1 Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission Racially Polarized Voting Analysis 11/29/2011

2

3

4 Sample precinct: 40% of the electorate is Hispanic 60% of the electorate is non-Hispanic Hispanic candidate “A” got 35% of the vote What % of the Hispanic vote did candidate “A” receive?

5 Hispanic Support for Candidate A Non-Hispanic Support for Candidate A Hispanic Votes for Candidate A Hispanic Votes for Candidate B Non-Hispanic Votes for Candidate A Non-Hispanic Votes for Candidate B Total Votes for Candidate A Total Votes for Candidate B % for Candidate A 5%55%2003,8003,3002,7003,5006,50035% 10%52%4003,6003,1202,8803,5206,48035% 15%49%6003,4002,9403,0603,5406,46035% 20%45%8003,2002,7003,3003,5006,50035% 25%41%1,0003,0002,4603,5403,4606,54035% 30%38%1,2002,8002,2803,7203,4806,52035% 1,4002,6002,1003,9003,5006,50035% 40%31%1,6002,4001,8604,1403,4606,54035% 45%28%1,8002,2001,6804,3203,4806,52035% 50%25%2,000 1,5004,5003,5006,50035% 55%21%2,2001,8001,2604,7403,4606,54035% 60%18%2,4001,6001,0804,9203,4806,52035% 65%15%2,6001, ,1003,5006,50035% 70%11%2,8001, ,3403,4606,54035% 75%8%3,0001, ,5203,4806,52035% 80%5%3, ,7003,5006,50035% 85%1%3, ,9403,4606,54035% 90%0%3, ,0003,6006,400 95%0%3, ,0003,8006, %0%4,000006,0004,0006,000

6

7 US House of Representatives 2010: District 7

8 Racially Polarized Voting Analysis Existing Congressional Districts Draft Congressional Districts Existing Legislative Districts Draft Legislative Districts