GSN/FUN Update June 2008. 1 Status and Alternatives Prior to David Goldhill’s arrival, SPE was considering an exit of GSN GSN’s core business was languishing.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Work in Progress ATTORNEY/CLIENT PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL Spider-Man Merchandise Rights Sale Update Negotiating Considerations September 2010.
Advertisements

1 FOLLOWING 2 PAGES ARE FINAL AND WERE INCLUDED IN THE OCTOBER 2008 MRP Presentation.
Economics of a Linear Network October Executive Summary Launch Major Linear Channel Network AlternativesAssumptionsExpected Costs/IRR Launch a.
GSN/FUN Status Update April 29, Executive Summary Liberty acquired FUN at an average valuation of $298MM and has requested SPE to acquire 50%
An Alarmingly Good Investment
Business Plans For The Real World. Why a Business Plan? Strategic Guide Lenders Investors.
Confidential Draft Embassy Row Acquisition Update June 2008.
Business Aspects of Club Management. Revenue, Expenses, and Budgeting.
GSN-FUN Deal Overview January Executive Summary SPE is recommending a combination of GSN (50/50 held by SPE and Liberty) and Fun Technologies.
HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR FURTHER DISTRIBUTION GSN Opportunity Overview January 2011.
GSN / FUN Merger Additional Diligence Items March 23, 2009.
ITN Briefing May 6, ITN Investment Overview ITN was acquired for $156MM by Veronis Suhler Stevenson (VSS) and SPT in July 2006 Upon acquisition.
STAPLES COMPANY VALUATION JACKIE PHAN LATRISHA SEARCY ANNA DAI.
Confidential Draft Embassy Row Acquisition Overview February 1, 2008.
GSN-FUN Deal Overview January Executive Summary SPE is recommending a combination of GSN (50/50 held by SPE and Liberty) and Fun Technologies.
GSN: Initial Hypotheses and Next Steps April 18, 2008.
GSN-FUN Deal Overview January Executive Summary SPE and Liberty have reached a high-level agreement for a merger of GSN (owned 50/50 by SPE and.
WorldLink Diligence Update December 2, Executive Summary WorldLink is a leading independent representation firm specializing in the direct response.
GSN/FUN Status Update April 30, Executive Summary Liberty acquired FUN at an average valuation of $298MM and has requested SPE to acquire 50%
GSN-FUN Deal Overview January Executive Summary SPE is recommending a sale of 15% GSN (30% of our 50% interest), followed by a merger between.
CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT Investment in Maa TV Deal Update November 15, 2013.
Acquisition of Additional Stake in Game Show Network (GSN) Post IC and GEC Meeting Update DRAFT.
Acquisition of NetBenefit (UK) Limited Analyst Conference Call June 6, 2012.
Confidential Draft Embassy Row Acquisition Update July 2008.
GSN-FUN Deal Overview January Executive Summary SPE is recommending a sale of 15% of its 50% interest in GSN, followed by a merger between GSN.
SPE INTERNAL Channel Acquisition Opportunities September 2008.
Status Update May 2008 – Confidential – GSN & FUN.
REFERENCE DECK FOR LIBERTY CALL June 24, Pro forma Historical P&L Revenue stated as if each business was owned all years –SkillJam wholly owned.
GSN-FUN Deal Overview January Executive Summary SPE and Liberty have reached a high-level agreement for a merger of GSN (owned 50/50 by SPE and.
WorldLink Acquisition Opportunity February To Do Update for Q4 actuals General fleshing out / cleaning up of the deck with story line input from.
CONFIDENTIAL Music Publishing Overview May page 1 Executive Summary SPE has been asked by Nick Oneda to identify non-strategic asset divestitures.
HBO Divestiture Opportunity September 14, Confidential --p. 2 Executive Summary SPE is revisiting its global channels portfolio and seeking to.
HBO Divestiture Opportunity (DRAFT) September 11, 2009.
Deal Update March 18, Executive Summary We believe Veronis Suhler Stevenson has a minimum sale price range of $ M – $185M yields an IRR.
Confidential Draft SPT Strategic Initiatives February 1, 2008.
ITN Networks Board Meeting June 10, Financials 2009 Financial Discussion 1 st Qtr Details We have over delivered both the 4 th and 1 st Qtr’s by.
GSN/FUN Update June 16, Status and Alternatives Prior to David Goldhill’s arrival, SPE was strongly considering an exit from GSN GSN’s core business.
HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR FURTHER DISTRIBUTION GSN Opportunity Overview January 2011.
CONFIDENTIAL Music Publishing Overview August 2010.
WorldLink Update January World Link Deal Structure Considerations Headline Structure The “Pitch” to Toni The Implications for Sony Up to $18MM.
Value ConsiderationsCurrent SPE RelationshipHistory of Success Embassy Row Overview Creator of numerous successful game and reality shows including: –The.
GSN-FUN Deal Overview March, Executive Summary SPE is recommending a sale of 15% of GSN (30% of our 50% interest) and an acquisition of a 35%
FUN Valuation Overview (Perpetual Growth Exit Method) February 2009.
HBO Central Europe Divestiture Opportunity October 1, 2009.
Acquisition of Additional Stake in Game Show Network Update of Presentations to the IC & GEC March 23, 2011.
Interim Status Update [May 2, 2011] INDIA REGIONAL CHANNELS INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY ETV & MAA TV 1.
GSN-FUN Deal Overview January Executive Summary SPE and Liberty have reached a high-level agreement for a merger of GSN (owned 50/50 by SPE and.
GSN/FUN Update June 2008 DRAFT as of June 8. 1 Status and Alternatives Prior to David Goldhill’s arrival, SPE was considering an exit of GSN GSN’s core.
Confidential Draft Embassy Row Acquisition Overview February 2008.
CONFIDENTIAL Grouper Acquisition Opportunity Financial Overview August 2006.
HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR FURTHER DISTRIBUTION GSN Opportunity Overview December 2010.
Divestiture Opportunities May page 1 Domestic Divestiture Opportunities SPT holds two minority stakes that could generate cash and gains if sold.
Confidential Draft SPT Strategic Initiatives February 1, 2008.
ITN Briefing May 6, Background A full acquisition of ITN would significantly increase the scale of SPT’s advertising business – ITN successfully.
SPE INTERNAL FUN FINANCIAL UPDATE July 23, Executive Summary FUN provided an updated forecast 2008 – 2010 –No Free Games ($2.2MM, $6.3MM, $9.4MM.
 Venture Capital and Startups. What is VC?  Money provided by investors to startup firms and small businesses with perceived long-term growth potential.
Confidential Draft Embassy Row Acquisition Update July 2008.
HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR FURTHER DISTRIBUTION GSN Opportunity Overview January 2011.
REFERENCE DECK FOR LIBERTY CALL June 24, Comparable Transaction Multiples.
CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT Investment in Maa TV Deal Update November 15, 2013.
REFERENCE DECK FOR LIBERTY CALL June 24, COMPARABLES ONLY SUPPORT A $100MM VALUATION A DCF WITH MARKET-RATE GROWTH (20% REVENUE GROWTH) IS SIMILAR.
Joint Ventures and the Option to Expand and Acquire
Agenda Financials Historical trends Forecasts Operating Metrics
First Quarter Fiscal Year 2016
Investment in Maa TV Deal Update November 13, 2013.
SPT: FYO8 Key Activities and Accomplishments
Music Publishing Overview May 2010
Presentation transcript:

