Fertility at District Level in India: Lessons from the 2011 Census Christophe Z Guilmoto, IRD/CEPED, Paris S Irudaya Rajan, CDS, Thiruvananthapuram 1
Overall Procedure of Census-based Fertility Estimation
Estimation of District-level Child Survival Estimation
Estimation of the Ratio of Birth Rates to Fertility Rates
States and Union Territories that below the Replacement Level (<2.1) States and Union Territories CBR TFR Change Goa Kerala Tamil Nadu Puducherry Andaman & Nicobar Andhra Pradesh Sikkim Chandigarh Himachal Pradesh
States and Union Territories with Highest TFR States and Union Territories CBR TFR Change Chhatisgarh Dadra & Nagar Haveli Madhya Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Rajasthan Jharkhand Uttar Pradesh Bihar Meghalaya
TFR <=1.5 in districts 7 StateDistrict TFR 2011 Karnataka Udupi 1.2 West Bengal Kolkata Kerala Pathanamthitta 1.3 Tamil Nadu The Nilgiris Delhi New Delhi 1.4 Karnataka Chikmagalur Kerala Alappuzha, Idukki, Kollam, Kottayam, Thiruvananthapuram Maharashtra Mumbai, Sindhudurg Tamil Nadu Chennai, Coimbatore, Erode, Kanniyakumari Andhra Pradesh Karimnagar, Krishna 1.5 Goa North Goa Karnataka Dakshina Kannada Hassan Kodagu Mandya Kerala Ernakulam Thrissur Tamil Nadu Namakkal Thanjavur Thiruvarur
TFR =1.6 in districts 8 State & UTDistrict Andaman & Nicobar Islands South Andaman Andhra Pradesh East Godavari, Guntur, Hyderabad, Khammam,Warangal West Godavari Goa South Goa Karnataka Chamarajanagar, Ramanagara Kerala Kannur, Kozhikode, Palakkad Maharashtra Mumbai Suburban, Ratnagiri Puducherry Mahe, Puducherry Tamil Nadu Dindigul, Karur, Madurai, Nagapattinam, Ramanathapuram, Salem, Sivaganga, Theni, Thoothukkudi, Tiruchirappalli, Tiruppur, Virudhunagar West Bengal Darjiling,Hugli, North Twenty Four Parganas
TFR =1.7 in districts 9 State & UTDistrict Andaman & Nicobar Islands North & Middle Andaman Andhra Pradesh Sri Potti Sriramulu Nellore, Visakhapatnam Delhi Central Himachal Pradesh Lahul & Spiti Karnataka Bangalore, Mysore, Shimoga, Tumkur, Uttara Kannada Kerala Wayanad Maharashtra Wardha Nagaland Mokokchung Odisha Jagatsinghapur Puducherry Karaikal Sikkim East District Tamil Nadu Cuddalore, Kancheepuram, Pudukkottai, Thiruvallur, Tirunelveli West Bengal Nadia
TFR =1.8 in districts 10 State & UTDistrict Andaman & Nicobar Islands Nicobars Andhra Pradesh Chittoor, Nalgonda, Nizamabad,Srikakulam, Vizianagaram Assam Kamrup Metropolitan Gujarat Navsari, Tapi Himachal Pradesh Hamirpur,Kangra,Shimla Karnataka Chikkaballapura Kerala Kasaragod Maharashtra Chandrapur, Kolhapur,Nagpur Odisha Cuttack, Puri Punjab Jalandhar Tamil Nadu Ariyalur, Perambalur, Vellore West Bengal Barddhaman, Haora
TFR =1.9 in districts 11 State & UTDistrict Andhra Pradesh Anantapur,Prakasam, Y.S.R. Assam Jorhat Himachal Pradesh Bilaspur,Kinnaur,Mandi Karnataka Bangalore Rural,Davanagere,Kolar Maharashtra Bhandara,Gondiya,Sangli,Satara Odisha Khordha Punjab Fatehgarh Sahib,Hoshiarpur,Kapurthala,Rupnagar,Shahid Bhagat, Singh Nagar Sikkim South District Tamil Nadu Dharmapuri, Tiruvannamalai Tripura West Tripura
