Team Formation Antonio Varela Laura Mundy Patrick Nolan Tejaswi Javagal
The Question..??? Will India and China Keep Growing at the same pace ? Will the Infrastructure be able to keep up? Sustainable growth?
A comparison - Similarities Worlds leading and richest at one time Reemerging as world powers strong external positions low external debt
A comparison - Differences ChinaIndia ManufacturingServices Export drivenDomestic Consumption driven Single Party RuleMulti Party Democracy Liberalization started in 1979Liberalization Started In 1991 Recently Included Into WTOFounding member of GATT/WTO
GDP Growth Rates India China International Monetary Fund India China
Inflation rates India China
China – Roads & Expressways 1.71 million kilometre adding more than a million kilometres since 19,000 kilometres of Expressways
China – Railroads 102,000 kilometres of operating track 24,000 kilometres electrified carried 12billion passengers 3.7 billion tons of cargo.
Problem - China Inadequate infrastructure Heavily government dependent Not able to cope with the growth
China -Solutions Include Private investors Develop alternate destinations Leverage its manufacturing powers to grow in services
India – Roads & Railroads 96,000 Kilometers 20,000 Kilometers highways carry 40% of traffic 62,500 Kilometers Fourth heavily used system Carries 2/3 rd of freight
Problems Severe infrastructure bottlenecks Lack of quality Infrastructure Low spending on Infrastructure due to high government debt
Solutions Increase Infrastructure spending Public - private partnership Share the risk Speedy approvals Cut red tape Incentives to invest Develop alternate investment destinations SEZs
Composition of GDP
The best approach China : Manufacturing Services = Opportunity Policies supporting IT/ Services India : Services Manufacturing = Opportunity SEZs
Who..?? China: State =>Opportunity for private sector India: Private Enterprise => Improvements in State capacity
Conclusion Conditional Yes …!!!!
QUESTION(S)…???