California Energy Commission Light Duty Personal and Commercial Vehicle Stock Joint Lead Commissioner Workshop on Transportation Energy Demand Forecasts.

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Presentation transcript:

California Energy Commission Light Duty Personal and Commercial Vehicle Stock Joint Lead Commissioner Workshop on Transportation Energy Demand Forecasts June 24, 2015 Jesse Gage Demand Analysis Office Energy Assessments Division 1

California Energy Commission “How many vehicles do I need?” Economic and Demographic Data “What kind of vehicle do I need?” Econ/Demo, Vehicle Attributes “What fuel should my vehicles use?” Attributes, Fuel Prices 2 Choosing A Vehicle: The Three Questions

California Energy Commission “How many vehicles do I need?” Economic and Demographic Data “What kind of vehicle do I need?” Econ/Demo, Vehicle Attributes “What fuel should my vehicles use?” Attributes, Fuel Prices 3 Choosing A Vehicle: The Three Questions

California Energy Commission 4

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“How many vehicles do I need?” Economic and Demographic Data “What kind of vehicle do I need?” Econ/Demo, Vehicle Attributes “What fuel should my vehicles use?” Attributes, Fuel Prices 7 Choosing A Vehicle: The Three Questions

California Energy Commission 8

“How many vehicles do I need?” Economic and Demographic Data “What kind of vehicle do I need?” Econ/Demo, Vehicle Attributes “What fuel should my vehicles use?” Attributes, Fuel Prices 9 Choosing A Vehicle: The Three Questions

California Energy Commission 10

California Energy Commission 11

California Energy Commission 12

California Energy Commission 13

California Energy Commission 14

California Energy Commission 15

California Energy Commission 16

California Energy Commission 17

California Energy Commission What’s in Store for the Revised Forecast? Revised Income/GSP Cases Updated vehicle attributes Updated fuel prices 18

California Energy Commission Questions? Comments? Jesse Gage Demand Analysis Office Energy Assessments Division /

California Energy Commission High-Speed Rail Preliminary Transportation Energy Demand Forecast Rosenfeld Hearing Room June 24, 2015 Jesse Gage Demand Analysis Office Energy Assessments Division /

California Energy Commission Original High-Speed Rail Allocation Algorithm 21

California Energy Commission 22 Source: California High Speed Rail Authority, 2015.