GSN/FUN Update June 2008

1 Status and Alternatives Prior to David Goldhill’s arrival, SPE was considering an exit of GSN GSN’s core business was languishing Governance issues associated with a 50/50 venture limited flexibility Our interest in GSN increased and governance concerns receded when: David Goldhill arrived, began to reinvigorate GSN, and significantly improved earnings GSN/FUN merger appeared to offer further expansion for the business on economically compelling terms, with limited risk, and no negative impact on governance Diligence on FUN implies a deal may be feasible, but is not clearly compelling Legal risks of skill games can be managed but not eliminated We do not yet have an indication that Tokyo is comfortable with skill games Although not obstructing the deal, IGT would not be enthusiastic Liberty’s $180MM asking price is at best “fully valued,” potentially overvalued by $30-40MM A GSN/FUN partnership (rather than merger) can be structured to protect our financial interests, but is unattractive as it will make management more cumbersome Given these facts, we have 3 alternatives Acquire ½ of FUN at Liberty’s asking price, assuming significant financial risk and some legal risk Negotiate FUN’s price to $150 (much more likely if FUN misses aggressive Q2 forecast) Revisit an exit of GSN and potential redeployment of capital

2 FUN Forecasts An Aggressive Revenue CAGR of 47% From FUN projects revenue to increase at a 47% CAGR from , outperforming casual games industry growth by ~30% Revenue (1) (millions) $18 $25 $43 $79 $110 $137 47% 85% 53% (1) Note: Acquired free games revenue of $4.3MM, $10.7MM, and $14.8MM excluded from the analysis in 2008, 2009, and 2010 respectively. If included, total revenues equal $83MM, $120MM, and $151MM

