JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER 2008 YEAR IN REVIEW Mr. Robert (Bob) Falvey Director, JTWC 63 rd INTERDEPARTMENTAL HURRICANE CONFERENCE 2-5 MARCH 2009 ST.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Tropical Cyclone Basins

Advertisements

JTWC Satellite Operations (SATOPs)

1 GOES-R Hurricane Intensity Estimation (HIE) Validation Tool Development Winds Application Team Tim Olander (CIMSS) Jaime Daniels (STAR)

Comparison of the 2008, 2010, & 2012 Snapshots of Tropical Cyclone R&D Dr. Frank Marks (NOAA) and Dr. Ron Ferek (Navy) Co-Chairs, Working Group for Tropical.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center Forward, Ready, Responsive Decision Superiority UNCLASSIFIED An Overview of Joint Typhoon Warning Center Tropical Cyclone.

A Three Dimensional Numerical Study of Storm Surges Along the West Florida Coast by Huijun Yang and Robert H. Weisberg College of Marine Science University.

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER 2014 YEAR IN REVIEW

Jeopardy Composition of Hurricanes Locating Storms Type of Storms Hurricane Categories Organizations Q $100 Q $200 Q $300 Q $400 Q $500 Q $100 Q $200.

Figure 1.1 Area of responsibility of the RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center.

TropicalM. D. Eastin Tropical Cyclone Climatology Where do TCs occur? When? Why? How Many?

Naval Oceanography Naval Oceanography: Excellence in (Tropical) Meteorology Rear Admiral Dave Titley Commander Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command.

Examination of the Dominant Spatial Patterns of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones from the 2004 Atlantic and Northwest Pacific Seasons.

Tropical Cyclone Operations and Research: Setting our Future Course March 1 – 5, th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference 2015 Tropical Cyclone.

Kenji KISHIMOTO Forecast Division Japan Meteorological Agency.

Modeling Tropical Cyclone Gridded Wind Field Forecasts 26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology 3—7 May 2004 Miami, FL Ken Waters Joel Cline.

Brewing Up a Storm Hurricanes Expert Folder. Why Do Hurricanes Form and Where Are They Found? Hurricanes form and intensify over oceanic regions. They.

I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e Headquarters U.S. Air Force 15 Sep 001 Air Force Weather Tropical Cyclone Preparedness and Response.

Tropical Cyclones AFWA’s role in the Tropical Cyclone analysis process for JTWC & NHC.

UNCLASSIFIED 1 TROPICAL CYCLONE CONFERENCE 29 APR 2009 CAPT Bill Schulz US PACIFIC COMMAND.

Current status of development of TIGGE products and support to SWFDP KYOUDA Masayuki 1, YAMAGUCHI Munehiko 2, and MATSUEDA Mio 3 1: Japan Meteorological.

Improvements in Deterministic and Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Predictions Joint Hurricane Testbed Project Status Report Mark DeMaria NOAA/NESDIS/ORA,

JTWC SATOPS Challenges Capt Kathryn Payne 28 April 2009.

2009 TCC presentation JTWC Inter-Agency & International Operational Collaborations Edward M. Fukada Technical Adviser JTWC.

The Nation’s Hurricane Program: An Interagency Success Story March 5 - 9, st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference.

JTWC Satellite Operations (SATOPS) Capt Kathryn Payne 27 April W SINLAKU ATCF.

2009 TCC presentation Joint Typhoon Warning Center Operational Outlook LCDR Mike Vancas JTWC Ops Officer.

UNCLASSIFIED United States Pacific Command Tropical Cyclone Satellite Reconnaissance Network and METSAT Coordinator’s Conference.

“Tropical Cyclone Research: Identifying Gaps and Focusing Research on Operational Needs” March 2 - 5, rd Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference.

1 Advisory Committee on Water Information Emergency Response to Hurricanes Katrina and Rita Scott Kiser Tropical Cyclone Program Manager NOAA/NWS January.

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER 2010 YEAR IN REVIEW Mr. Robert (Bob) Falvey Director, Joint Typhoon Warning Center 65th INTERDEPARTMENTAL HURRICANE CONFERENCE.

Tropical Cyclone Information Processing System (TIPS) Li Yuet Sim Hong Kong Observatory May 2009.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center Tropical Cyclone Best Track Processes International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship Workshop 5-7 May 2009 Asheville.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center 2006 Year In Review Edward Fukada Technical Adviser, JTWC.

