Current Exposure- Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Future Exposure- Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity Natural Science Social Science.

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Presentation transcript:

Current Exposure- Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Future Exposure- Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity Natural Science Social Science Community-Based Vulnerability Assessment multiple stresses stakeholders differential vulnerability relevant exposures coping range Challenges “scaling up” assumption that past constraints/conditions limit/enable future action outcome: areas of particular concern, laundry list of possible adaptations adaptation does not occur at community scale alone adaptation as opportunity

Current Exposure- Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Future Exposure- Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity Natural Science Sociall Science Governance Assessment (multi-level networks, adaptiveness, transformations) Scale

Axes: key uncertainties within which decisions are made Globalization and environmental change?

Current Exposure- Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Future Exposure- Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity Natural Science Sociall Science Governance Assessment (multi-level networks, adaptiveness, transformations) Scale Adaptation Visioning and Evaluation against Maladaptation

Tools: scenario / “storyline” generation based on (revised) CBVA Methodological tools: ABM, PPGIS, design charettes Maladaptation: Barnett and O’Neill (2009): increase GHG emissions, disproportionately burden most vulnerable, high opportunity costs relative to other options, reduce incentives to adapt, foster path dependency