Overview CARBOOCEAN EU FP6 Integrated Project CARBOOCEAN ”Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment” 3rd Annual Meeting – Bremen Germany 4-7 December.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Some questions in current climate and CO 2 studies.

Advertisements

Ocean Biogeochemistry (C, O 2, N, P) Achievements and challenges Nicolas Gruber Environmental Physics, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland. Using input from.

Global trends in air-sea CO 2 fluxes based on in situ and satellite products Rik Wanninkhof, NOAA/AOML ACE Ocean Productivity and Carbon Cycle (OPCC) Workshop.

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Review June 30 - July 2, 2009 Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Review June 30 - July 2, 2009.

CMIP5: Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5

Climate Change & Global Warming: State of the Science overview December 2009 Nathan Magee.

Tropical vs. extratropical terrestrial CO 2 uptake and implications for carbon-climate feedbacks Outline: How we track the fate of anthropogenic CO 2 Historic.

The Ocean and the Earth Climate Rainer Reuter SIG Remote Sensing of the Coastal Zone Workshop Keynote, 07 June 2007 Special Interest Group Remote Sensing.

Carbon Cycle and Ecosystems Important Concerns: Potential greenhouse warming (CO 2, CH 4 ) and ecosystem interactions with climate Carbon management (e.g.,

PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Climate Change: How did we get here and what do we do now? Eugene S. Takle, PhD, CCM Professor of.

Master Narratives & Global Climate Change Charlie Vars Dave Bella Court Smith IPCC January 29, 2013.

2. Land-Use Change (primarily tropical deforestation) 1. Burning of fossil fuels How Are We Increasing the CO 2 Concentration?

The Ocean’s Role in the Carbon Cycle in Relation to Increased Atmospheric CO 2 Paul Loikith.

Science Based Policy for Addressing Energy and Environmental Problems Robert Sawyer Class of 1935 Professor of Energy Emeritus University of California.

Science Based Policy for Addressing Energy and Environmental Problems Robert Sawyer Class of 1935 Professor of Energy Emeritus University of California.

The Anthropogenic Ocean Carbon Sink Alan Cohn March 29, 2006

GEOF236 CHEMICAL OCEANOGRAPHY (HØST 2012) Christoph Heinze University of Bergen, Geophysical Institute and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research Prof. in.

Dr. Nicholas R. Bates Bermuda Biological Station For Research Twenty Years of Oceanic CO 2 Observations in the North Atlantic Ocean at the BATS site.

US CLIVAR Themes. Guided by a set of questions that will be addressed/assessed as a concluding theme action by US CLIVAR Concern a broad topical area.

Acceleration of the sea surface fCO2 growth rate in the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre ( ). N. Metzl, A Corbière, G. Reverdin, A.Lenton, T. Takahashi,

CARBOOCEAN-IP Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment “Global Change and Ecosystems” (511176) The Norwegian CarboSchool project.

Core Theme 4 : Biogeochemical Feedbacks on the Oceanic Carbon Sink. M. Gehlen (CEA/DSM/LSCE) CarboOcean Annual Meeting Bremen 4-7/12/2007.

Coordinated by: CARBOOCEAN Integrated ProjectContract No (GOCE) Global Change and Ecosystems Summary on consolidated report for year 1.

The Global Ocean Carbon Cycle Rik Wanninkhof, NOAA/AOML Annual OCO review, June 2007: Celebrating Our Past, Observing our Present, Predicting our Future:

GEOF236 CHEMICAL OCEANOGRAPHY (HØST 2012) Christoph Heinze University of Bergen, Geophysical Institute and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research Prof. in.

Marine CO 2 sources and sinks (CarboOcean IP), ocean acidification, and artificial Fe fertilization Christoph Heinze.

1 Observed physical and bio-geochemical changes in the ocean Nathan Bindoff ACECRC, IASOS, CSIRO MAR University of Tasmania TPAC.

The Other Carbon Dioxide Problem Ocean acidification is the term given to the chemical changes in the ocean as a result of carbon dioxide emissions.

Third annual CarboOcean meeting, 4.-7.December 2007, Bremen, Segschneider et al. Does warm or cold water take up more CO 2 ? E Maier-Reimer, J. Segschneider,

Understanding the Ocean Carbon Cycle from Atmospheric Measurements of O 2 and CO 2 Andrew Manning, UEA, UK.

CarboOcean 2009 CARINA - Carbon dioxide in the Atlantic Ocean Will allow for improved estimates of ocean carbon inventory and transport Data rescue project.

Ocean circulation, carbon cycle and oxygen cycle Anand Gnanadesikan FESD Meeting January 13, 2012.

Carboeurope Update of synthesis of continental carbon fluxes Dourdan carboocean 2008 meeting.

Natural and Anthropogenic Carbon-Climate System Feedbacks Scott C. Doney 1, Keith Lindsay 2, Inez Fung 3 & Jasmin John 3 1-Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution;

C3.1: Regional assessment for the North Sea 3.1.1: data compliation 3.1.2: river input data 3.1.3: data on benthic calcification 3.1.4: novel marine air.