Application of Numerical Weather Prediction Prognoses to Operational Weather Forecasting in Hong Kong Pre-CAS Technical Conference on "Environmental Prediction.

A Global Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Product Andrea Schumacher, CIRA/CSU Mark DeMaria and John Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS/StAR Daniel Brown, NHC 64.

OFCM-Sponsored Working Group for Tropical Cyclone Research 1 WG/TCR Comparison of the 2008 and 2010 Snapshots of Tropical Cyclone R&D Dr. Frank Marks (NOAA)

I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e Headquarters U.S. Air Force 1 Air Force Director of Weather 1 March 2010 USAF Tropical Cyclone.

A. FY12-13 GIMPAP Project Proposal Title Page version 26 October 2011 Title: Developing GOES-Based Tropical Cyclone Recurvature Tools Status: New Duration:

...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE DEVELOPING IN EASTERN POHNPEI STATE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AIDED BY OBSERVATIONS FROM PINGELAP.

Working Group/Tropical Cyclone Research Frank Marks and CAPT Mike Angove Co-Chairs.

F l y - F i g h t - W i n HQ United States Air Forces Director AF Weather 3 Mar 08 USAF Tropical Cyclone Support.

An Updated Baseline for Track Forecast Skill Through Five Days for the Atlantic and Northeastern and Northwestern Pacific Basins Sim Aberson NOAA/AOML/Hurricane.

A Proposed New Strategy for Tropical Cyclone Reconnaissance Based on Western Pacific TCS08 Proof of Concept Peter G. Black (1), Jeffrey D. Hawkins (2)

I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e Pacific Air Forces 1 JTWC - A PACAF Perspective Mr John H. Feckter HQ PACAF/A3OA.

4B.2 A comparison of typhoon best-track data in the western North Pacific: irreconcilable differences. by Mark A. Lander University of Guam Central Guam.

Huge Hurricanes By Kristen, Allison, Mackenzie, Joseph.

Dr. Ed Rappaport Deputy Director, TPC/NHC Chair Working Group for Hurricane and Winter Storms Operations and Research.

Navy Tropical Meteorology Research Dr. Ronald J. Ferek, ONR.

Table 2.1 Monthly and annual total numbers of products issued by the RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center in 2011.

64th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference NOAA Tropical Program Delivering on the Promise of Partnerships Jack Hayes NOAA Assistant Administrator & Director,

Second IBTrACS Workshop, April 2011, Honolulu, Hawaii 1 ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Best Track Consolidation Meeting, Dec 2010 Hong Kong Summary.

Fleet Numerical… Supercomputing Excellence for Fleet Safety and Warfighter Decision Superiority… 1 Chuck Skupniewicz Models (N34M) FNMOC Operations Dept.

2009 TCC presentation JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER 2008 YEAR IN REVIEW Mr. Bob Falvey Director, JTWC Typhoon Sinlaku.

Tropical Cyclone Outflow Patterns and Intensity Change Kevin Mallen Joint Typhoon Warning Center.

Overview of CIRA and NESDIS Global TC Services Presented by John Knaff NOAA/NESDIS Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch Fort Collins, CO USA For The.

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER 2007 YEAR IN REVIEW Lt Col Bob Falvey Director, JTWC 62 nd INTERDEPARTMENTAL HURRICANE CONFERENCE 3-7 MARCH 2008 CHARLESTON,

Changes in Tropical Cyclone Number, Duration, and Intensity in a Warming Environment by P. J. Webster, G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H.-R. Chang Science.

J. P. Kossin, 62 nd IHC, Charleston, SC An Objective Tool for Identifying Hurricane Secondary Eyewall Formation Jim Kossin and Matt Sitkowski Cooperative.

Air Force Weather Agency 2005 Tropical Cyclone Season Support Review Surveillance Support Surveillance Support DMSP System DMSP System Spacecraft Status.

Brandon Kerns*, Shuyi S. Chen, Chiaying Lee, and Falko Judt RSMAS/University of Miami I nterdepartmental H urricane C onference Miami, Florida 28 February.

Munehiko Yamaguchi 12, Takuya Komori 1, Takemasa Miyoshi 13, Masashi Nagata 1 and Tetsuo Nakazawa 4 ( ) 1.Numerical Prediction.

