Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 Low Mass Coronal Mass Ejections Missed by STEREO A/B or LASCO and Associated ICMEs H. Xie 1,2, O. C. St. Cyr 2,

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Global Properties of Heliospheric Disturbances Observed by Interplanetary Scintillation M. Tokumaru, M. Kojima, K. Fujiki, and M. Yamashita (Solar-Terrestrial.
Advertisements

Hot Precursor Ejecta and Other Peculiarities of the 2012 May 17 Ground Level Enhancement Event N. Gopalswamy 2, H. Xie 1,2, N. V. Nitta 3, I. Usoskin 4,
By: Estarlyn Hiraldo and Uri-Jaun Hall Contributors: Noe Lugaz, Devin Thomas Introduction Using images from stereo spacecrafts, we predicted arrival.
CAS Key Laboratory of Geospace Environment, USTC The Deflection of 2008 September 13 CME in Heliosphere Space ISEST, Hvar, Croatia,2013 June 17 Collaborators:
Interaction of coronal mass ejections with large-scale structures N. Gopalswamy, S. Yashiro, H. Xie, S. Akiyama, and P. Mäkelä IHY – ISWI Regional meeting.
1 Solar Cycle Update Prepared by: O. C. St. Cyr (NASA-GSFC) & H. Xie (CUA) with a few additions by J.B. Gurman.
CStCyr—SECCHI Paris-Mar #1 STEREO SECCHI COR1 Status O. C. St. Cyr for J.M. Davila and COR1 science team Heliophysics Science Division – Code 670.
E. Robbrecht – SIDC- Royal Observatory of Belgium 8 March 2007 The statistical importance of narrow CMEs Open questions to be addressed by SECCHI Eva Robbrecht,
STEREO Space Weather Beacon: December 2003 D.A. Biesecker NOAA/SEC.
The Hunt for a Link : Quantitative Connections Between Magnetic Fields and EIT Coronal Wave/CME Properties Prepared by James R. Robertson J.R. In conjunction.
1 Determination of 3D CME Trajectories using Stereoscopy Paulett Liewer, Jeff Hall, Eric DeJong, JPL Vahab Pournaghsband, UCB Arnaud Thernisien and Russ.
Coronal IP Shocks Nat Gopalswamy NASA/GSFC Elmau CME Workshop, 2003 February 7 Plenary talk Sun Earth.
CME-driven Shocks in White Light Observations SOHO/LASCO C3 – CME May 5 th, 1999 CME-driven Shock We demonstrate that CME-driven shocks: (1) can be detected.
My 20 Years of Service at Stanford Solar Physics Group I. Improvement of inner boundary condition for data-based coronal models (WSO, MDI, HMI). II. Development.
ZEC Model parameters of Halo CMEs Xuepu Zhao Jan. 18, 2011.
CME Interactions and Particle Acceleration N. Gopalswamy (NASA/GSFC) 2003 February 11 Elmau CME workshop, Group-C Presentation (B. Klecker’s Group)
When will disruptive CMEs impact Earth? Coronagraph observations alone aren’t enough to make the forecast for the most geoeffective halo CMEs. In 2002,
Coronal and Heliospheric Modeling of the May 12, 1997 MURI Event MURI Project Review, NASA/GSFC, MD, August 5-6, 2003 Dusan Odstrcil University of Colorado/CIRES.
The “cone model” was originally developed by Zhao et al. ~10 (?) years ago in order to interpret the times of arrival of ICME ejecta following SOHO LASCO.
Influence of Time-dependent Processes and Background Magnetic Field on Shock Properties N. Lugaz, I. Roussev and C. Downs Institute for Astronomy Igor.
Characterization of Coronal Mass Ejection Deflection using Coronagraph Image Sequences Jenna L. Zink, GMU Undergraduate Research Scholars Program, Rebekah.
