PetSmart Corp. Real Client Managed Portfolio PetSmart (PETM) November 14, 2013 Alex Johansson, Charlie Penicook & Zi Jian Gu.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Market Analysis Learning Unit 3.
Advertisements

Tootsie Roll Industries
NYSE: NGVC 11/29/2012 Turner Novak. Buy 75 $19.88 $1, % of portfolio.
Accenture Plc (ACN) Analysts: Chris Landqvist, Justin Pippitt, Kelli Coldiron & Wei Pi.
THE MOSAIC COMPANY (NYSE:MOS) NOVEMBER 7, 2013 Dan Ballantine, Zige He, and Zuowei Xu.
American Eagle Outfitters November 30 th, Introduction We currently own 1,500 shares of American Eagle and purchased shares on three separate dates:
Presented by 1 Peng Liang Yongxiang Mao Richie Hartz Xiaosi Song Shengkun Wang November 29, 2012.
American free enterprise
Consumer Discretionary Sector Presentation Arshan Ameen Brian Beck Josh Bernath Ryan Calloway Bryan Chard February 10, 2009 – FIN 724/824.
Annual Report 2003 Bank van de Nederlandse Antillen Willemstad, July 5, 2004.
Contemporary Investments: Chapter 12 Chapter 12 COMPANY ANALYSIS: THE HISTORICAL RECORD What are the components of a company analysis report? How do analysts.
Consumer Staples Company Presentation Chad Hackett Adam Gale.
Morgan Stanley December 7th, 2004 By Adam Freda.
Chapter OneCopyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall. 1 Chapter 1 Introduction.
Integrated Accounting Issues Winter 2006 Rodney K. Rogers, Ph.D., CPA School of Business Administration Portland State University.
December 4,  Introduction  Portfolio implications  Macroeconomic review  Review of Company  Relevant stock market prospect  Financial analysis.
Industrials Sector Jason Kraynak and Wade Guzdanski.
National Healthcare Corp.
FORECASTING PERFORMANCE Presented by: Teerachai Supojchalermkwan Krisna Soonsawad Chapter 11.
National HealthCare Corporation December 2, 2014 Ricky Fang, Fan Fei, Jacob Stoiber.
Security Analysis. Learning Goals Analyzing shares based on Economic, Industry and Fundamental of the company Analyzing shares to determine WHAT shares.
Analyzing Financial Data and Ratios
Investments: Analysis and Behavior Chapter 10- Financial Statement Analysis ©2008 McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. Mary Voss December 2, 2004.
(AL – NYSE) Brian Mulvihill December 11,  Portfolio Overview  Relevant Stock Market Prospects  Macroeconomic Review  Company Overview  Financial.
Jiazi Cui Ying Jiang Presented: April 24, Agenda  Company Overview  Relevant Macroeconomic Trends  Industry Structure Analysis  Financial Analysis.
COMPANY PRESENTATION Walgreen Company An Overview.
Recommendation: BUY United Parcel Service (UPS); Sell NG, JOYG, BHP.
Nordstrom Inc. (JWN) Michael Dietrich 11/2/11. Business Summary Retailer that offers apparel, shoes, cosmetics, and accessories for men and women. 222.
Service Challenge an exploration of business This computer simulation gives you and the others: an opportunity to manage a “real” business for several.
Netgear, Inc April/03/2012 Presentors: Ryo-Seob(Joseph) Kim Jionghan(JD) Dai Han(Henry) Yang Pattharaporn (Pauline) Lertphaiboonsiri Yen-Hua(Gina) Huang.
Consumer Staples Company Presentation Des Dudaney Erica Elsasser Neil Hertenstein Mun Yi Se Tho May 18 th, 2010.
Stock Presentation Consumer Discretionary Sector November 17 th, 2009 Tiffany Arnett, Pinjalim Bora, Sam Brickell.
Consumer Staples Sector Laura Fillman Mary Kanet.
STAPLES COMPANY VALUATION JACKIE PHAN LATRISHA SEARCY ANNA DAI.
Published By: Zion Research U.S. Pet Food (Dry Fo d, Wet Food and Treat & Snacks/Mixers) Market for Dogs, Cats and Other Pets Joel John 3422.
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC. APRIL 23, 2013 Kaushik Andra, Dan Ballantine, & Keaton J. Cervantes.
Walgreens David Mizell Date Presented: 12/09/2004.
Information Technology Finance 724/824 SIM Class Christopher Moran Suresh Ramasubramanian Sean Ramsey.
KMB Presentation: RCMP By: Paul Ripsky, Joe Vaccaro 4/21/2009.
Social Biz Nuts and Bolts Environment Analysis General / External / Internal.
Copyright © 2008 by Robert B. Carton Value Systems, Value Chains and Value-Based Management The Essence of Organizational Performance Is the Creation of.
MCD (NYSE) MENGYU SUN JUNYING SHEN CHI ZHANG October 30,2012
Annual Shareholders Meeting 26 October Wayne Boyd, Chairman.
1 Equity Valuation Process  Valuation?  The Scope of Equity Valuation Stock Selection Extracting Market Expectations Evaluation of Corporate Events/Business.
VALUATION MEASURING AND MANAGING THE VALUE OF COMPANIES
Outline Case study: food and beverage Industry background
1 Consumer Staples Stock Recommendation Mark Bauer and Joe Burch May 15, 2007.
Overview and Outlook for Georgia’s Revenue Situation and Economy Fiscal Management Council Office of Planning and Budget Ken Heaghney September 2015.
WABASH NATIONAL CORPORATION (NYSE:WNC)
Natasha Chou Spring 2013 Student Managed Investment Fund
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
American Eagle Outfitters Presented December 5, 2002.
Charlie Penicook and Zuowei Xu November 19, 2013.
American Eagle Outfitters Review for partial sale April 21 st, 2005 By Adam Freda.
Circular Flow Model and Economic Activity
Aditi Das Pien-Cheng WeiSashikanth Yenika Yanan Tan Yin Jen Kao (NYSE: COF) Investment Managers:
WALGREEN CO. Brandon Lee Minghui Li Jeremy Smith April 29, 2008.
Click to add text Principles of Marketing Fall 2013 Lecture Slides 3 Instructor : RAZA ILLAHE Lahore Leads University.
GREG BRUNO, LISANDRO TSAI, DREW OSIKA, MEILING LIU Presented: November 11, 2010 MCDONALDS CORP.
Walgreens Boots Alliance NASDAQ: WBA Presented by Zhi Cheng (Nicole) Low Yanan (Phoebe) Tan Zulay Sosa Bazante Rahul Gohil Shruti Shah Presented on March.
COUNTRY RISK ASSESSMENT China & Japan Eliza Bogucka Magdalena Mirek Dominika Dunin - Szpotańska.
NOTE: To change the image on this slide, select the picture and delete it. Then click the Pictures icon in the placeholder to insert your own image. GOODYEAR.
Jiaze Li Ningzhou Fang October 18, 2016.
Lesson 1 Exploring the World of Business and Economics
Applied Portfolio Management
Revise Lecture 18.
Flexsteel Industries, Inc.
Wine Import Analysis – Team 8
Financial Industry Group 4/20/2011
Presentation transcript:

