Forecast Review - Bangor Alyson Hoegg, Anna Schneider, Rachel Rice Meteorology 415.

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Presentation transcript:

Forecast Review - Bangor Alyson Hoegg, Anna Schneider, Rachel Rice Meteorology 415

Bangor, Maine O “The Queen City of the East” O 3 rd most populated city in Maine O Size: 34.7 Square Miles O Population: O 35,473 - City O 153,923 – Metro

Observations KBGR Z 30004KT 10SM OVC034 05/03 A3028 AO2 RAE05 SLP254 BINOVC W P0000 T KBGR Z 31005KT 10SM FEW029 OVC033 04/03 A3026 AO2 RAE05 P0000 KBGR Z 31007G15KT 10SM -RA FEW012 BKN029 OVC034 05/03 A3025 AO2 SLP244 P T KBGR Z 32011G16KT 10SM -RA FEW010 BKN020 OVC026 06/03 A3024 AO2 P0001 KBGR Z 32015KT 6SM -RA BR BKN010 OVC017 06/05 A3022 AO2 CIG 007V013 PRESRR SLP233 P0004 T KBGR Z 34016G21KT 6SM -RA BR SCT010 BKN014 OVC019 07/06 A3021 AO2 P0004 KBGR Z 34010KT 8SM -RA FEW008 OVC016 09/08 A3016 AO2 P0000 KBGR Z 32004KT 7SM -RA OVC016 09/08 A3017 AO2 SLP215 P0004 T KBGR Z 31003KT 9SM -RA FEW009 SCT014 OVC065 09/09 A3016 AO2 P0001 KBGR Z 31004KT 10SM -RA BKN014 OVC055 09/09 A3017 AO2 RAE15B48 SLP216 P T

Observations KBGR Z 00000KT 10SM CLR M03/M04 A3049 AO2 SLP327 T KBGR Z 35006KT 10SM CLR M02/M04 A3046 AO2 SLP317 T KBGR Z 32005KT 10SM FEW200 M01/M04 A3046 AO2 SLP315 T KBGR Z 33005KT 10SM FEW045 M02/M04 A3045 AO2 SLP313 T KBGR Z 00000KT 10SM CLR M01/M03 A3044 AO2 SLP309 T KBGR Z 29003KT 10SM CLR 01/M03 A3042 AO2 SLP301 T KBGR Z 32008KT 10SM FEW048 01/M02 A3040 AO2 SLP296 T KBGR Z 31008KT 10SM OVC050 03/M02 A3040 AO2 SLP295 T KBGR Z 32009KT 10SM OVC055 03/M01 A3039 AO2 SLP290 T KBGR Z 32004KT 10SM OVC046 04/00 A3036 AO2 SLP282 T KBGR Z 32009KT 10SM OVC044 04/00 A3034 AO2 SLP T KBGR Z 33012G18KT 10SM OVC040 04/01 A3031 AO2 SLP265 T

Observations KBGR Z 36014KT 10SM FEW150 06/M04 A3051 AO2 SLP334 T KBGR Z 36012KT 10SM CLR 05/M03 A3052 AO2 SLP336 T KBGR Z 01014KT 10SM FEW150 04/M03 A3053 AO2 SLP342 T KBGR Z 01012KT 10SM FEW150 02/M03 A3055 AO2 SLP347 T KBGR Z 35008KT 10SM SCT150 M01/M03 A3054 AO2 SLP345 T KBGR Z 35008KT 10SM FEW200 M02/M04 A3055 AO2 SLP347 T KBGR Z 35006KT 10SM FEW200 M03/M04 A3053 AO2 SLP T KBGR Z 35003KT 10SM FEW200 M03/M05 A3051 AO2 SLP333 T

18Z Surface Map

1 8Z Radar

18Z 300mb Winds

18Z GFS Run for OZ

OZ Radar

KBGR Verifications

Survey Scores

Career Scores

Up Close and Personal

Lessons Learned - Bangor O MOS is less reliable during the passage of a front with regards to temperature. O Evaporative cooling from precipitation will lower temperatures. O High pressure behind a front can clear skies and increase the diurnal range.