Study of Earth-affecting Solar CMEs: Report from ISEST/MiniMax24 WG 4 on Campaign Events David F. Webb Institute for Scientific Research/Boston College.
STEREO Space Weather Group update Dave Webb ISR, Boston College and Air Force Research Laboratory STEREO SWG October 2009 Meredith, NH.
Evolution of the 2012 July 12 CME from the Sun to the Earth: Data- Constrained Three-Dimensional MHD Simulations F. Shen 1, C. Shen 2, J. Zhang 3, P. Hess.
Assessing Predictions of CME Time- of-Arrival and 1 AU Speed to Observations Angelos Vourlidas Vourlidas- SHINE
A Catalog of Halo Coronal Mass Ejections from SOHO N. Gopalswamy 1, S. Yashiro 2, G. Michalek 3, H. Xie 3, G. Stenborg 2, A. Vourlidas 4, R. A. Howard.
Locating the solar source of 13 April 2006 Magnetic Cloud K. Steed 1, C. J. Owen 1, L. K. Harra 1, L. M. Green 1, S. Dasso 2, A. P. Walsh 1, P. Démoulin.
Relation between Type II Bursts and CMEs Inferred from STEREO Observations N. Gopalswamy, W. Thompson, J. Davila, M. Kaiser NASA Goddard Space Flight Center,
1 Determination of CME 3D Trajectories using COR Stereoscopy + Analysis of HI1 CME Tracks P. C. Liewer, E. M. DeJong, J. R. Hall, JPL/Caltech; N. Sheeley,
RECREATING THE THREE DIMENSIONAL STRUCTURE OF INTERPLANETARY CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS Timothy A. Howard and S. James Tappin AGU Fall Meeting, December,
Arrival time of halo coronal mass ejections In the vicinity of the Earth G. Michalek, N. Gopalswamy, A. Lara, and P.K. Manoharan A&A 423, (2004)
Solar Cycle Trends and Case Studies of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections During Different Phases of the Cycle.
Extremely Fast Coronal Mass Ejection on 23 July Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, Maryland,20723, USA 2 NOAA Space Weather.
2004 September 11CAWSES Theme 2 Meeting, Beijing Solar Sources of Geoeffective Disturbances N. Gopalswamy NASA/GSFC Greenbelt, MD
Connecting Near-Sun CME flux Ropes to the 1-AU Flux Ropes using the Flare-CME Relationship N. Gopalswamy, H. Xie, S. Yashiro, and S. Akiyama NASA/GSFC.
POST CME EVENTS: COOL JETS AND CURRENT SHEET EVOLUTION A. Bemporad, G. Poletto, S. T. Suess IAU Symposium 226 Coronal and Stellar Mass Ejections September.
WG3: Extreme Events Summary N. Gopalswamy & A. Vourlidas.
Lessons for STEREO - learned from Helios Presented at the STEREO/Solar B Workshop, Rainer Schwenn, MPS Lindau The Helios.
Forecast of Geomagnetic Storm based on CME and IP condition R.-S. Kim 1, K.-S. Cho 2, Y.-J. Moon 3, Yu Yi 1, K.-H. Kim 3 1 Chungnam National University.
Interplanetary Shocks in the Inner Solar System: Observations with STEREO and MESSENGER During the Deep Solar Minimum of 2008 H.R. Lai, C.T. Russell, L.K.
Improving Space Weather Forecasts Using Coronagraph Data S.P. Plunkett 1, A. Vourlidas 1, D.R. McMullin 2, K. Battams 3, R.C. Colaninno 4 1 Naval Research.
Modeling of CME-driven Shock propagation with ENLIL simulations using flux-rope and cone-model inputs Using observations from STEREO/SECCHI and SOHO/LASCO,
Origins of Solar Minimum CMEs with ICMEs Yan Li 1 B. J. Lynch 1, J. G. Luhmann 1, A. Thernisien 2, A. Vourlidas 2, E. Kilpua 3, L. Jian 4, A. B. Gavin.