PetSmart Corp. Real Client Managed Portfolio PetSmart (PETM) November 14, 2013 Alex Johansson, Charlie Penicook & Zi Jian Gu

Agenda ❏ Introduction ❏ Holding Information ❏ Macroeconomic Overview ❏ Industry Overview ❏ Company Overview ❏ Financial Analysis ❏ Valuation ❏ Recommendation

Current Holding Information ❏ May 3rd, 2012: ❏ Acquired 100 $58.88 ❏ Cost Basis = $5,888 ❏ November 29th, 2013: ❏ Hold Recommendation ❏ November 14th, 2013: ❏ Current holding 100 $73.02 ❏ HPR = 24%

Macroeconomic Overview October jobs report better than expected o 204,00 jobs added - 2x expectations Unemployment rose to 7.3% from 7.2% Possible reduction in quantitative easing due to stronger jobs report o May consider reduction at December’s Fed Meeting Income & job gap widens in uneven recovery Source: LATimes, Forbes, WSJ (URLs in notes)

Industry Analysis - Catalysts Number of Pets - Demand for industry goods increases as households adopt more pets - Owners spend $250/year on pet food - Continual growth of number of pets creates growth catalyst. - Predicted 4% growth in industry revenue through 2018 Per Capita Disposable Income - Per capita disposable income is expected to increase slowly in Consumers perceive pets as family members - pet products are considered non-discretionary - A decrease in disposable income has little affect on demand because pet goods are non-discretionary - Purchase of greater quantity of goods and premium items when disposable income increases - Growth of “pet parents ” Source: IBISWorld Industry Report - Pet Stores in the US (Pg. 4 & 5)

