© Richard Welke 2002 CIS 4120 Fa13: Define/Innovate BP’s Richard Welke Director, CEPRIN Professor, CIS Robinson College of Business Georgia State University.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Session 7: Introduction to Process Simulation
Advertisements

Chapter 6 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions
Experimental Design, Response Surface Analysis, and Optimization
Bite sized training sessions: Objectives & Principles.
(Monté Carlo) Simulation
1 Ardavan Asef-Vaziri Jan-2011Operations Management: Waiting Lines 2 The arrival rate to a GAP store is 6 customers per hour and has Poisson distribution.
Waiting Lines Example-1
Waiting Line Models And Service Improvement
Chapter 13 Queuing Theory
Chapter 6 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions
BCOR 1020 Business Statistics Lecture 14 – March 4, 2008.
MGTSC 352 Lecture 23: Congestion Management Introduction: Asgard Bank example Simulating a queue Types of congested systems, queueing template Ride’n’Collide.
To Accompany Russell and Taylor, Operations Management, 4th Edition,  2003 Prentice-Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 16 Waiting Line Models and.
Chapter 5 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions
1 Ardavan Asef-Vaziri Sep-09Operations Management: Waiting Lines3  Terminology: The characteristics of a queuing system is captured by five parameters:
Chapter 9: Queuing Models
© Richard Welke 2002 CIS 4120 Fa13: Define/Innovate BP’s Richard Welke Director, CEPRIN Professor, CIS Robinson College of Business Georgia State University.
Slide - 1 Dr Terry Hinton 6/9/05UniS - Based on Slides by Micro Analysis & Design An example of a Simulation Simulation of a bank: Three tasks or processes:
1 Automotive Maintenance and Repair Shop Expansion Presentation by Steve Roberson For CST 5306 Modeling and Simulation.
Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions
Session 10: LSS Improvement Techniques Part-2
OPSM 301: Operations Management
A Somewhat Odd Service Process (Chapters 1-6)
Spreadsheet Modeling & Decision Analysis
Copyright 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Beni Asllani University of Tennessee at Chattanooga Waiting Line Analysis for Service Improvement Operations Management.
CA200 Quantitative Analysis for Business Decisions.
Session 5: Business Process Modeling (BPMN) Events
© Richard Welke 2002 CIS 4120 Fa12: Define/Innovate BP’s Richard Welke Director, CEPRIN Professor, CIS Robinson College of Business Georgia State University.
EMGT 501 Fall 2005 Final Exam Due Day: Dec 12 (Noon)
1 1 Slide © 2001 South-Western College Publishing/Thomson Learning Anderson Sweeney Williams Anderson Sweeney Williams Slides Prepared by JOHN LOUCKS QUANTITATIVE.
4/11: Queuing Models Collect homework, roll call Queuing Theory, Situations Single-Channel Waiting Line System –Distribution of arrivals –Distribution.
© Richard Welke 2002 CIS 4120 Fa12: Define/Innovate BP’s Richard Welke Director, CEPRIN Professor, CIS Robinson College of Business Georgia State University.
1 Queuing Analysis Overview What is queuing analysis? - to study how people behave in waiting in line so that we could provide a solution with minimizing.
Giapetto's Woodcarving: The LP Model
1 Systems Analysis Methods Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow SMU EMIS 5300/7300 NTU SY-521-N NTU SY-521-N SMU EMIS 5300/7300 Queuing Modeling and Analysis.
© Richard Welke 2002 CIS 4120 Fa13: Define/Innovate BP’s Richard Welke Director, CEPRIN Professor, CIS Robinson College of Business Georgia State University.
Advance Waiting Line Theory and Simulation Modeling.
Exam Covers everything not covered by the last exam. Starts with simulation If you cant’ get the optimal solution – get a pretty good one. You may run.
1 1 Slide © 2009 South-Western, a part of Cengage Learning Slides by John Loucks St. Edward’s University.
© Richard Welke 2002 CIS 4120: Define/Innovate BP’s Richard Welke Director, CEPRIN Professor, CIS Robinson College of Business Georgia State University.
1 Ardavan Asef-Vaziri Sep-09Operations Management: Waiting Lines3 Example: The arrival rate to a GAP store is 6 customers per hour and has Poisson distribution.
Review Session Jehan-François Pâris. Agenda Statistical Analysis of Outputs Operational Analysis Case Studies Linear Regression.
Chap 5-1 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. A Course In Business Statistics 4 th Edition Chapter 5 Discrete and Continuous.
OPSM 301: Operations Management Session 13-14: Queue management Koç University Graduate School of Business MBA Program Zeynep Aksin
Queuing Models.
Managerial Decision Making Chapter 13 Queuing Models.
Chap 5-1 Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions.
Module D Waiting Line Models.
18 Management of Waiting Lines
Managing Flow Variability: Safety Capacity
Session 10: Business Process Simulation
NATCOR Stochastic Modelling Course Inventory Control – Part 2
Chapter 9: Queuing Models
WL2. An ambulance company receives a request for service about every 45 minutes. The service time, which includes time for the ambulance to get to the.
Solutions Hwk Que3 1 The port of Miami has 3 docking berths for loading and unloading ships but is considering adding a 4th berth.
LESSON 12: EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION
مهندسی مجدد فرآیندهای تجاری
Continuous Probability Distributions Part 2
7-7 Statistics The Normal Curve.
LESSON 8: RANDOM VARIABLES EXPECTED VALUE AND VARIANCE
Chapter 6 Introduction to Continuous Probability Distributions
THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION AND THE 68–95–99.7% RULE
EMGT 501 Fall 2005 Final Exam Due Day: Dec 12 (Noon)
Queuing Analysis.
Continuous Probability Distributions Part 2
Continuous Probability Distributions Part 2
Table 2: Experimental results for linear ELP
Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions
Continuous Probability Distributions Part 2
PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
Presentation transcript:

© Richard Welke 2002 CIS 4120 Fa13: Define/Innovate BP’s Richard Welke Director, CEPRIN Professor, CIS Robinson College of Business Georgia State University Atlanta, GA Session 7: AH-7: Simulation exercise

CIS4120Fa13 AH-8 Simulation on INNOV8 © Richard Welke 2013 AH-7: Customer service scenario Step one Import the.bpm for INNOV-8 from Course wiki 2

CIS4120Fa13 AH-8 Simulation on INNOV8 © Richard Welke 2013 Associated scenario & process owner PTBS After, Inc. Provides customer service (two types) Some they service themselves Some they outsource to another organization (NFLEX) Each have different costs, service rate times, etc. Process owner’s issue What’s the best criteria and therefore split to use between in-house and NFLEX customer service? Givens: Servicing rate Cost of providing the two customer services (per hour) Question to answer Optimal split between the two service organizations Given an overall ROI formula 3

CIS4120Fa13 AH-8 Simulation on INNOV8 © Richard Welke 2013 The “Givens” and the Question Arrival rate of customer service requests Assume Poisson distribution with arrival rates of Mean (negative exponential): 0.21 Collect called info Number of servers: 1 Call handling time (fixed; non-variable): 1 min. Split between AfterInc and NFLEX NFLEX: 39% Assume Service time distributions of in-house and NFLEX that are normally distributed with mean and standard deviations of: In-house: Mean: 3.8 Standard deviation: 1.0 NFLEX: Mean: 4.1 Standard deviation: 1.0 Assume current split between in-house and NFLEX decision (business rules) gateway of: In-house: 39 % NFLEX: 61 % We’ll assume the automated task take one second (fixed) What’s the average end-to-end customer processing time with this scenario? 4

CIS4120Fa13 AH-8 Simulation on INNOV8 © Richard Welke 2013 At-home exercise (AH-7) Begin exploring the “response surface” of alternative possibilities Note: This is non-linear (more or less of something won’t necessarily improve the overall outcome) Within the “objective function” begin to explore the “best” solution for the process owner You have until 15 minutes before the end-class to state your team’s best solution so far Best demonstrable solution “wins” 5