Modern Climate Change Darryn Waugh OES Summer Course, July 2015.

Assessment of the current ocean carbon sink and its implications for climate change and mitigation Arne Körtzinger IFM-GEOMAR Kiel, Germany Most relevant.

The Global Effort to Understand Carbon Dioxide James R. Mahoney, Ph.D. Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere NOAA Deputy Administrator.

Consultation meetings: Jan 2005, Brussels, consultation meeting on topics for FP7 2-3 Feb 06, Brussels, Symposium in memoriam Anver Ghazi 17 Feb 06, Text.

Theme 2: Detection of decadal-to-centennial Atlantic and Southern Ocean carbon inventory changes. Quantify the Atlantic and Southern Ocean carbon sink,

Coordinated by: CARBOOCEAN Integrated ProjectContract No (GOCE) Global Change and Ecosystems Core Theme V report on future work.

1 Observed physical and bio-geochemical changes in the ocean Nathan Bindoff ACECRC, IASOS, CSIRO MAR University of Tasmania TPAC.

Innovative Program of Climate Change Projection for the 21st century (KAKUSHIN Program) Innovative Program of Climate Change Projection for the 21st century.

JTH COP6bis/SBSTA Briefing on WGI contribution Bonn: Tuesday 17 July 2001 The Scientific Basis Sir John Houghton Overview of WGI findings,

Copyright © 2011 by Oxford University Press, Inc. Energy and the Environment James A. Fay / Dan S. Golomb FIGURE 11.5 Projected trend of the earth’s surface.

Coordinated by: CARBOOCEAN Marine carbon sources and sink assessment Integrated Project Contract No (GOCE) Global Change and Ecosystems.

Measurements of atmospheric O 2 in relation to the ocean carbon cycle Ralph Keeling Scripps Institution of Oceanography.

WP11 highlights: introduction and overview EU FP6 Integrated Project CARBOOCEAN ”Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment” 5 th Annual & Final Meeting.

18 April 2007 Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Chapter 5:Observations: Oceanic Climate Change and Sea Level The Working Group I Report of.

Factors contributing to variability in pCO 2 and omega in the coastal Gulf of Maine. J. Salisbury, D. Vandemark, C. Hunt, C. Sabine, S. Musielewicz and.

01 March 2007Royal Society Meeting Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Chapter 5:Observations: Oceanic Climate Change and Sea Level The Working.

Measuring and monitoring ocean CO 2 sources and sinks Andrew Watson.

From the description phase (month 1-18)… … to the understanding phase (month 19-36) WP3: Long-term assessment Major objective: Establish the framework.

Climate feedback on the marine carbon cycle in CarboOcean Earth System Models J. Segschneider 1, E. Maier-Reimer 1 L. Bopp 2, J. Orr 2 1 Max-Planck-Institute.

CARBOOCEAN Annual Meeting – Solstrand, Norway 5-9 October 2009 WP17 Highlights: Future Scenarios with coupled carbon-climate models - 5 european modelling.

Update on “COCOS” COordination action Carbon Observation System EU FP6 Integrated Project CARBOOCEAN ”Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment” 4 th.

WP 11 - Biogeochemical Impacts - Kick-off meeting Nice 10 – 13/06/2008.

European Union integrated project no Variation in atmosphere-ocean fluxes of CO 2 in the Atlantic Ocean: first results from the Carbo-Ocean observing.

Oceans and anthropogenic CO 2 By Monika Kopacz EPS 131.

The review for 2007 and how to address it in annual report for 2008 EU FP6 Integrated Project CARBOOCEAN ”Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment” 4.

Impact of climate change on the global oceanic sink of CO 2 Corinne Le Quéré, University of East Anglia and British Antarctic Survey.

”The potential of upper ocean alkalinity controls for atmospheric carbon dioxide changes” Christoph Heinze University of Bergen Geophysical Institute and.

Welcome and Overview CARBOOCEAN (30 minutes) EU FP6 Integrated Project CARBOOCEAN ”Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment” 5 th Annual & Final Meeting.

Oceans & Anthropogenic CO 2 V.Y. Chow EPS 131.  CO 2 exchange across sea surfaces in the oceans  Measurement methods of anthropogenic CO 2  Distributions.

CARBOOCEAN Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment ”Integrated Project”, European Commission Contract no GOCE.

Schematic framework of anthropogenic climate change drivers, impacts and responses to climate change, and their linkages (IPCC, 2007).

WP11 Model performance assessment and initial fields for scenarios. Objectives and deliverables To determine, how well biogeochemical ocean general circulation.

Pre-anthropogenic C cycle and recent perturbations

Title: Changing marine carbon sources and sinks under climate change and rising atmospheric CO2 Presenter: Christoph Heinze and.

Schematic framework of anthropogenic climate change drivers, impacts and responses to climate change, and their linkages (IPCC, 2007).