Laboratoire de Physique des Plasmas S OLAR E VENTS TOWARDS THE E ARTH IN 2002 B.Schmieder (1), N. Cornilleau-Wehrlin (1), K. Bocchialini (2), M. Menvielle.
SEP Event Onsets: Far Backside Solar Sources and the East-West Hemispheric Asymmetry S. W. Kahler AFRL Space Vehicles Directorate, Kirtland AFB, New Mexico,
Anemone Structure of AR NOAA and Related Geo-Effective Flares and CMEs A. Asai 1 ( 浅井 歩 ), T.T. Ishii 2, K. Shibata 2, N. Gopalswamy 3 1: Nobeyama.
1 P. C. Liewer, E. M. DeJong, J. R. Hall, JPL/Caltech; K. E. J. Huttunen, Y. Li, J. Luhmann, B. Lynch, UCB/SSL; Angelos Vourlidas & R. A. Howard, NRL;
Center for Astrophysics and Space Sciences, University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive #0424, La Jolla, CA , U.S.A
Observations –Morphology –Quantitative properties Underlying Physics –Aly-Sturrock limit Present Theories/Models Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) S. K. Antiochos,
ENLIL Modeling for the interaction event: Effect of Interacting CMEs on SEP Intensity NASA/GSFC H. Xie, N. Gopalswamy, P. Makela, S. Yashiro.
Analysis of 3 and 8 April 2010 Coronal Mass Ejections and their Influence on the Earth Magnetic Field Marilena Mierla and SECCHI teams at ROB, USO and.
A tool for improved space weather predictions: the CME expansion speed. Max-Planck-Institut für Aeronomie Katlenburg-Lindau Germany Instituto Nacional.
STEREO SWG COR1 CURRENT STATUS AND FUTURE PLANS Joseph Davila 1, O. C. St. Cyr 1 William Thompson 2 1 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, 2 Adnet Systems,
Solar Origins of the October November 2003 Extreme Events N. Gopalswamy NASA/GSFC SHINE 2004 WG3 Thursday, June 1 Big Sky, Montana Photo.
Three-Dimensional Structure of Coronal Mass Ejections From LASCO Polarization Measurements K. P. Dere, D. Wang and R. Howard ApJL, 620; L119-L
Complexity of Solar Eruptions Nat Gopalswamy, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
1 Determination of CME 3D Trajectories using Stereoscopy STEREO CMES of 16Nov2007 and 31AUG2007 P. C. Liewer, E. M. DeJong, J. R. Hall, JPL/Caltech; R.
3D Morphology of CME-driven Shocks (work in progress) V. Ontiveros, A. Vourlidas, A. Thernisien.
Relationships between flares and CMEs FRIDAY 9:00 am – 12:00 pm SHINE 2009.
Interplanetary proton and electron enhancements associated with radio-loud and radio-quiet CME-driven shocks P. Mäkelä 1,2, N. Gopalswamy 2, H. Xie 1,2,
Detecting, forecasting and modeling of the 2002/04/17 halo CME Heliophysics Summer School 1.
Poster X4.137 Solar Wind Trends in the Current Solar Cycle (STEREO Observations) A.B. Galvin* 1, K.D.C. Simunac 2, C. Farrugia 1 1.Space Science Center,
ICME in the Solar Wind from STEL IPS Observations
First VarSITI General Symposium June 6-10, 2016, Albena, Bulgaria
Introduction to Space Weather Interplanetary Transients
N. Gopalswamy, H. Xie, S. Akiyama, P. Mäkelä, S. Yashiro, I. Usoskin
Solar Events towards the Earth in 2002
Forecasting the arrival time of the CME’s shock at the Earth
Solar Sources of Wide Coronal Mass Ejections during the Ascending Phase of Cycle 24 Sachiko Akiyama1,2, Nat Gopalswamy2, Seiji Yashiro1,2 , and Pertti.
A.B. Galvin*1, K.D.C. Simunac1, M.A. Popecki1, and C.J. Farrugia1
Presentation transcript:

