Differentials in desires and realisation: 1st, 2nd and 3rd child Marion Burkimsher.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Centre for Market and Public Organisation Understanding the effect of public policy on fertility Mike Brewer (Institute for Fiscal Studies) Anita Ratcliffe.

Advertisements

The parenthood effect: what explains the increase in gender inequality when British couples become parents? Pia Schober London School of Economics.

The Economic Consequences of the Transition into Parenthood Wendy Sigle-Rushton Paper presented at the GeNet Seminar: Low Fertility in Industrialised Countries.

Transitions from independent to supported environments in England and Wales: examining trends and differentials using the ONS Longitudinal Study Emily.

Studying internal migrations with census microdata.

Grandparenting and health in Europe: a longitudinal analysis Di Gessa G, Glaser K and Tinker A Institute of Gerontology, Department of Social Science,

Fertility history and health in later life: A study among older women and men in the British Household Panel Survey Sanna Read and Emily Grundy Centre.

A comparison of the characteristics of childless women and mothers in the ONS Longitudinal Study Simon Whitworth Martina Portanti Office for National Statistics.

The baby-boomer generation and family support - a European perspective Jim OGG, Young Foundation, London and Caisse Nationale d’Assurance Vieillesse, Paris.

Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys Data dissemination and further analysis workshop Literacy Education MICS4 Data Dissemination and Further Analysis Workshop.

University ”Ss Cyril and Methodius” in Skopje INSTITUTE OF ECONOMICS Emigration of Macedonia to Switzerland – changes and current situation Verica Janeska.

Separation and intergenerational family obligations. Evidence from the Netherlands (and Flanders) 8th meeting of the European Network for the Sociological.

Contraceptive discontinuation in urban Honduras Janine Barden-O’Fallon, PhD Ilene Speizer, PhD University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, USA 29 September.

FENICs Female Employment and Family Formation in National Institutional Contexts Women’s Entry into Motherhood in France, Sweden, East and West Germany,

FENICs Female Employment and Family Formation in National Institutional Contexts Estimates of the Family Gap in Pay Research Objectives: Is there a penalty.

Uses of Population Censuses and Household Sample Surveys for Vital Statistics in South Africa United Nations Expert Group Meeting on International Standards.

Linking lives through time Marital Status, Health and Mortality: The Role of Living Arrangement Paul Boyle, Peteke Feijten and Gillian Raab.

European Immigration Classism: Attitudes toward “Good” and “Bad” Immigrants Dr. Rueyling Tzeng Research Fellow Institute of European and American Studies.

SITUATION ANALYSIS AND IDENTIFICATION OF NEEDS IN THE AREA OF FAMILY POLICY IN SLOVENIA Ružica Boškić Child Observatory Social protection Institute of.

Intergenerational contributions to childcare across Europe Alison Smith University of Edinburgh.

Centre for Market and Public Organisation Understanding the effect of public policy on fertility Mike Brewer (Institute for Fiscal Studies) Anita Ratcliffe.

HOME ALONE: DETERMINANTS OF LIVING ALONE AMONG OLDER IMMIGRANTS IN CANADA AND THE U.S. SHARON M. LEE DEPARTMENT OF SOCIOLOGY POPULATION RESEARCH GROUP.

DOES STEP-PARENTING INFLUENCE MENTAL HEALTH? Paul Boyle, Peteke Feijten, Zhiqiang Feng, Elspeth Graham, Vernon Gayle.

Religiosity and Demographic Events A Comparative Study of European Countries Caroline Berghammer, Dimiter Philipov VIENNA INSTITUTE OF DEMOGRAPHY (VID)

Native and immigrant fertility patterns in Greece: a comparative study based on aggregated census statistics and IPUMS micro-data Cleon Tsimbos 1, Georgia.

Are women in Europe still having babies? Marion Burkimsher University of Lausanne, Switzerland.

Centre for Market and Public Organisation Understanding the effect of public policy on fertility Mike Brewer (Institute for Fiscal Studies) Anita Ratcliffe.

Childlessness trends, religious trends: are they associated? Marion Burkimsher Affiliated to the University of Lausanne.

International Differences in Labor Market Status and Transitions During the Pre- Retirement Years James Banks Arie Kapteyn Jim Smith Arthur van Soest.

Old, Sick and Alone ? Living arrangements, health and well- being among older people RGS-IBG Annual International Conference London, 2006 Harriet Young.

Far and few between? The childbearing decisions of Portuguese women Author: Márton Varga Conference on the Impact of Day-Care Services in Visegrad Countries.

