innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Part 1 – Let’s Think About Risks Dr. Arshad Ahmad 1

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Topic 1 – Let’s Talk About Risks Life is full of risks 2

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks RMS Titanic: April 1912 British passenger liner Collision with iceberg, 600 km south of Newfoundland More than 1500 died out of 2224 passengers and crew Discovered in

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Tenerife Airport Disaster, 1977  23 March 1977  Fatal runaway collision between 2 Boeing 747 (Pan Am & KLM)  Canary Islands, Spain  Both aircraft destroyed, killing all 248 aboard the KLM flight and 335 of 396 aboard the Pan Am flight.  Accidents during takeoff 4

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Toxic Release, Bhopal, 1984  Release of Toxic Gas 40 tons Methyl Isocynate escape from Union Carbide Plant Immediate cause : 500L seepage Erupts and release fumes  Aftermath 3000 died : respiratory failure Thousands more died in weeks that followed 500,000 suffer USD470mil spent 5

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Tank Farm Explosion, Mexico City, 1984 LPG distribution plant, 25 years old plant built to 1950 API standards of the U.S. Located a few km. north of Mexico City (Pop = 16 Million). 15 of 48 Vessels BLEVE In Domino Fashion 550 people killed., 2,000 people receive severe burns, 7,231 people classed as injured. 6

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Nuclear Reactor Accident, Chernobyl, 1986  26 April 1986 at the Chernobyl Nuclear Reactor, Ukrain  Large area of Russia, Ukraine and Belarus evacuated, 336,000 people resettled.  Fewer than 50 direct death but, thousands of cancer related cases  Severe damage to the environment 7

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Fire & Explosion in Oil Rig, Scotland, 1988  Night of July 6, 1988  Oil rig disaster in North Sea 1988  167 out of 229 people died  Initial explosion followed by a fierce fire which, in turn, triggered off a further series of explosions  Flames could be seen 100 km away  Cause of death 109 out of 137 recovered bodies inhalation of smoke & fire. Few died of burns.  “Jump and try or fry and die.”  USD 3.4 Billion 8

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Exxon Valdez Oil Spill, Alaska, 1989  On March 24, 1989  Oil tanker Exxon Valdez struck a reef in Alaska's Prince William Sound .257,000 to 750,000 barrel of crude oil spill  USD 2.5 billion 9

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Indian Ocean Tsunami, 2004  Indian Ocean Tsunami, Sunday 26 Dec 2004  Earthquake richter scale 9.1–9.3  Killing over 230,000 people in 14 countries, majority in Banda Acheh, followed by Sri Lanka, India and Thailand 10

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Sugar Refinery Explosion, Georgia, 2008  February 7, 2008  Sugar dust explosion in a sugar refining plant  Dust acummulated in enclosed conveyer – primary explosion, followed by secondary from sugars elsewhere other  14 deaths and 38 injured, including 14 with serious and life-threatening burns. 11

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Macondo Well Blowout, Gulf Mexico, 2010 April 2010, The Deepwater Horizon - floating semi-submersible drilling unit Well blowout causes gas release, followed by explosion and fire. 11 killed, 16 injured. Oil leaks at 8,000 barrels per day up to 17,000 barrels. 12

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Nuclear Meltdown following Tsunami, Japan, 2011  March 11, Nuclear meltdown following earthquake and Tsunami  6 reactors designed by GE, Fukushima Daiichi  Full meltdown of reactor 1,2,3  No immediate deaths due to direct radiation  at least six workers exceeded lifetime legal limits for radiation  more than 300 received significant radiation doses  Impacted Japan’s Energy Policy 13

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Explosion due to train derailed. 6 July 2013 A parked train 7 km away with 72 carloads of crude oil derailed into town. BLEVE & Fire. 40 buildings flattened, 13 dead, 37 missing, 2000 people forced to leave home. 14

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks Korean Ferry Sank, April 2014 April 16, 2014, Korea MV Sewol sank 477 passengers and crew, including 325 high school students. Around 300 people died in the disaster Captain and 3 crew charged with murder 15

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is Full of Risks MH370 – Location unknown & MH17 – Ukraine, 2014  March 8, MH370 (KL-Beijing) Boeing ER – Loss somewhere. 12 crews, 227 passengers from 15 nations. Very expensive search continues. Speculated to be in Southern Indian Ocean.  July 24, MH17 (Amsterdam- Kuala Lumpur) Boeing ER. Shot Down in Ukraine, crashed in Torez, Donesk Oblast, 40 km from Russian border. Killing all 15 crew and 283 passengers.  Within 5 months, (239)? Killed in Malaysia Airline 16

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Life is full of risks…  Risks of Personal Accidents  Risks in Financial Activities  Risks in Process Plants  Risks in Foods  Insurance Risks  Risks of Workplace hazards  Etc… However, risks cannot be eliminated ! Risks can be managed and mitigated... 17

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Risk Analysis is needed to assists decision making 18

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global “If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.” Sun Tzu, Art of War 19

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Class Workshop 1: Dealing with Risks  Form your Work Group – You will be working together throughout this semester  Brainstorm on Risks in Life List down risks in daily life Categorize these risks into common theme Sort them from highest to lowest risks 20

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global Project No - 1  Describe the chronology of events  Discuss the impact/aftermath of the event  Identify lessons learned from the event  Propose preventive and mitigating measures for the event  List of Event Air Asia Flight 8501 disaster (2015) Tianjin Explosion (2015) MBCA Kim-Nirvana Ferry Disaster (2015) Amtrak Train Derailment (2015) Typhoon Goni (2015) Karachi Bus Shooting (2015) 21

innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global innovative ● entrepreneurial ● global End of Part 1 22