Acknowledging SATREPS. COP17 theme? Comparison: 1 km and 200 m February diurnal temperature cycle.

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Presentation transcript:

Acknowledging SATREPS

COP17 theme?

Comparison: 1 km and 200 m February diurnal temperature cycle

Hundreds of homes were destroyed in Ficksburg in the Free State. Another tornado hit the East Rand and caused extensive damage to Duduza, near Nigel. Two children died.

Verification of CCAM AMIP: Limpopo

ROC Scores: Coupled vs. 2-tiered systems

NCEP/GFS Model Output StatisticsAtmospheric ICs Boundary Conditions Resolution ~200km 15 km Probabilistic weather forecasts: Two cloud schemes LAF updated every 6 hours

 To revolutionize numerical weather prediction (NWP) modelling, research and operations  Themes may include:  Optimal model configuration  Process studies  Applications modelling  Model development  Initialization strategies  Parameterization  Atmosphere-ocean coupling  Verification

“Climate is what you expect, but weather is what you get”