3 FUN’s 2008 Revenue Targets Represent a ~3x Increase Over 2007 Performance FUN forecasts 24% quarterly revenue growth over the remainder of 2008 compared to 9% in the preceding quarters FUN projects a 41% quarterly revenue increase in Q2 2008, ~4X the growth rate achieved in Q FUN achieved revenue targets for Q1 2008, but projects significantly higher growth over the next three quarters Revenue$13.2$13.8 ActualBudget Q Revenue Q/Q (millions) 24% 9% $9 $10 $11 $12 $13 $19 $22 $25 Revenue Growth % Q/Q

4 We Believe Liberty’s Expectations are Above Reasonable Value for FUN Valuation: 11/22/2007 Proxy/Acquisition Effective Pre-tax Discount Rate: 18.4% After-tax Discount Rate: 17.0% Exit Multiple: 8X Liberty Expectation (1) Most Conservative Negotiating Case (2) SPT Internal Case (2) Valuation: “Proxy Methodology” Effective Pre-tax Discount Rate: 18.4% After-tax Discount Rate: 17.0% Exit Multiple: 8X (3) Valuation: “SPT Internal Hurdle Rate” Effective Pre-tax Discount Rate: 16.5% After-tax Discount Rate: 15.1% Exit Multiple: 8X Total Value: $220MM FUN Sports: ~ ($40MM) FUN Games Value: ~ $180MM FUN Forecast: $204MM SPT Aggressive: $164MM SPT Conservative: $114MM Market Growth: $66MM $140MM Average FUN Forecast: $214MM SPT Aggressive: $173MM SPT Conservative: $122MM Market Growth: $74MM $148MM Average Liberty values FUN Games at roughly $180MM Aggressive forecasting implies a $165 - $180MM valuation is feasible However, $140 - $150MM appears to be more reasonable (1) Based on a 5 year forecast (2) Based on a 3 year forecast (3) Assumes no tax on exit value if below basis

5 APPENDIX

6 SPT Case Adjustments and Rationale (1/2) Driver % Credit Rationale Annualized Q Revenue Improved Q actual enabled FUN management to reset 2008 projections to a higher base High Baseline Tournament Revenue Marketing/ Player Value Initiatives Optimizing Current Distribution Partners Direct to Consumer Advertising (Offline) Management projects a 20-25% increase in DTC performance over historical levels Med 3 rd Party Ad Networks WW has demonstrated experience with 3 rd party network customer acquisition, projecting similar performance High Player Value Impact Concerns that spend per player per year can expand from $350 to $385 Uncertain of FUN’s ability to increase retention as it was not a previous focus area Low MyPoints Concerns that MyPoints can improve player conversion rates by FUN’s 20% projection given history Low CotterWeb Same as aboveLow GSN.com FUN’s control over GSN.com operations will enable it to optimize player yields although not as aggressively as projected Med

7 SPT Case Adjustments and Rationale (2/2) Driver % Credit Rationale Wheel of Fortune/Jeopardy! SPT will likely license WOF/Jeopardy skill-game rights to FUN in 2008 High New Content Acquisition New Businesses Online Ad Sales Free Games: Acquired Sites Management is shifting focus to 3 rd party rep deals Although they may acquire, targets not yet identified None Free Games: Ad Rep Deals FUN has achieved some initial success with ad rep deals but business is too new to accurately predict Med GSN Digital Historical performance and management’s operational knowledge of GSN.com suggest targets will likely be achieved High Increase in premium sales CPM rates Multiplatform sponsorships are beginning to take place and should yield some lift to online CPMs Med All other new titles (e.g. The Price is Right, Hasbro, Spider Solitaire) FUN management will secure titles although limited track-record with branded board games increases risk of projected revenues Med New Distribution Deals Yahoo Yahoo is former partner under contract with King.com, difficult for FUN to win them back Low All unnamed distribution deals Other large expected partners have yet to be identified and thus have execution risk Low

8 Summary of Revenue Growth by Driver

9 Comparative Valuation Analysis (1) Note: Excludes acquired free games revenue of $4.3MM, $10.7MM, and $14.8MM in 2008, 2009, and 2010 respectively (2) SG&A calculated as the greater of 75% of FUN Management projections or ~ 20% of total revenue; Marketing expense calculated as the greater of 75% of FUN Management projections or ~ 1.9X the registration rate per annum (3) FCF adjustments based on Proxy; to be updated