JTWC Satellite Operations (SATOPS) Capt Kathryn Payne 27 April W SINLAKU ATCF.

UNCLASSIFIED 1 JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER LCDR Sarah Follett JTWC Operations Officer Mission Overview.

Lesson 2 Vocabulary Storms 1.Thunderstorm – a disturbance in the earth’s atmosphere that involves lightning and thunder; sometimes gusty surface winds,

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 20 July 2009.

Prediction of Consensus Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Error ( ) James S. Goerss NRL Monterey March 1, 2011.

BFB: 9/29/2015 Tropical Weather

A Global Tropical Cyclone Climatology: Revisiting Gray (1968, 1979)

Unit 3 Typhoon Who? Please refer to page 18.

Status Report of T-PARC/TCS-08

Presentation transcript:

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER 2008 YEAR IN REVIEW Mr. Robert (Bob) Falvey Director, JTWC 63 rd INTERDEPARTMENTAL HURRICANE CONFERENCE 2-5 MARCH 2009 ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA Typhoon Sinlaku

MISSION Provide tropical cyclone analysis, forecast and warning support for Department of Defense, and other US Government assets in the Pacific and Indian Oceans as established by Commander, United States Pacific Command.

JTWC AOR CPHC New Delhi Reunion Tokyo Australia Fiji NHC 33% 8% 11% 13% 7% 17%

4 TC ACTIVITY NW Pacific NW Pacific 2004: : : : : : : : : : Yr avg: 31 S Indian Ocean & Australia Region 2004: : : : : Yr avg: 23 South Pacific 2004: : : : : 8 25 Yr avg: 6 C Pacific C Pacific 2004: : : : : : : : : : 1 25 Yr avg: 5 25 Yr avg: 5 NE Pacific NE Pacific 2004: : : : : : : : : : Yr avg: 19 Arabian Sea & Bay of Bengal 2004: : : : : : : : : : 7 25 Yr avg: 5 25 Yr avg: 5

SATELLITE RECON FIXES BY AGENCY (Total: 12,581)

SATELLITE RECON FIXES BY JTWC (Total: 9,199)

SATELLITE RECON MICROWAVE FIXES BY JTWC Total Microwave Fixes: 4,639 (>50% of total)

2008 NORTH IO TRACKS

2008 S-HEMI TRACKS

2008 WESTPAC TRACKS 14 Tropical Storms 11 Typhoons 2 Super Typhoons

2008 JTWC TRACK ERRORS ALL BASINS

JTWC TRACK ERRORS (WESTPAC Hours) 24 Hr 48 Hr 72 Hr Goal

2008 WPAC ERRORS STORM BY STORM

JTWC TRACK ERRORS (WESTPAC Hours) 96 Hr 120 Hr Goal

2008 WPAC ERRORS STORM BY STORM

2007 MODEL ERRORS (WESTPAC – Homogeneous)

2008 MODEL ERRORS (WESTPAC – Homogeneous)

MODEL ERRORS Typhoon FengShen (7W)

MODEL ERRORS

Typhoon FengShen (7W) MODEL ERRORS 10% of the JTWC 120 hour track error due to 07W

ERROR DELTA (WESTPAC – Homogeneous)

Mean 1000mb WINDS Jun-Nov Well Defined Monsoon Trough

mb WINDS Jun-Nov08 Lack of Westerlies N-S Monsoon Trough

JTWC INTENSITY ERRORS (WESTPAC Hours) 24 Hr 48 Hr 72 Hr 96Hr 120Hr

ITEMS OF INTEREST USAF Civilianization (Update) MARK IVB DRO Continuation/Expansion Fix Bulletin Changes (Unified DoD/NOAA format, MI fixes included) T-PARC / TCS-08 – Data used in forecasts (Sinlaku) JMA GSM out to 132 Hrs / Forecasts to 120 Hrs ECMWF Fields METSAT Conference / Tropical Cyclone Conference / JTWC 50 th Anniversary –METSAT: Apr –JTWC 50 th Anniversary: 29 Apr 1000 HST –TCC: 29 Apr – 1 May

Contact Info Director: COM: (808) DSN: (315) JT Ops Officer (JTOPS): COM: (808) DSN: (315)

QUESTIONS