Strategies and Rubrics for Teaching Chaos and Complex Systems Theories as Elaborating, Self-Organizing, and Fractionating Evolutionary Systems Fichter,

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Presentation transcript:

Strategies and Rubrics for Teaching Chaos and Complex Systems Theories as Elaborating, Self-Organizing, and Fractionating Evolutionary Systems Fichter, Lynn S., Pyle, E.J., and Whitmeyer, S.J., 2010, Journal of Geoscience Education (in press)

SOC Self-Organized Criticality

Self Organized Criticality Evolution Via Self Organization

Self Organized Criticality Evolution Via Self Organization

“Complex behavior in nature reflects the tendency of large systems with many components to evolve into a poised, "critical" state, way out of balance, where minor disturbances may lead to events, called avalanches, of all sizes. Most of the changes take place through catastrophic events rather than by following a smooth gradual path. The evolution to this very delicate state occurs without design from any outside agent. The state is established solely because of the dynamical interactions among individual elements of the system: the critical state is self- organized. Self-organized criticality is so far the only known general mechanism to generate complexity.” Self-Organized Criticality Per Bak

The sand pile builds...grain...by grain... Building toward the critical state... Where it avalanches building avalanche building avalanche building avalanche Avalanche Behavior Avalanche- a large mass of snow, ice, etc., detached from a mountain slope and sliding or falling suddenly downward. Avalanche- anything like an avalanche in suddenness and overwhelming quantity: an avalanche of misfortunes; an avalanche of fan mail.

Now, imagine the sand supply follows a power law (or is fractal), with different numbers of grains falling at different times. Power Law Sand Supply Avalanches will follow a power law distribution. Earth Temp. curve over the past 400,000 years

Examples of Extreme Avalanches

1929 stock market crash 1987 stock market crash

Cascading Power Grids Failures – when a hub is required to carry more than it is capable of carrying, and so crashes, leading to the next hub to crash, etc. North America blackout 1965 North America blackout 2003 Examples of Extreme Avalanches

Life is a Self Organized Critical phenomena Examples of Extreme Avalanches Extinctions

Stuart Kauffman “The critical point is not, as Stuart Kauffman once described it, “a nice place to be.” So “survival of the fittest” does not imply evolution to a state where everybody is well off. On the contrary, individual species are barely able to hang on - like the grains of sand in the critical sand pile.” Systems are always at the critical point, or if they are not at the critical point they are evolving toward the critical point. That is, the common idea that systems evolve toward equilibrium is a misperception of reality.