able to:  Understand the diverse, dynamic interaction between political and economic institutions in developing.

Latin America in the 20 th Century Chapter 32. Mexico: Revolution  : Diaz’s repressive dictatorship Export economy w/ elite land ownership Foreign.

The Autogolpe del Peru under President Alberto Fujimori (1992) Saundra Ramirez.

Processes of Democratization The region has been immune to successful democratisation, but it has not been immune to processes of democratization. It is.

AUTHORITARIANISM AND DEMOCRACY

PERU POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT

The 1973 Coup in Chile A.W. Pereira 5/6/17.

Politics versus Policy: Technocratic Traps of Post-Soviet Reforms

Militaries in South American Politics

Chapter 11: The Less Developed Countries

The End of the Cold War From 1985 onward, the Soviet Union entered a period of intensive reform. Industrial production began to stagnate and drop in.

The End of the Cold War From 1985 onward, the Soviet Union entered a period of intensive reform. Industrial production began to stagnate and drop in the.

CHANGING ROLES OF THE MILITARY

Presentation for POL 328 Dr. Kevin Lasher

Development of Parties

INSTITUTIONS OF DEMOCRACY

University High School

MID-TERM STUDY GUIDE PS 134AA/Spring 2004.

AUTHORITARIANISM AND DEMOCRACY

AUTHORITARIANISM AND DEMOCRACY

-Dictatorship -Beginnings of Democracy -Modern Brazil Mexico -P.R.I.

AUTHORITARIANISM AND DEMOCRACY

CYCLES AND TRANSITIONS

Global Challenges of Comparative Politics

Chapter 35 The End of the Cold War and the Shape of a New Era: World History AP World History.

Authoritarianism.

Latin America: Revolution and Reaction into the 21st Century

On Supplementary Readings

The 1970’s and 1980’s.

Presentation transcript:

CYCLES AND TRANSITIONS (II) Global Factors, International Forces

Smith, Democracy, ch. 4 Degregori, “Peru: The Vanishing of a Regime and the Challenge of Democratic Rebuilding” Aguero, “Chile: Unfinished Transition and Increased Political Competition” READING ASSIGNMENTS

THIS EVENING’S PROGRAM Lecture/presentation Review/discussion of readings Film on Argentina (Garden of the Forking Paths)

DETERMINANTS OF DEMOCRATIC TRANSITIONS: DOMESTIC FACTORS Economic Development Social Forces/Class Coalitions Elite Negotiations and “Compacts”

DETERMINANTS OF DEMOCRATIC TRANSITIONS: INTERNATIONAL FACTORS Imperialism and Democracy Anti-Communist Crusades Optimism and Uncertainty: The 1990s Postscript: 9/11 and Its Aftermath

KEY IMPLICATIONS: 1.Age of Imperialism (negative influence: democracy proclaimed as a purpose, but in limited and secondary sense) 2.Cold War (extremely negative influence: democracy seen as a potential liability) s (neutral moderately positive: democracy no longer threatening) 4.Post 9/11 (negative again? democracy less important than alignment in war on terrorism)

TRANSITIONS OF THE 1990s: PERU AND CHILE

Degregori, “Peru: Vanishing of a Regime” Phase 1: Outsider within a Democratic Framework ( ) June 1990: Fujimori elected president Implosiont of political parties Focus on hyperinflation and terrorism April 1992: autogolpe September 1992: capture of Abimael Guzmán Phase 2: Authoritarianism Triumphant ( ) October 1993: ratification of new constitution April 1995: Fujimori re-elected Inattention to institutionalization (e.g., PRI) Weaknesses: nontransferable charisma, militarization of politics, lack of transparency

Phase 3: Permanent Reelection ( ) Exposure of Vladimir Montesinos December 1996: Seizure of Japanese ambassador’s residence Surge of popular dissidence Intimidation of media Appearance of new players: OAS mission and Alejandro Toledo Resistance and eventual collapse And Now?

Agüero, “Chile: Unfinished Transition” Uneven progress in 1990s: Steady progress on economy Occasional achievements in governance and public policy Lag in “political-institutional” realm—inability to bring transition to an end Argument: authoritarian legacy and manner of transition have had greater effects on Chile than in other countries of the region.

Ending the Transition? Competing Concepts Resolution of human rights problems Reconciliation: shared interpretation of 1973 coup Constitutional reform October 1998: arrest of Pinochet in London Decline in Concertación vote (presidential elections): % [first round] [second round]

CHILE: DEMOCRATIC HISTORY oligarchic non-democratic democratic non-democratic democratic

PERU: DEMOCRATIC HISTORY oligarchic 1914non-democratic oligarchic non-democratic semi-democratic democratic non-democratic

PERU [continued] democratic non-democratic democratic non-democratic democratic 1992non-democratic semi-democratic

ARGENTINA: DEMOCRATIC HISTORY oligarchic democratic non-democratic semi-democratic non-democratic democratic semi-democratic non-democratic

ARGENTINA [continued] semi-democratic 1962non-democratic semi-democratic non-democratic democratic non-democratic democratic