M.A.Wijeratne Tea Research Institute of Sri Lanka

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Presentation transcript:

M.A.Wijeratne Tea Research Institute of Sri Lanka ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT AND ADAPTATION IN PLANTATION SECTOR OF SRI LANKA M.A.Wijeratne Tea Research Institute of Sri Lanka

BACKGROUND LANDUSE – COCONUT 420,000 ha TEA 180,000 ha IMPORTANCE OF TEA AND COCONUT INDUSTRY LANDUSE – COCONUT 420,000 ha TEA 180,000 ha FOREIGN EXCHANGE EARNINGS – 15% EMPLOYMENTS - 1.5 MILLION PEOPLE

PLANTATION CROPS ARE VULNERABLE TO: -RAINFALL (TOTAL & DISTRIBUTION/DROUGHT) -MAX. & MIN. TEMPERATURE -CO2

OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY TO DEVELOP CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR TEA & COCNUT GROWING AREAS (GCM AND RCM) TO ASSESS IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGEC ON - LANDUSE & PRODUCTIVITY - SOCIO-ECONOMIC STATUS MAPPING OF VULNERABLE AREAS . TO ASSESS AND RECOMMEND ADAPTATION OPTIONS . ASSISTING IMPLEMENTATION OF ADAPTATION MEASURES

APPROACH BASELINE DATA COLLECTION– (AGRO ECOLOGICAL REGION BASIS) TEMPERATURE, RAINFALL, ESTATE YIELD, SOCIO-ECONOMIC DATA DEVELOPMENT OF CLIMATE AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC SCENARIOS MAPPING OF VULNERABLE AREAS IN GIS CROP MODELLING FOR CROP PRODUCTIVITY BY 2050 IMPACT ASSESSMENT ON SOCIO-ECONOMIC STATUS OF STAKEHOLDERS, SECTORAL LEVEL & NATIONAL LEVEL

DEVELOPMENT AND EVALUATION OF ADAPTATION MEASURES BIO-PHYSICAL MEASURES POLICY MEASURES IN CONCURRENCE WITH: RESEARCHERS , STAKEHOLDERS AND POLICY MAKERS

ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF ADAPTATION OPTIONS COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS IMPLEMENTATION OF ADAPTATION MEASURES RECOMMENDATION OF SUITABLE OPTIONS AWARENESS PROGRAM FOR STAKEHOLDERS AND POLICY MAKERS

EXPECTED OUTPUT CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS VULNERABILITY MAPS ADAPTATION OPTIONS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE TECHNICAL REPORTS FOR PEER REVIEWED JOURNALS