TFR = 2 in districts 12 State & UTDistrict Andhra Pradesh Adilabad,Rangareddy Chandigarh Delhi East Gujarat Ahmadabad,Gandhinagar,Mahesana,Porbandar Haryana Ambala Himachal Pradesh Una Karnataka Chitradurga Maharashtra Amravati,Gadchiroli,Pune, Raigarh Manipur Imphal West Odisha Kendrapara Puducherry Yanam Punjab Gurdaspur,Ludhiana,Moga Tamil Nadu Krishnagiri,Viluppuram Uttaranchal Garhwal West Bengal Paschim Medinipur, Purba Medinipur
TFR =2.1 in districts 13 State & UTDistrict Assam Dibrugarh,Sivasagar Daman & Diu Diu Delhi North,West Gujarat Bharuch,Junagadh,Rajkot,Vadodara Himachal Pradesh Kullu,Solan Jammu & Kashmir Jammu Karnataka Dharwad Lakshadweep Maharashtra Thane Manipur Chandel Odisha Bargarh,Dhenkanal,Jharsuguda,Nayagarh, Sambalpur Punjab Amritsar,Barnala,Bathinda,Faridkot,Mansa,Patiala,Sangrur Sikkim West District West Bengal Bankura,Dakshin Dinajpur,Jalpaiguri
District level Analysis TFR 2011 No. of Districts <= to Below Replacement level 190 (621) – 31 % 2.2 to Total
TFR 2.2 to Muktsar, Sahibzada Ajit Singh Nagar, Rudraprayag, Dehradun, Panchkula, Delhi, South West, South, Kanpur Nagar, North District, Tripura, Nalbari, South Twenty Four Parganas, Jajapur, Anugul, Ganjam, Jamnagar, Amreli, Anand, Valsad, Surat, Daman, Maharashtra, Akola, Yavatmal, Medak, Kurnool, Haveri, Malappuram 2.2 Tarn Taran, Almora, Yamunanagar, Kurukshetra, Sirsa, Wokha, Aizawl, South Tripura, Golaghat, Koch Bihar, Birbhum, Sundargarh, Baleshwar, Bhadrak, Jabalpur, Kheda, Ahmadnagar, Gadag 2.3 Firozpur, Chamoli, Tehri Garhwal, Pithoragarh, Hisar, Rohtak, Jhajjar, Mahendragarh, North West, Bishnupur, Kamrup, Baksa, Purbi Singhbhum, Odisha, Indore, Bhopal, Gujarat, Jalgaon, Solapur, Mahbubnagar, Belgaum 2.4 Samba, Bageshwar, Nainital, Fatehabad, Bhiwani, Rewari, Ganganagar, Lucknow, East Siang, Manipur, Churachandpur, Imphal East, Tinsukia, Debagarh, Subarnapur, Durg, Dhamtari, Neemuch, Balaghat, Washim 2.5
TFR 2.6 to Chamba, Sirmaur, Uttaranchal, Kaithal, Karnal, Jind, North East, Kota, Dimapur, Senapati, North Tripura, Udalguri, Uttar Bastar Kanker, Gwalior, Mandsaur, Patan, Bhavnagar, Narmada, Dhule, Buldana, Nashik, Latur, Osmanabad 2.6 Uttarkashi, Champawat, Haryana, Sonipat, Hanumangarh, Jhansi, Papum Pare, West Siang, Longleng, Kohima, Tamenglong, Sonitpur, Murshidabad, Puruliya, Mayurbhanj, Balangir, Raigarh, Mahasamund, Narsimhapur, Seoni, Sabar Kantha, Surendranagar, Bagalkot, Bidar, Bellary 2.7 Kathua, Faridabad, Jhunjhunun, Chittaurgarh, Tawang,, Zunheboto, Ukhrul, Serchhip, Dhalai, Lakhimpur, Chirang, Ranchi, Kendujhar, Baudh Kalahandi, Rajnandgaon, Dakshin Bastar Dantewada, Ujjain, Chhindwara, Nanded, Aurangabad 2.8 Panipat, Jaipur, West Kameng, Lower Subansiri,, Lunglei,, Kokrajhar, Dhemaji, Dima Hasao, Cachar, Maldah, Dhanbad, Bokaro, Gajapati, Nuapada, Rayagada, Korba, Betul, Hoshangabad, Mandla, Anuppur, Burhanpur, Nandurbar, Hingoli, Raichur, Koppal 2.9 Udham Singh Nagar, Sikar, Gorakhpur, Varanasi, Dibang Valley, Kolasib, Ramgarh, Kandhamal, Koraput, Koriya, Raipur, Bijapur, Shajapur, Dewas Parbhani, Bid, Bijapur, Gulbarga 3.0
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