Forecast Review – Savannah

Savannah, Georgia O “The Hostess City of the South” O Birthplace of the Founder of Girl Scouts O Population: O 139,491 – City O 355,576 – Metro

Observations METAR KSAV Z 02014KT 10SM SCT010 BKN015 OVC031 16/13 A3020 AO2 SLP226 T SPECI KSAV Z 01016KT 10SM SCT010 BKN015 OVC031 16/13 A3020 AO2 SPECI KSAV Z 01014KT 10SM SCT010 BKN013 OVC031 18/16 A3018 AO2 SPECI KSAV Z 36014KT 10SM BKN015 BKN021 OVC031 19/16 A3017 AO2 METAR KSAV Z 36008KT 10SM FEW019 BKN031 21/17 A3017 AO2 SLP215 T METAR KSAV Z 32008KT 10SM FEW021 SCT026 BKN090 22/17 A3016 AO2 SLP211 T METAR KSAV Z 35008KT 10SM FEW026 BKN095 23/17 A3014 AO2 SLP207 T METAR KSAV Z 32010KT 10SM SCT026 BKN033 OVC130 23/17 A3015 AO2 SLP210 T SPECI KSAV Z 33010KT 10SM SCT026 BKN033 OVC130 23/17 A3016 AO2 METAR KSAV Z 34007KT 9SM BKN026 BKN130 23/17 A3017 AO2 SLP216 T

Observations KSAV Z 02007KT 5SM BR OVC004 11/10 A3026 AO2 SLP245 T SPECI KSAV Z 02008KT 5SM BR OVC004 11/11 A3026 AO2 KSAV Z 02009KT 8SM OVC006 11/10 A3027 AO2 SLP248 CIG 004V T KSAV Z 02009KT 10SM SCT003 BKN006 OVC011 11/11 A3027 AO2 SLP251 T METAR KSAV Z 01007KT 6SM BR FEW003 BKN006 OVC009 11/11 A3028 AO2 RAE44 SLP251 P0003 T KSAV Z 01009KT 5SM RA BR BKN006 OVC009 12/11 A3027 AO2 RAB26 SLP250 P T METAR KSAV Z 01012KT 10SM OVC006 12/10 A3026 AO2 SLP245 T SPECI KSAV Z 36012G17KT 10SM BKN006 OVC010 12/11 A3025 AO2 KSAV Z 36009KT 10SM OVC012 13/11 A3024 AO2 RAE52 SLP241 P0000 T KSAV Z 36007KT 7SM -RA OVC010 14/12 A3023 AO2 RAB42 SLP236 P T KSAV Z 36010KT 10SM BKN010 OVC018 15/13 A3021 AO2

Observations KSAV Z 03007KT 10SM FEW009 OVC011 10/08 A3035 AO2 SLP276 T SPECI KSAV Z 03007KT 10SM SCT009 OVC011 10/08 A3034 AO2 METAR KSAV Z 02009KT 10SM BKN008 OVC013 10/08 A3033 AO2 SLP270 T SPECI KSAV Z 02008KT 10SM BKN008 OVC013 10/08 A3033 AO2 KSAV Z 04008KT 10SM SCT007 OVC013 10/08 A3031 AO2 METAR KSAV Z 04008KT 7SM BKN005 OVC010 10/08 A3030 AO2 SLP T KSAV Z 03010KT 5SM BR SCT002 OVC005 11/09 A3029 AO2 SLP255 T KSAV Z 02008KT 5SM BR SCT002 OVC005 11/09 A3028 AO2 SLP253 CIG 004V007 T SPECI KSAV Z 02010KT 5SM BR SCT002 OVC005 11/10 A3027 AO2 CIG 004V007 METAR KSAV Z 03010KT 3SM BR SCT002 OVC004 11/10 A3027 AO2 SLP250 T METAR KSAV Z 03010KT 3SM BR SCT002 OVC004 11/10 A3026 AO2 SLP246 T

Observations METAR KSAV Z 04008KT 10SM OVC013 12/08 A3031 AO2 SLP264 T KSAV Z 04008KT 10SM FEW009 OVC011 12/08 A3032 AO2 SLP266 T KSAV Z 04007KT 10SM SCT009 OVC011 11/08 A3033 AO2 METAR KSAV Z 04008KT 10SM OVC009 11/08 A3034 AO2 SLP274 T KSAV Z 04009KT 10SM OVC009 11/08 A3035 AO2 SLP277 T SPECI KSAV Z 02009KT 10SM OVC009 10/08 A3035 AO2 CIG 009V012

18Z November 13 th

OZ Surface Analysis

3Z Radar

3Z GFS Guidance

KSAV Verifications

Survey Scores

Career Scores

Up Close and Personal

Lessons Learned - Savannah O Warm advection ahead of a front can dramatically increase temperatures over a few hours. O Recent rainfall will prevent temperatures from rising due to increased soil moisture.