Source : IBISWorld Industry Report - Pet Stores in the US (URLs in notes) Industry Overlook - New product introductions and rising number of enterprises - Industry growing at 3.5%, economy is growing at 2.1% - Variety of premium pet foods allows high price with large markups - Services has been the fast growing segment - Supply Segment faces huge competition from large merchandises

Source: IBISWorld Industry Report - Pet Stores in the US (URLs in notes) Industry Overlook Customer Demographics - Age 35 to 54 accounts for more than 50% of the pet ownership - Steady Income and consider pets as family members Changing Competition - Supermarkets attracted many budget-conscious consumers by offering low quality goods - Expected to remain strong for basic pet supplies - Niche products become keys to succeed

Industry Performance - Growing industry and phenomenal growth the past 10 years - Continuous growth due to increase in number of pets and pet owners’ attitudes towards them % of US households own a pet - growth rates have translated into rising demand for pet products - Continual growth from , even during the recession - The emerging trend of pet parents has also commanded high demand for premium pet products and services - Net profit margins have increased to 3.5% from 3.0% in 2008 Source: IBISWorld Industry Report - Pet Stores in the US (URL in notes)

Industry Analysis - Porter’s Five Forces Source: IBISWorld Industry Report - Pet Stores in the US

Company Overview ❏ Specialty Retailer ❏ Products, services, and solutions for pets ❏ 1,278 stores ❏ Offers a variety of pets for sale (no cats or dogs) ❏ PetSmart Pet Hotel ❏ Animal Hospital (operate by Banfield) ❏ Banfield is a partially owned subsidiary ❏ Services include grooming & training services Source: PETM K; (Pg. 4, 5). IBISWorld Industry Report - Pet Stores in the US (Pg. 2)

Company Overview ❏ Company Strategy ❏ Innovative product and services development ❏ Engaging with customers ❏ Financial Outlook ❏ Net sales increased 10.5% to $6.8 billion in 2012 from $6.1 billion in 2011 ❏ Comparable store sales increased 6.3% in 2012 from a 5.4% increase in 2011 Source: PETM K; (Pg )

Risk Factors ❏ A decline in consumer spending or detrimental change in consumer behavior. ❏ Mis-management of inventory ❏ Increasing competition among specialty retailers ❏ A disruption or increased costs of supply chain ❏ Operation of Banfield pet hospitals diminishes ❏ Comparable store sales growth decreases Source: PETM K; (Pg. 7-14)

Company Overview ❏ Recent News ❏ October 17, 2013: ❏ Continues to expect the Earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $0.83 to $0.87, ❏ Comparable store sales growth to be in the range of %, compared to 3-4%. ❏ total sales growth in the range of 3-4% ❏ Earnings per share in the range of $3.88 to $3.98. ❏ September 26, 2013: ❏ Increase its quarterly dividend by 18% to $0.195 from $0.165 per share beginning in the third quarter of fiscal ❏ The dividend of $0.195 will be paid on November 15, 2013 Source: PETM K; (Pg ); OneSource (URL in notes)

Management Outlook ❏ Challenges include: ❏ Operation in a highly competitive market ❏ Volatility of macro-economy ❏ Cash flow from operations adequate to meet operating, investing and financing needs in the short-term ❏ Assess economic conditions to guide decisions on use of cash ❏ Continual evaluation of store performance ❏ 46 net new stores opened in 2012 Source: PETM K (Pg )

Company Overview - SWOT Source: OneSource Information Service: PetSmart,Inc.

Recent PETM Performance Source: Yahoo! Finance

PetSmart Financials

PetSmart Financials – Sales Growth Source: OneSource Information Service: PetSmart,Inc.

PetSmart Financials - Profitability Source: OneSource Information Service: PetSmart,Inc.

PetSmart Financials – Efficiency Source: OneSource Information Service: PetSmart,Inc.

PetSmart Financials - Solvency Source: OneSource Information Service: PetSmart,Inc.

PetSmart Financials - DuPont Source: OneSource Information Service: PetSmart,Inc.

No Comparables Analysis PetSmart is the only publicly traded retailer devoted to pet products and services Petco. is a private company—No Financials Big-Box Competitors aren’t related enough Specialty Retail

Technical Analysis

Decision Drivers Continued growth during economic downturn Diversified product offering Market saturation concerns o Demographic slowdown o New store expansion Increased competition from big box retailers, e-commerce Consistent dividend growth

Equity Valuation

Recommendation DCF Valuation: $71.65 Current Price: $ Recommendation: HOLD