Tipping points in the climate system and their predictability Peter Ditlevsen, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen.

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Presentation transcript:

Tipping points in the climate system and their predictability Peter Ditlevsen, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen

E. Lorenz, 1969

Ganopolski et al, 2010

M Scheffer et al. Nature 461, (2009) doi: /nature08227 Can tipping points be detected? Critical slowing down indicated by an increase in lag-1 autocorrelation in climate dynamics.

M Scheffer et al. Nature 461, (2009) doi: /nature08227 Can tipping points be detected? Critical slowing down indicated by an increase in lag-1 autocorrelation in climate dynamics.

Ditlevsen and Johnsen, GRL, 2010

Ditlevsen, Svensmark and Johnsen, Nature 1996

Ditlevsen, GRL, 1999

Ditlevsen, Paleoceanography, 2009