Statistics fun and exciting Workshop. What’s going to be covered Diagrams Data Summary and Presentation Binomial distribution Engineering/Statistics Toolbox.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
CHAPTER 2 Building Empirical Model. Basic Statistical Concepts Consider this situation: The tension bond strength of portland cement mortar is an important.
Advertisements

Inferential Statistics
Probability & Statistical Inference Lecture 6
Statistics for Dummies Workshop **You’re not really Dummies**
© 2010 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved Least Squares Regression Models.
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 8 Tests of Hypotheses Based on a Single Sample
Probability & Statistical Inference Lecture 7 MSc in Computing (Data Analytics)
Probability & Statistical Inference Lecture 6 MSc in Computing (Data Analytics)
9-1 Hypothesis Testing Statistical Hypotheses Statistical hypothesis testing and confidence interval estimation of parameters are the fundamental.
BCOR 1020 Business Statistics Lecture 22 – April 10, 2008.
Horng-Chyi HorngStatistics II 91 Inference on the Variance of a Normal Population (I) H 0 :  2 =  0  H 1 :  2   0 , where  0  is a specified.
Hypothesis Testing for Population Means and Proportions
4-1 Statistical Inference The field of statistical inference consists of those methods used to make decisions or draw conclusions about a population.
OMS 201 Review. Range The range of a data set is the difference between the largest and smallest data values. It is the simplest measure of dispersion.
BCOR 1020 Business Statistics Lecture 21 – April 8, 2008.
Testing the Difference Between Means (Small Independent Samples)
Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing.
BCOR 1020 Business Statistics Lecture 20 – April 3, 2008.
Definitions In statistics, a hypothesis is a claim or statement about a property of a population. A hypothesis test is a standard procedure for testing.
Chapter 9 Title and Outline 1 9 Tests of Hypotheses for a Single Sample 9-1 Hypothesis Testing Statistical Hypotheses Tests of Statistical.
Statistical Inference for Two Samples
Experimental Statistics - week 2
Statistical inference: confidence intervals and hypothesis testing.
Tuesday, September 10, 2013 Introduction to hypothesis testing.
1/2555 สมศักดิ์ ศิวดำรงพงศ์
Review of Statistical Inference Prepared by Vera Tabakova, East Carolina University ECON 4550 Econometrics Memorial University of Newfoundland.
Statistics Pooled Examples.
STAT 5372: Experimental Statistics Wayne Woodward Office: Office: 143 Heroy Phone: Phone: (214) URL: URL: faculty.smu.edu/waynew.
Copyright © 2013, 2010 and 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter Inference on the Least-Squares Regression Model and Multiple Regression 14.
STATISTICAL INFERENCE PART VII
Today’s lesson Confidence intervals for the expected value of a random variable. Determining the sample size needed to have a specified probability of.
Statistics & Biology Shelly’s Super Happy Fun Times February 7, 2012 Will Herrick.
Topics: Statistics & Experimental Design The Human Visual System Color Science Light Sources: Radiometry/Photometry Geometric Optics Tone-transfer Function.
Introduction to Hypothesis Testing: One Population Value Chapter 8 Handout.
STA Statistical Inference
Significance Tests: THE BASICS Could it happen by chance alone?
9-1 Hypothesis Testing Statistical Hypotheses Definition Statistical hypothesis testing and confidence interval estimation of parameters are.
Learning Objectives In this chapter you will learn about the t-test and its distribution t-test for related samples t-test for independent samples hypothesis.
1 Lecture 19: Hypothesis Tests Devore, Ch Topics I.Statistical Hypotheses (pl!) –Null and Alternative Hypotheses –Testing statistics and rejection.
10.2 Tests of Significance Use confidence intervals when the goal is to estimate the population parameter If the goal is to.
Statistical Inference
1 Chapter 10: Introduction to Inference. 2 Inference Inference is the statistical process by which we use information collected from a sample to infer.
Lecture 16 Section 8.1 Objectives: Testing Statistical Hypotheses − Stating hypotheses statements − Type I and II errors − Conducting a hypothesis test.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing.
1 9 Tests of Hypotheses for a Single Sample. © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger. 9-1.
Statistical Inference for the Mean Objectives: (Chapter 9, DeCoursey) -To understand the terms: Null Hypothesis, Rejection Region, and Type I and II errors.
Reasoning in Psychology Using Statistics Psychology
STATISTICAL INFERENCE PART IV CONFIDENCE INTERVALS AND HYPOTHESIS TESTING 1.
10.5 Testing Claims about the Population Standard Deviation.
Chapter 12: Hypothesis Testing. Remember that our ultimate goal is to take information obtained in a sample and use it to come to some conclusion about.
AP Statistics Section 11.1 B More on Significance Tests.
© Copyright McGraw-Hill 2004
Statistical Inference Drawing conclusions (“to infer”) about a population based upon data from a sample. Drawing conclusions (“to infer”) about a population.
Applied Quantitative Analysis and Practices LECTURE#14 By Dr. Osman Sadiq Paracha.
Hypothesis Tests. An Hypothesis is a guess about a situation that can be tested, and the test outcome can be either true or false. –The Null Hypothesis.
Statistical Inference for the Mean Objectives: (Chapter 8&9, DeCoursey) -To understand the terms variance and standard error of a sample mean, Null Hypothesis,
Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze.
Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Inference
Chapter 7 Hypothesis Testing with One Sample.
CHAPTER 6 Random Variables
Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing with Two Samples.
CONCEPTS OF HYPOTHESIS TESTING
Elementary Statistics: Picturing The World
Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing.
Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing.
Chapter 7 Hypothesis Testing with One Sample.
When You See (This), You Think (That)
Reasoning in Psychology Using Statistics
Confidence Intervals.
Chapter 9: Testing a Claim
Presentation transcript:

Statistics fun and exciting Workshop

What’s going to be covered Diagrams Data Summary and Presentation Binomial distribution Engineering/Statistics Toolbox Z-test Type 2 Error T-test  2 Test

Box Plot Dot Diagram Q1Q1 Q2Q2 Q3Q3 IQR 1.5 IQR IQR = Inter Quartile Range x = 1550

Histogram

Data Summary Correlation Coefficient Stem and Leaf Diagram Quartile/Percentile Calculation R =  n i = 1 (x i – x)(y i – y)  n i = 1 (x i – x) 2  n i = 1 (y i – y) 2 Stem Leaf Freq ( )( ) QuartilePercentile (n + 1) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 2(n + 1) 3(n + 1) th 95 th.05(n + 1).95(n + 1) Value will give ordered observation Interpolate as needed

Binomial Distribution ( ) P(X = x) = nxnx p x (1-p) n-x ( ) nxnx = n! x!(n – x)! We use Binomial Distribution when: 1.Trials are independent 2.Each trial results in one of two possible outcomes, success or failure 3.The probability, p, remains constant

Example 3-27 Samples of water have a 10% chance of containing high levels of organic solids. Assume the samples are independent with regards to the presence of the solids. Determine the probability that in the next 18 samples, exactly 2 contain high solids.

Solution

Engineering/Statistics Toolbox Known as the procedure for hypothesis testing Steps for Generic Hypothesis Testing 1. Identify Parameter Of Interest: For instance; determine the saltiness of a potato chips 2. State the Null Hypothesis (H 0 ): Standard that you are testing against, like the given average students test scores 3. Alternative Hypothesis (H 1 ): Specify an appropriate alternative hypothesis 4. Test Statistic Equation you are going to use for each test. Z = X-  /(  /n^.5) 6. Computations Plug and chug 7. Conclusion Decide whether the Null Hypothesis should be rejected and report and that in the problem context.

Z-Test When do you use it? Known mean and known variance Gives the probability density of when something is going to happen Most of the time an alpha value will be given to you If not, assume 0.05

Example Tom likes candy, his favorite is peanut butter cups. He’s been eating peanut butter cups everyday, and Tom thinks the peanut butter cup company is filling the bag with less peanut butter cups than they claim. He takes a sample of 8 bags and find the average amount of peanut butter cups per bag is 32 and they claim its 35. The standard deviation is 2.4. Are they filling the bags less, let α = 0.05.

solution

Type II Error When you fail to reject the null hypothesis when it is wrong then you have committed a type II error  =  Z 0 ) Power = 1 -  For instance: Say you have a pop. of 50 beads with an average diameter of 10 mm (actual average diameter). However, your sample of 10 beads has an average of 15 mm. You want to confirm that a null hypothesis of 15 inches is correct. If you fail to reject the null you messed up.

T-Test Unknown variance and known mean You need to determine the sample variance You need to know degrees of freedom That will be n-1, (n is the sample size) The same as the Z-test except with degrees of freedom and sample variance

Example 4-7 An experiment was performed in which 15 golf club drivers produced by a particular club maker were selected at random and their coefficients od restitution measured. It is of interest to determine if there is evidence (with α=0.05) to support a claim that the mean coefficient of restitution exceeds n = 15. Observations X= S=

Solution

 2 -Test This is a test on the sample variance Much the same as T-test Must know the sample variance, as well as the actual variance This tests variance, NOT standard deviation

Example 4-10 A random sample of 20 liquid detergent bottles results in a sample variance of fill volume of s^2= if the variance of fill volume exceeds 0.01 an unacceptable proportion of bottles will be under filled and overfilled. Is there evidence in the sample data to suggest that the manufacturer has a problem with under and over filled bottles? α=0.05

Solution