Integrated Water Resource Services Gary Carter NOAA Hydrology Program Manager HIC Meeting July 24, 2007 Water: when scarce, a precious resource when excessive, a source of many hazards

2  Public Safety (River Floods, Flash Floods, Debris Flow)  Flood Control  Water Supply  Power Generation  Drought Mitigation  Recreation  Agriculture  River Commerce  Ecosystem Health  frequency and pattern of hot days and nights over most land areas  frequency and pattern of extreme precipitation events and resulting flooding over most areas  extent of areas affected by persistent drought Water is essential for the health and well-being of society. It serves many needs and offers significant benefits that require careful, balanced management Likely impacts of global warming: Challenge: Water Resource Stewardship RESOURCE PROTECTION CONSUMPTIVE USE

3 NOAA’s National and Regional Priorities NOAA is using a new approach for execution priorities during FY , reflecting regional partnerships These programmatic priorities are at the intersection of: Stake- holder Demand, Visibility Required Geographic Specificity Corp- orate, Strategic Priorities Hazard Resilient Coastal Communities Integrated Ecosystem Assessments Integrated Water Resource Services Region-specific Priorities and Existing Commitments

4 Priority Area Task Team Integrated Water Resource Services – Gary Carter (lead) Roger Pulwarty (OAR CPO) Marty Ralph (OAR ESRL) Robin Webb (OAR ESRL) Kevin Kelleher (OAR NSSL) Scott Cross (NESDIS NCDDC) Jawed Hameedi (NOS NCCOS Mary Erickson (NOS OCS) Dick Wagenmaker (NWS CR) Dave Brandon (NWS WR) Pedro Restrepo (NWS OHD) Peter Gabrielsen (NWS ER) David Palmer (OAR AOML) John Stein (NMFS NWFSC)

5 NOAA's Capabilities: Water Prediction and Services Satellite and Environmental Data –Water surface conditions –Land cover/land use –Climate variability and change Oceans –Water and biological monitoring –Estuarine models Research –Earth system models –Environmental observing systems –Great Lakes inflows, water levels, and water quality Fisheries –Ecological and socio-economic assessments –Habitat conservation and restoration Weather –Weather, water, and climate monitoring and prediction –Forecasting infrastructure and service delivery –Hurricane storm surge forecasts Ocean Ecosystem Indicators of Salmon Marine Survival in the Northern California Current

6 Weather and Climate Information: Temperature Precipitation Wind, … Weather and Climate Information: Temperature Precipitation Wind, … Hydrology and Water Resource Modeling Water Management Water Information “Summit to the Sea” Decision Support Tools Drought Mitigation Flood Control Public Safety (Flash Floods, Debris Flow) Water Supply River Commerce Power Generation Agriculture Recreation Ecosystem Health Socioeconomic Sciences NOAA's Role: Water Forecasts for Decision Makers

7 Long-range Objective: “Summit to the Sea” Water Information System Freshwater Spawning/Rearing ♦ Snowpack ♦ Air Temperature ♦ Nutrients Downstream Migration ♦ River Flow ♦ Water Temperature ♦ Dam Operations Estuary/Early Ocean ♦ Water temperature and turbidity ♦ Nutrient Availability and Quality

8 Integrated Water Resource Services - FY 2007/08 Activities Demonstrate NOAA IWRS in support of the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) – D. Brandon (Lead) –FY 07/08: IWRS for Arizona (soil moisture observations and forecasts; NOAA West Water Resource Services web site) –FY 08: Evaluate improvements in QPE from gap filling radars in Colorado and lessons from HMT- West complex terrain studies –FY 08: Complete IWRS plan for Upper Colorado River Basin (incl. soil moisture, snow, flux sensors) Leverage NOAA Hydrometeorological Testbed capabilities for IWRS – M. Ralph (Lead) –FY07/08: State-of-the-art precipitation and snow level data from HMT being used to evaluate distributed hydrologic models in complex terrain (DMIP-II) –FY07/08: HMT Obs team & equip. capabilities will provide IWRS soil moisture, snow and flux systems and analysis to support Demonstration of IWRS in Central Region with NIDIS & NOAA West Collaborate with Water Quality Projects – P. Restrepo (Lead) –Delaware River Basin, Lake Michigan, San Francisco Bay National Water Quality Monitoring Network pilots –NOAA Central and Gulf of Mexico plan for an integrated Mississippi River/Coastal Gulf of Mexico water monitoring system Prepare plan for development and testing of the Coastal Estuary River Information System (CERIS) in North Carolina – K. Kelleher (Lead) –FY08: Complete plan for CERIS demonstration in the Carolinas; incl. hi-res hydro modeling, QPE development, assess user needs, evaluate river routing and estuary water quantity models

9 Budget Trends Fiscal Year NOAA Hydrology Program Base AHPS Water Resources 2003$28.0M$6.0M $30.0M$4.9M $30.4M$5.7M $30.4M$4.9M$1.5M 2007$30.8M$4.9M$3.0M 2008 (President’s Budget) $30.8M$6.0M$4.0M

10 Hydrologic Service Opportunities Expanded, Seamless Suite of Probabilistic Forecasts Gridded Water Resource Information Future Needs for Water Quantity AND Quality Forecasts Enhanced Corporate Expertise for Quality Control, Outreach, Coordination, Customer Support Community Hydrologic Prediction System – reinvigorated partnerships with the broader water science community NOAA’s Integrated Water Resource Services

11 General Strategy - Set Priorities and Focus on Deliverables All 21 Core Goals for the Hydrology Program are important OHD does not have the resources to move forward with activities for all 21 Core Goals during the next year or two We must stratify the Core Goals and identify the associated activities according to high priority, priority, low priority, and lowest priority for OHD Nothing in life is absolute and exceptions/conflicts will be dealt with on a case-by-case basis

12 OHD’s Administrative Activities and Organizational Constraints Other Responsibilities: –Managing and Leading: Jon (3) Geoff (3) Donna (1.5) –Field Support: Jon (1.5) Geoff (1.5) Donna (.5) –Computer Center Operation Jon (4) Geoff (.5) Donna (1) –HOSIP Process: Jon (.5) Geoff (.5) Donna (2) –IT Security Jon (.5) Geoff (0) Donna (0) –External Relationships (i.e., conferences): Jon (1) Geoff (2) Donna (1.5) –Planning Programming and Coordinating (PPC) (incl. Procurement and Budgeting) : Jon (.5) Geoff (.5) Donna (6.5) Software Branch Total (37)…….Allocated as shown above (11) Science Branch Total (37)…..Allocated as shown above (8) Front Office Staff Total (12)…Allocated as shown above (13) > 1/3 of OHD’s total resources are dedicated to work that is not included in the Core Goals

13 “Centers of Excellence” RFCs and WFOs Deliver NOAA Water Resource Services Foundation for Enhanced Capability –Operational hydrologists with solid understanding of cutting edge hydrologic science –Clear path to career opportunity and advancement –Hydrology and hydrometeorology training programs

Community-based Partnership for Water Forecasting ResSim demonstrates the first implementation of CHPS Leveraging partner capabilities leads to vast systemic improvements Objectives: –Common understanding and improved communications –Link organizations that are advancing hydrologic research –Deliver well-applied technology for a higher degree of real-time interagency collaboration –Demonstrate the enhanced productivity of a One Government approach Collaboration yields cost-effective outcomes: –Increased public safety –Enhanced levels of flood protection –Better water management