Dr. Michael J. Baranick Senior Research Professor National Defense University
Things that change societies Land ownership Taxes Transportation Media Wars Migration
Conditions for Creating Stable States World Historical Timing Military Threats Skillful Leadership
Conditions for a stable state Good Governance Rule of Law Security Economic Development
Governance Legitimate Transparent Accountable Checks and Balances of Power
Rule of Law Checks and Balances Equal to All Accountability Understood
Security National Security Security as an International Order Human Security/Justice
Transformation Anarchy Autocratic Communism Democracy Capitalism Market driven Economy Limited Democracy
Economic Development Laws Counting System Educated People Products to Market Taxing System
Development Traps Bad Governance Bad Neighbors Land Lock Nothing of Value to Market
Conflict Assessments Structure ActorsDynamics Analyses of long-term Factors underlying conflicts: Security Political Economic History Analyses of Actors: Interests Motivation Relations Capacity Benefits Analyses of Dynamics: Long-term trends of conflicts Triggers for increasing violence Capacity for managing conflict Likely future conflicts scenarios