Statistics to Support Policies on Work and Life Balance Kyunghee Kim Employment Statistics Division Statistics Korea.

DLI Atlantic Workshop Carolyn DeLorey April 22, 2010.

Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Statistical Office FSO Balancing family and work in everyday life: a European comparison Dr. Katja Branger.

Time-invarying Covariates of Successive Births in Pakistan Ali Muhammad Ph.D. Candidate Department of Sociology University of Western Ontario London, Ontario.

Spacing of children in Switzerland: constancy or change? Marion Burkimsher Affiliated to University of Lausanne.

Living arrangements, health and well-being: A European Perspective UPTAP Meeting 21 st March 2007 Harriet Young and Emily Grundy London School of Hygiene.

Welfare Regimes and Poverty Dynamics: The Duration and Recurrence of Poverty Spells in Europe Didier Fouarge & Richard Layte Presented by Anna Manzoni.

First analyses using EFG data: investigations on childlessness Dr. Marion Burkimsher Affiliated to the University of Lausanne.

Malawi’s population is growing rapidly Source: National Statistics Office.

Centre for Market and Public Organisation Understanding the effect of public policy on fertility Mike Brewer (Institute for Fiscal Studies) Anita Ratcliffe.

Finding a job after unemployment: key factors in Russia and Germany Gladnikova Ekaterina (HSE, Moscow) Ketzmerick Thomas (ZSH, Halle) Malkova Maria (HSE,

Felicia Yang DeLeone, Institute for Children, Poverty and Homelessness Dona Anderson, Homes for the Homeless November 7, 2011 Child Care Use in Homeless.

A case study on divergence and convergence of fertility behaviour in Switzerland The value of detailed fertility data Dr Marion Burkimsher Universities.

The health of grandparents caring for their grandchildren: the role of early and mid-life conditions Karen Glaser, Giorgio Di Gessa, Anthea Tinker Age.

Survey on integration of migrants and their descendants « Life histories and family origins »

The health and wellbeing of grandparents caring for their grandchildren: The role of cumulative advantage / disadvantage Glaser K, Di Gessa G, and Tinker.

Figure 1. Trends in number of births and TFR: Japan, Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Vital Statistics, various years

GENDER STATISTICS Karin Winqvist, Eurostat

Living arrangements, health and well-being: A European Perspective UPTAP-ONS Meeting Southampton University 19 th December 2007 Harriet Young and Emily.

Modelling needs and resources of older people to 2030 LSHTM contribution and plans Resources: 15% of EG throughout (focussed some time periods) c. 12 months.

Women with small children in Russia: types of employment and labor market behavior strategies Anna Sukhova State University.

2010 World Programme on Population and Housing Censuses Workshop on Civil Registration and Vital Statistics in the UNESCWA Region Cairo, Egypt, December.

Was slowing postponement really the engine for TFR rises in European countries? Marion Burkimsher Affiliate researcher University of Lausanne, Switzerland.

Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. Settlement Size and Fertility in the Nordic Countries Hill Kulu, Andres Vikat and Gunnar Andersson.

Measuring the population: importance of demographic indicators for gender analysis Workshop Title Location and Date.

Marion Burkimsher Affiliated to the University of Lausanne Spacing between children and trends in mean age of successive birth orders: quite different.

“Childbearing and parenting in low fertility countries – enabling choices” Policies developed and implemented in the UNECE region to enable young couples,

Dr Marion Burkimsher Universities of Geneva and Lausanne Visualisation of fertility trends: Switzerland as a case study.

1 Fertility Intentions in France and Russia Laurence Charton Marc Bloch University Strasbourg - France Sergey Surkov IIPS Moscow - Russia.

2015 Afghanistan Demographic and Health Survey (AfDHS) Key Indicators Report.

Cohort religiosity: does it stay at a stable level everywhere and across all cohorts? Marion Burkimsher University of Lausanne.

Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey 2011 Family Planning and Fertility Preferences.

Targeting Fertility and Female Participation Through the Income Tax Ghazala Azmat (Universitat Pompeu Fabra) Libertad González (Universitat Pompeu Fabra)

INTER-SPOUSE COMMUNICATION AND CONTRACEPTIVE BEHAVIOR IN CAMEROON: A COUPLE-BASED ANALYSIS MBELLA MBELLA Cédric Stéphane Ministry of Economy, Planning.

