STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section Estimated patterns of trade in services flows between OECD countries and rest of the world Fabiana Cerasa OECD Statistics Directorate Agenda Item 5.i Agenda 3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section Estimated patterns of TIS flows 2 3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section Steps to fill the matrix 3 3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section 1 st and 2 nd steps 4 3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section 3 rd and 4 th steps 5 3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section Guesstimates For example, after having exploited every potential information provided by mirror statistics: half of the unallocated export from Africa have been allocated to Gulf Arabia with the other half going to Africa. the unallocated Middle East exports have been equally divided between Africa and the Middle East Taiwan’s estimated partner country distribution replicates the breakdown provided by Hong Kong Thailand’s estimated partner country distribution replicates the breakdown provided by Singapore in the 3 rd and 4 th steps OECD data have been used only for Hong Kong and Russian Federation 6

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section Final steps After completion, the line totals have been scaled up to:  the total exports available in OECD International trade in services by category of services (TIS dataset) for the top side of the matrix that corresponds to OECD exporting countries  the IMF BOP totals for the bottom side that corresponds to non-OECD exporting countries Finally, in the standard table presentation, the five continents shown (Africa, America, Asia and Oceania and Europe) have been created reallocating OECD and non-OECD country data 7

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section Final result 8 3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD OECD countries accounted for 71% of world service exports intra-OECD exports accounted for 77% of total OECD exports …while an estimated 53% of OECD exports goes to OECD Europe countries 65.3% of OECD Europe’s exports destined for other OECD Europe countries OECD Asia and Oceania trades mainly with Asia and Oceania (3.3%) and America (2.1%). 4.3% of world services exports exported by OECD Asia and Oceania to OECD countries, with the largest share (1.9%) to NAFTA 2.6% of world services exports to Africa, while 1.3% exported by Africa to Europe

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section Coverage of data reported directly and supplementary mirror data 9 3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD

STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness Section Questions to WPTGS delegates: Are you aware of any other existing trade in services world matrix? Are you aware of any other possible database from which bilateral data can be sourced? Any suggestions to improve the methodology? 10 3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD