Discussion of RTF Wood Smoke Analysis Recommendations RTF PAC November 24, 2014 1.

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Discussion of RTF Wood Smoke Analysis Recommendations RTF PAC November 24,

Work to Date  RTF staff investigated the methodology for quantifying health impacts from changes in wood smoke  Meet with both RTF and RTF PAC in October to discuss findings  Updated the Power Committee at its November meeting  Finalized an RTF Recommendation at its November 18 meeting 2

Highlights from Previous RTF PAC Discussion (1)  Role of the Council, RTF, and utilities: The benefit is a public health benefit that the electric system is not responsible for  Questions around the role of electric rate payers  Questions around primarily justifying cost effectiveness based on non energy benefits (and not the energy benefits)  Boundaries: Potentially going down this path could open a lot of doors  General agreement that defining clear boundaries would be important  Questions around where one might draw those boundaries 3

Highlights from Previous RTF PAC Discussion (2)  Direct attribution: Whether the example satisfies the requirements of the Power Act around attribution  Differences of opinion around definition  Council will ultimately decide and may not be bound by litigated interpretations  Role of the RTF and RTF PAC: What is the role in informing the Council’s thinking on the environmental methodology  Interest in understanding any RTF decision  Interest in the RTF PAC potentially developing its own recommendation 4

RTF Discussion  RTF technical findings to help inform the Council’s thinking on these questions  Specifically focusing on technical considerations on causality and potential methodology for quantification 5

RTF Findings (1) Step 1: Quantifying Changes in Wood Use Resulting from an Energy Efficiency Measure  There is a causal link between ductless heat pumps and wood use, as evidence shows that the introduction of a ductless heat pump offsets some supplemental wood use, on average.  Wood use changes can be quantified and would need to be determined on a measure category basis. 6 See the memo for the full language of the RTF decision

RTF Findings (2) Steps 2-4: Monetizing the Resulting Health Impacts  If the Council finds that health impacts from wood smoke emissions should be a part of its cost effectiveness analysis, the RTF notes that there is a methodology used by EPA to quantify and monetize impacts and is accepted as best practice.  A more sophisticated dispersion model would be required to be consistent with EPA methodology that accounts for locational impacts of emissions and partial-year effects.  The monetized value of health impacts, for at least some measures, can be significant. 7 See the memo for the full language of the RTF decision

RTF Findings (3)  Reliability of Existing Estimates: There is not consensus as to whether today’s numbers are good enough  Resource Requirements: The RTF outlined the resources used to date and noted that more would be required. 8 See the memo for the full language of the RTF decision

Materials for the Council  Packet materials due Dec 2 9 RTF PAC Recommendation ??

PAC Discussion 10