Education in sub-Saharan Africa: the importance of the number of siblings Øystein Kravdal, Ivy Kodzi, Wendy Sigle- Rushton Øystein Kravdal, Ivy Kodzi,

Changing levels of religious observance through the life course (Religiosity in Switzerland:disentangling age, cohort and period effects) Marion Burkimsher.

Religious trends in Switzerland: disentangling age, cohort, individual flux and period effects Marion Burkimsher Affiliated to University of Lausanne.

Childfree? Or happy family?.

Centre for Market and Public Organisation

Presentation transcript:

Differentials in desires and realisation: 1st, 2nd and 3rd child Marion Burkimsher

Data sources used previously Human fertility database (country comparison) Swiss birth registration (BEVNAT) Swiss census 2000 (biological children, years born) Swiss Household Panel European Social Survey Fertility and Family Survey (Switzerland 1994)

Questions addressed in EFG analysis Young (22-32) childless women (& men): what differentials in desire for having at least 1 child? Women (& men) 22-45: what differentials in transition to first birth? Women (& men) with 1 child: what differentials in desire for having a 2nd child? Women (& men) 22-45: what differentials in transition to second birth? Women (& men) with 2 children: what differentials in desire for having a 3rd child? Women (& men) 22-45: what differentials in transition to third birth?

Statistical analyses For desires: binary logistic regressions for wanting at least one (more) child For realisation of parity progression: Cox analysis (survival) Variables GenderEducationReligionResidence‘Ethnicity’ FemaleLow educationCatholicMain citiesSwiss-German MaleSecondaryProtestantOther urbanSwiss-French TertiaryMuslimRuralSwiss-Italian No religionBorn in Germany Born in France Born in Italy Born in Spain Born in Portugal

The desire for (more) children is age dependent

Results…..

Low educationCatholicCity-denseSwiss-German SecondaryProtestantSuburbanSwiss-French TertiaryMuslimRural-sparseSwiss-Italian No religionBorn in Germany Born in France Born in Italy Born in Spain Born in Portugal EducationReligionResidence‘Ethnicity’ Low educationCatholicCity-denseSwiss-German SecondaryProtestantSuburbanSwiss-French TertiaryMuslimRural-sparseSwiss-Italian No religionBorn in Germany Born in France Born in Italy Born in Spain Born in Portugal Women Reference categories: Secondary education; Catholic; Suburban; Swiss-French If childless, wants at least 1 child Likelihood of having a 1 st child

Low educationCatholicCity-denseSwiss-German SecondaryProtestantSuburbanSwiss-French TertiaryMuslimRural-sparseSwiss-Italian No religionBorn in Germany Born in France Born in Italy Born in Spain Born in Portugal EducationReligionResidence‘Ethnicity’ Low educationCatholicCity-denseSwiss-German SecondaryProtestantSuburbanSwiss-French TertiaryMuslimRural-sparseSwiss-Italian No religionBorn in Germany Born in France Born in Italy Born in Spain Born in Portugal Women Reference categories: Secondary education; Catholic; Suburban; Swiss-French Has 1 child, wants at >=1 more child Likelihood of progressing to a 2 nd child

Low educationCatholicCity-denseSwiss-German SecondaryProtestantSuburbanSwiss-French TertiaryMuslimRural-sparseSwiss-Italian No religionBorn in Germany Born in France Born in Italy Born in Spain Born in Portugal EducationReligionResidence‘Ethnicity’ Low educationCatholicCity-denseSwiss-German SecondaryProtestantSuburbanSwiss-French TertiaryMuslimRural-sparseSwiss-Italian No religionBorn in Germany Born in France Born in Italy Born in Spain Born in Portugal Women Reference categories: Secondary education; Catholic; Suburban; Swiss-French Has 2 children, wants >=1 more Likelihood of progressing to a 3 rd child

…..also, similarly for men (not shown)  A wealth of information to be digested…

Other factors Number of siblings (family of origin) Work situation Partner characteristics (education, attitudes…..) Liberal-conservative outlook Health Family / partnership harmony / rupture Childcare availability (family, external) Financial situation Social network (behaviour, opinions…) Locality Problems of sample size….

Comparison of EFG and other surveys EFG: Quite large sample size (>17,000); many questions; cross-sectional; similar but not exactly the same as GGP Swiss Household Panel: longitudinal – annually since 1999, sample size variable, started with 5000 households, but 2 extra samples added. Questions vary over the years, though some repeated Swiss census 2000: fully comprehensive but few demographic variables and none on attitudes (good for checking representativity of survey samples)

Thank you!