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 Low Mass Coronal Mass Ejections Missed by STEREO A/B or LASCO and Associated ICMEs H. Xie 1,2, O. C. St. Cyr 2, N. Gopalswamy 2 and J. Davila 2 1 CUA 2 NASA/GSFC

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 DATA COR1 CME preliminary list : LASCO CME Catalogue: STEREO image search tool / movie maker : UCLA ICME list: STEREO level2 IMPACT magnetic and PLASTIC solar wind Data at UCLA aten.igpp.ucla.edu/forms/stereo/level2_plasma_and_magnetic_field.html aten.igpp.ucla.edu/forms/stereo/level2_plasma_and_magnetic_field.html NSSDC OMNI 2 data

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 OUTLINE 1. Scientific Background: Thomson scattering; brightness vs. CME longitude 2. Case study: faint CMEs missed by either STA or B (/LASCO) and associated ICMEs. 3. Properties and propagation of faint CMEs. 4. Statistics: CME missing rate of STA/B.

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 B e /B 0 vs  at various R in where, B 0 = B e (R in,,  ) at R in = 3 R s &  = 0. White-light brightness are from Thomson scattering of electrons in the corona (Billing, 1960): B tot = N e  B e (R in,  ), where B e (R in,  ) is the scatting function for a single electron. CME Brightness

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 CME: 2008/12/12 04:35; Speed: 252 km/s; A-B sep ang: 86.7 STB: Bright nice FR, nice EUVI 304 EP, N21W52 STA: Wider & fainter, nice EUVI 304 EP, N21E34 LASCO: Faint partial halo, MLSO H  DSP, ~DC N21W08 B (W52)A (E34)LASCO (W08)

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March D triangulation (solarsoft: scc-measure) CME heliographic loc: N21W08 Dtb: 12/16 10:36 UT ICME: 12/17 04:00-18:00UT Bmax = 9. 8 nT, Vmax = 340 km/s

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 STB/COR Not seen N03E13 LASCO/C3 2008/06/02 04:16 N03E38 STA /COR1 2008/06/01 09:05 N03E67 CASE 1: a CME missed by STB CME: 2008/06/01 not seen in B (E13) LASCO(E38), A(E67) Speed: 222 km/s Nice MC : Bmax = nT, Vmax = 430 km/s B (E13)LASCO (E38)A (E67)

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 In situ STB (IMPACT & PLASTIC)‏ Shock: 2008/06/06 15:36 ICME: 06/06 19:00 ~ 06/07 14:00 DT: 19 hr Bmax: 14.8 nT Vmax: 430 km/s Comment: Nice B-rotation, low Beta

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 STA Not seen S09E14 LASCO/C2 2009/01/21 18:54 S09W29 STB /COR1 2009/01/21 16:45 S09E76 A (E14) B (W76) LASCO (W29) CASE 2: a CME missed by STA CME: 2009/01/21 not seen in STA (E14) LASCO(W29), B(W76) Speed: 227 km/s

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 In situ STA (PLASTIC)‏ Shock: 2009/01/25 19:22 ICME: 01/25 22:00 ~ 01/27 05:00 DT: 31 hr Bmax: 11.5 nT Vmax: 400 km/s Nice B-rotation, low Beta In situ STA (PLASTIC)‏ Shock: 2009/01/25 19:22 ICME: 01/25 22:00 ~ 01/27 05:00 DT: 31 hr Bmax: 11.5 nT Vmax: 400 km/s Nice B-rotation, low Beta In situ L1 sc (OMNI)‏ Shock: 2009/01/25 20:52 ICME: 01/26 06:00 ~ 01/26 16:00 DT: 31 hr Bmax: 9.5 nT Vmax: 400 km/s Nice B-rotation, low Beta

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 In situ STB (PLASTIC)‏ Shock: 2008/12/07 ~03:46 ICME: 12/07 17:00 ~ 12/08 22:00 DT: 29 hr Bmax: 19 nT Vmax: 350 km/s Nice B rotation; compressed by a HSS at the rear of ICME CASE 3: a CME missed by COR1 and COR2-B CME: 2008/12/01 not seen by B (W02) LASCO(E41), A(E83) COR2 only Speed: 227 km/s A (E83)LASCO (E41)

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 Table 1: ICME disturbance date & time; CME date, time and location; and shock (dtb) travel time Ref: UCLA ICME list (2007/09 ~ 2009/01):

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 Statistical results Most ICMEs are associated with faint CMEs missed either by STA or B (15 out of 17), red bars in left panel, 7 missed by A and 8 missed by B; 2 CMEs (grey bars in left panel) are bright. 12 of 17 ICMEs are preceded by shocks Average speed of 15 faint CMEs: 229 km/s (left ) Average CME-driven shock or disturbance travel time: 111 hrs (middle) The predicted travel time error by ESA: 12 hr (right) Ref: ESA--Empirical Shock Arrival model(Gopalswamy et al., 2005)

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 Statistics: CME missing rate & CME total rate The missing rate reaches maximum of ~ 0.4 CMEs/day when A-B separation angle is ~100 degrees on Jun CME total rate around Jun-09 is overrated due to A & B has larger possibilities seeing different events CME separation rate of A & B rose starting on Oct-2009, consistent with SSN curve (dash line in bottom panel. SOHO LASCO CME Rate in was ~0.5 CMEs/day CME total rate vs. STA (B) rate CME total rate vs. Missing rate

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 Conclusions Faint CMEs are important sources for the shocks and ICMEs detected at 1 AU during solar minimum. CME monthly averaged daily rate has started to pick up since Oct-2009.

Xie – STEREO SWG – Dublin – March 2010 Table 2: CME (STA/B, LASCO) first appearance time and location ref CME missing rate