Presentation transcript:

Overview CARBOOCEAN EU FP6 Integrated Project CARBOOCEAN ”Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment” 3rd Annual Meeting – Bremen Germany 4-7 December 2007

Anthropogenic pCO 2 increase in the atmosphere Neftel, A., H. Friedli, E. Moor, H. Lötscher, H. Oeschger, U. Siegenthaler, and B. Stauffer Historical CO2 record from the Siple Station ice core. In Trends: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A Historical atmospheric CO2 record from ice core, Siple Station, Antarctica

Anthropogenic pCO 2 increase in the atmosphere Neftel, A., H. Friedli, E. Moor, H. Lötscher, H. Oeschger, U. Siegenthaler, and B. Stauffer Historical CO2 record from the Siple Station ice core. In Trends: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A Historical atmospheric CO2 record from ice core, Siple Station, Antarctica Mauna Loa CO 2 record, 50th anniversary!!!

Previous standard IPCC emission scenarios have been to optimistic with respect to human behaviour: Raupach et al., PNAS, 2007 (gloabl carbon project) And the related climate projections did not yet include the positive greeenhouse gas feedbacks. We have to get ready for the next generation of realistic scenarios and include important feedback processes in Earth system models.

Objectives of CARBOOCEAN IP Guiding sustainable development management CO 2 emmisions Objective 5: Prediction, future assessment Initial conditions Objective 1: Short-term assessment System dynamicsBoundary conditions Objective 3: Assessment of Regional European Contribution Objective 2: Long term assessment Objective 4: Assessment of feedbacks

Core Theme 1: North Atlantic and Southern Ocean CO 2 air-sea exchange Core Theme 2: Detection of decadal-centennial Atlantic and Southern Ocean carbon inventory changes Core Theme 3:Carbon uptake and release at European regional scales Core Theme 4: Biogeochemical feedback on the oceanic carbon sinks Core Theme 5: Future scenarios for marine carbon sources and sinks Over-arching activity: Prediction Over-arching activity: Long-term assessment Over-arching activity: Short-term assessment Final Workshop Kick-Off Meeting Month Phase: Understanding Nowcast and Prediction Synopsis and Sustainment Description

Indications for a decrease in sink strength: North Atlantic Hovmüller plots of  pCO 2 (μatm) (defined as the atmosphere minus sea surface): Schuster & Watson, JGR, s high 2000s lower

Evolution of oceanic and atmospheric CO 2 in the subpolar gyre: From Corbiere et al (2007), Tellus + new data Indications for a decrease in sink strength: North Atlantic

Air-sea CO 2 flux changes also in Southern Ocean! obs. atm. CO 2 + ocean impulse response uptake constant 1967 forcing daily NCEP forcing From: LeQuéré et al., 2007, Science, Saturation of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink due to recent climate change Sink decrease inferred from observations and modelling !

Potential alterations in biological cycling of carbon with circulation and pCO 2 change: 350 μatm (green) 700 μatm (grey) 1050 μ atm (red) Apparent decrease of dis-solved inorganic C with pCO 2 Apparent increase of organically bound C with pCO 2 Apparent increase of nutrient utilisiation efficiency with pCO 2 Mesocosm facilities at Espegrend, Bergen Mesocosm experiments at differing atmospheric pCO 2 : ”Captering natural ecosystem communities in plastic bags and watching their behavior for changes in forcing under controlled conditions” Riebesell et al., nature, 2007

“Nowcast” and prediction: Are current trends temporary? How to sustain observations? Are necessary processes well enough represented? How trustworthy are prognostic models? What guardrails can we give to policy makers and society in general?

Reducing uncertainties in marine uptake of anthropogenic CO 2 : Can we in fact reduce these uncertainties? Or are we only “more certain about the uncertainties”? EGU General Assembly Vienna, Austria, March 2008: Session BG3.1 (co-listed under Biogeosciences, Ocean Sciences, and Climate): “Reducing uncertainties in the quantification of the oceanic sink for anthropogenic carbon (CARBOOCEAN)” (Conveners: C. Heinze, D. Bakker, D. Wallace) What service can we now and in near future give to society? Time is pressing!

OUTREACH & EDUCATION:

IPCC AR4: At least 4 lead authors and 1 review editor. 1 coord. Lead author for special report on C storage. ASSESSMENT: OUTREACH & EDUCATION:

IPCC AR4: At least 4 lead authors and 1 review editor. 1 coord. Lead author for special report on C storage. ASSESSMENT: OUTREACH & EDUCATION: DISSEMINATION (horizontal, vertical):

IPCC AR4: At least 4 lead authors and 1 review editor. 1 coord. Lead author for special report on C storage. ASSESSMENT: OUTREACH & EDUCATION: DISSEMINATION (horizontal, vertical): DATA SYNTHESIS: 2007 InfoWorld 100 Award to Alfred Wegener Institute & Center for Marine Environmental Sciences MARUM