What Part Does Transportation and Land Use Play in Tackling Climate Change & Greenhouse Gas Emissions? Gordon Garry Director of Research and Analysis, SACOG March 12, 2008

Transportation is a major and growing contributor of Greenhouse Gases Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990 Inventory 2004 Inventory Change from 1990 to 2004 Road Transportation32%36%63% Other Transportation3%2%-3% Residential & Commercial Buildings10%9%-4% Agriculture & Forestry3%4%12% Energy Production37%35%17% Industrial4%6%23% Manufacturing6%4%-9% Other8%7%-2% Source:

Transportation & Land Use Sector Produces Vehicle Miles Traveled Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) is an important, but not the only, component of Greenhouse Gas emissions Vehicle and Fuel technologies and policies are the other two components

Land Use & Transportation Land Use & Transportation Greenhouse Gas Emissions Greenhouse Gas Emissions Vehicle Miles Traveled Personal Commercial Vehicle Miles Traveled Personal Commercial Vehicles Fleet mix Fleet age Vehicles Fleet mix Fleet age Fuel CO2 content of gas, diesel Alternative fuels Fuel CO2 content of gas, diesel Alternative fuels Connecting Land Use & Transportation to Greenhouse Gas Emissions

To address concerns about regional growth, SACOG in 2002 launched the: Sacramento Region Blueprint: Transportation/Land Use Study Regional Growth

Seven principles of smart growth

Blueprint Next Steps Implementation Metropolitan Transportation Plan 2035 Financial incentives for Smart Growth Planning and information tools for local governments Information-sharing

Blueprint Next Steps Community Design Grant Program Financial incentives for local governments to do smart growth

MTP2035 Promotes Smart Growth Road investments –Focus on “complete streets” –Roads and bridges that serve shorter trips, not longer- distance commutes –Road maintenance funding—critical for infill Transit investments –Big increase in funds, service miles and ridership –More options (e.g. shuttles, streetcars) –Commitment to $ incentives for land development near transit (Community Design Program)

Draft MTP 2035: Policy Directions Cost-effective solutions with good regional performance benefit eg) complete arterial grids & strategic freeway expansions eg) bus emphasis for coverage & frequency Serve shorter trips from changing land use eg) increased $ support for road maintenance & transit operations eg) budget % increase is greatest for bike/pedestrian and transportation programs (AQ, community design, etc.)

Draft MTP 2035: Plan Performance Vehicle Trips, Vehicle Hours, and Vehicle Miles per Household decline from today Congested Vehicle Miles Traveled per Household is held to significantly less growth than current MTP % of Trips by Transit or Walk/Bike increase

Final MTP 2035: Plan Performance

MTP2035 and Climate Change The EIR’s Climate Change analysis used existing information on climate change The Climate Action Team report provided data used to set a threshold of significance The Plan-No Plan comparison in 2020 showed no significant impact

Draft MTP 2035: Draft EIR Significant and Unavoidable Impacts Impact TRN-3: Substantial Increase in Congested Vehicle Miles Traveled per Household (but significantly lower than last plan:13% new plan vs. 58% old plan) Mitigation Measures ENE – 8: Adopt Transportation Pricing Policy ENE – 9: Create Public Education Program on Individual Transportation Behavior & Climate Change (Continued to next slide)

Draft MTP 2035: Draft EIR Significant and Unavoidable Impacts Mitigation Measures (cont.) ENE – 11: Adopt Regional Parking Regulation Policy to Provide Incentives for Use of Alternative Modes ENE – 12: Adopt Safe Routes to School Policy and Implement Pilot Program & Workshops ENE – 15: Adopt a “Complete Streets” policy LU – 2: Initiate a “Complete Streets” Technical Assistance Program

Draft MTP 2035: Draft EIR Significant and Unavoidable Impacts Impact ENE – 1: Construction Effects on Regional Energy Usage Mitigation Measures ENE – 1: Incentives for Energy Conservation Practices

Land Use & Transportation Land Use & Transportation Greenhouse Gas Emissions Greenhouse Gas Emissions Vehicle Miles Traveled Personal Commercial Vehicle Miles Traveled Personal Commercial Vehicles Fleet mix Fleet age Vehicles Fleet mix Fleet age Fuel CO2 content of gas, diesel Alternative fuels Fuel CO2 content of gas, diesel Alternative fuels Not All the Problems are Solved, Not All the Solutions Are Found

Remaining Transportation and Land Use Problems VMT, more Co-Benefits from Smart Growth –Pricing and parking policies –Goods and freight travel demand –More improvement in transit-land use match –“Complete Streets” implemented

Land Use & Transportation Land Use & Transportation Greenhouse Gas Emissions Greenhouse Gas Emissions Vehicle Miles Traveled Personal Commercial Vehicle Miles Traveled Personal Commercial Vehicles Fleet mix Fleet age Vehicles Fleet mix Fleet age Fuel CO2 content of gas, diesel Alternative fuels Fuel CO2 content of gas, diesel Alternative fuels

Remaining Transportation and Land Use Problems (cont.) Vehicle fleet, State and Federal issue –Increased fuel economy of cars & light trucks –Personal travel fleet turnover Depends on fuel and vehicle affordability –Increase fuel economy of commercial vehicle fleet –Commercial fleet turnover

Land Use & Transportation Land Use & Transportation Greenhouse Gas Emissions Greenhouse Gas Emissions Vehicle Miles Traveled Personal Commercial Vehicle Miles Traveled Personal Commercial Vehicles Fleet mix Fleet age Vehicles Fleet mix Fleet age Fuel CO2 content of gas, diesel Alternative fuels Fuel CO2 content of gas, diesel Alternative fuels

Remaining Transportation and Land Use Problems (cont.) Fuel, State and Federal Issue –Carbon content of gas and diesel Implement Low Carbon Fuel Standard –Alternative fuels Cost, infrastructure, technology

Questions ?