C O R P O R A T I O N Cincinnati Financial Credit Suisse Insurance Conference November 16, 2006 C O R P O R A T I O N.

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Presentation transcript:

C O R P O R A T I O N Cincinnati Financial Credit Suisse Insurance Conference November 16, 2006 C O R P O R A T I O N

Cincinnati Financial Jack Schiff, Jr., CPCU, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer J.F. Scherer, Senior Vice President – Sales & Marketing Marty Hollenbeck, CFA, Vice President – Investments Heather Wietzel, Vice President – Investor Relations C O R P O R A T I O N

Nasdaq: CINF  Today’s presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our various filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for factors that could cause results to materially differ from those discussed.  The forward-looking information in this presentation has been publicly disclosed, most recently on November 16, 2006, and should be considered to be effective only as of that date. Its inclusion in this document is not intended to be an update or reaffirmation of the forward-looking information as of any later date.  Reconciliations of non-GAAP and non-statutory data are available at

Regional Property Casualty Insurer Headquarters (no branches) Property Casualty Field Territories  Market capitalization of $8.1 billion  22nd largest publicly traded U.S. property casualty insurer based on revenues  Serving select group of agencies in 32 states  Market for 75% of agency’s typical risks  Well capitalized and highly rated with A.M. Best rating of A++

Confidence in the Long-term * See the Financials & Analysis tab of the Investors page of for non-GAAP and non-statutory reconciliation information.

Outlook: 2006 and Beyond  2006 outlook –Written premiums up at least 2% –GAAP combined ratio of 94% to 95%, catastrophe losses above 5.0% –Investment income growth in 8.0% to 8.5% range –Option expensing  And beyond –Sustain steady growth –Maintain industry-leading profitability –Accelerate investment income growth –Bring results to bottom line –Equity portfolio performance ahead of S&P 500 – resumption of book value growth

Distinguishing Cincinnati  Cultivate relationships with independent agents –Making decisions at the local level  Invest for long-term total-return –Covering insurance liabilities by purchasing fixed-maturity securities –Using available cash to purchase equity securities  Achieve claims excellence –Responding to reported claims –Reserving for not-yet paid or reported claims

Achieve Claims Excellence

Claims Philosophy  Respond to reported claims –750 claims representatives –Based in local communities –Serving agencies, policyholders and claimants  Headquarter claims supervisors averaging more than 25 years of experience

Total Statutory Reserve Balance Objective: modestly redundant reserves Property casualty group (In millions)

Cultivate Relationships with Independent Agents

Proven Agency-centered Business Strategy  Regional carrier –Wide range of property casualty coverages –Market for about 75% of agency’s typical risks  1,150 field associates assigned to agencies  Local agents place value on claims service, market stability, financial strength, access to executives –Cincinnati is #1 or #2 carrier in approximately 74% of reporting agency locations served for more than five years

Market for 75% of Agency’s Typical Risks Commercial Lines 71% Property Casualty Personal Lines 26% Percent of 2005 Consolidated Net Earned Premiums *Includes Machinery & Equipment Consolidated $3.164 Billion Property Casualty $3.058 Billion

Opportunities to Continue Strong Growth  Room to grow in marketplace  Continue to subdivide territories to improve service  Increase penetration of each agency’s business  Selectively appoint new agencies Property casualty insurance Net written premium growth * See the Financials & Analysis tab of the Investors page of for non-GAAP and non-statutory reconciliation information.

Adjusted statutory combined ratio* Balancing Growth with Profitability  Targeting FY 2006 GAAP combined ratio of 94% – 95% –Catastrophe losses could be above 5.0%  Leverage local knowledge/underwriting  Maintain low cost structure * See the Financials & Analysis tab of the Investors page of for non-GAAP and non-statutory reconciliation information

Invest for Long-term Total Return

Investment Philosophy  Cover current liabilities with fixed-income investments  Allocate new cash flow to equity securities, considering: –Insurance department regulations –Rating agency commentary –Common stock to statutory surplus ratio –Parent-company investment assets to total assets ratio  Equity investment offers potential for current income and capital appreciation

Portfolio Goals Income  Achieved with interest and dividends  Bond quality rising; municipals, agency paper  Large, long-term positions in proven, dividend-paying companies  Reinvest coupon payments  Compounding Growth  Long-term investment horizon  Increases surplus  Enhances book value and financial strength  Primarily achieved with common and convertible securities

Investment Portfolio Total-return focused As of September 30, 2006, in billions

Compounding Cash Flows Over the long term Investment income (In millions)  Pretax investment income provides primary source of profits and cash flow –Dividend increases from 38 equity holdings in the last 12 months = $15 million in annualized investment income  Surplus contributes to financial strength  Drives book value growth

Maintain Financial Strength  Property casualty surplus ratio of 0.7-to-1 vs. industry average 1.0-to-1 (12/31/05)  Only 1.7% of property casualty groups rated A++ by A.M. Best Senior DebenturesProperty CasualtyLife A.M. Bestaa-A++A+ FitchA+AA Moody’sA2Aa3-- S&PAAA-

C O R P O R A T I O N Cincinnati Financial C O R P O R A T I O N Jack Schiff, Jr., CPCU, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer J.F. Scherer, Senior Vice President – Sales & Marketing Marty Hollenbeck, CFA, Vice President – Investments Heather Wietzel, Vice President – Investor Relations

Enhancing Return to Shareholders  Focus on total return – appreciation plus dividends plus share repurchase –1.85 million shares repurchased in first-quarter 2006  11.8% 10-year compound growth of paid dividends ( )  9.8% increase in 2006 indicated annual cash dividend rate –46 th consecutive annual cash dividend increase Total Return Analysis December 31 totals

C O R P O R A T I O N Cincinnati Financial C O R P O R A T I O N Jack Schiff, Jr., CPCU, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer J.F. Scherer, Senior Vice President – Sales & Marketing Marty Hollenbeck, CFA, Vice President – Investments Heather Wietzel, Vice President – Investor Relations