Weather and Climate How They Affect Agriculture in Southern Ontario D C McKay Presentation to Perth Soil and Crop Association July 2, 2015.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Topic: How Climate Affects Us

Advertisements

DROUGHT MONITORING CENTRE - NAIROBI WHAT COULD BE DONE ON DROUGHT WITHIN ISDR PLATFORM?

Regions and Eco zones Of Canada.

Scenario 2 "Future water use and the challenge of hydropower development in Western Balkan" February 2013, Ljubljana, Slovenia.

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation in Agriculture Daniel J. Archambault Research Scientist Alberta Research Council February 25 th,2003.

Climate Smart Agriculture East Africa Regional Knowledge Sharing Meeting Thomas Cole June 11, 2012, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Options for Mitigation and Adaptation Technologies for the Pacific Island Countries by Mahendra Kumar South Pacific Regional Environment Programme, Apia,

Climate Change Effects and Assessment of Adaptation Potential in the Russian Federation. Julia Dobrolyubova Expert on Climate Change and Kyoto Protocol.

Climate Change Scenarios for Agriculture Sam Gameda and Budong Qian Eastern Cereal and Oilseed Research Centre Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Ottawa,

Atlantic Agriculture in a Changing Climate David Burton, Ph.D, P.Ag Climate Change Chair NSAC.

AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD CANADA PRESENTATION TO : The Standing Senate Committee on Agriculture and Forestry February 24, Regina.

Drought Preparedness with feedback from YOU Julie Kalansky April 8 th, 2015 Sonoma County Adaptation Forum.

Agriculture and Agriculture et Agri-Food Canada Agroalimentaire Canada Impacts of Climate Change on Agro- climatic Indices in Eastern Canada Sam Gameda.

Master Narratives & Global Climate Change Charlie Vars Dave Bella Court Smith IPCC January 29, 2013.

Natural Hazards. Integrated Risk Assessment & Scientific Advice Uncertainty in forecasting and risk assessment Hydro-meteorologicalVolcanoesEarthquakes.

A stocks and flows approach An Integrated Assessment Framework for Considering Climate Change: 1. the principal domains Society and Economy Greenhouse.

FOOD SECURITY AND GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE Mike Brklacich Carleton University, Canada Inter-American Institute for Global Environment Change, Brazil.

Climate Change and Farm Level Adaptation Strategies in the Midwestern U.S. Rebecca A. Pfeifer Ag Consultant, New Palestine, IN Otto Doering Department.

Crop Physical System of Dams and Reservoirs Climate change impacts on water supply and irrigation water demand in the Columbia River Basin Jennifer Adam.

Global Climate Change's Effects On Agriculture

1 Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Eastern Canada: a summary of some results of recent research __________________________________________________________.

INTRODUCTION Weather and climate remain among the most important variables involved in crop production in the U.S. Great Lakes region states of Michigan,

Agriculture and Agriculture et Agri-Food Canada Agroalimentaire Canada Trends in Summer Fallow and Climate Variables in the Canadian Prairies S. Gameda,

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Canadian Agriculture and Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities.

Risk and Resilience: A Canadian Perspective on Climate Change Adaptation Donald S. Lemmen, PhD Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Directorate Natural.

ADAPTATION BY CANADIAN AGRICULTURE TO CLIMATIC CHANGE: STATUS AND NEEDS Prepared for: Senate of Canada, Standing Committee on Agriculture and Forestry.

Impacts of (Possible) Climate Change in the Production of Sugar cane in Center-South Region of Brazil J.Zullo Jr, A.Koga-Vicente, V.R.Pereira Cepagri -

Climate Change and Food Security

Expected Change of the Key Agrometeorological Parameters in Central Europe by 2050 Trnka M. 1,3, Štěpánek P. 2, Dubrovský M. 3, Semerádová D. 1,3, Eitzinger.

Sustainable and productive farming systems Shared interests in Africa and Australia Brian Keating.

ICTs Tackling Climate Changes Dr. Amr Badawi Executive President NTRA.

Regions of Canada.  A region is an area that shares certain features or characteristics.  Canada is made up of many characteristics.

Planning for Agriculture and Food Winnipeg July 14, 2008 Implications of Climate Change for Food Production Planning for adaptation and adaptive capacity.

Tina Hoover, MPH, RD, LD Nanna Cross, PhD, RD, LDN.

Impacts, uncertainties and non-linearities of extreme events (heavy precipitation and floods) in a changing climate Luis J. Mata Center for Development.

An Application of Field Monitoring Data in Estimating Optimal Planting Dates of Cassava in Upper Paddy Field in Northeast Thailand Meeting Notes.

Linking Agri-Environmental Water Quality Indicators (AEWQIs) to Policy: the Canadian Experience Trilateral Cooperation to Promote the Protection of Water.

Climate Change & Agriculture in Uzbekistan Awareness Raising and Consultation Workshop May 19, 2010 Tashkent Dr. William R. Sutton Senior Agricultural.

Planning for Climate Change Climate science in the public interest Lara Whitely Binder Climate Impacts Group Center for Science in the Earth System Joint.

Climate Change & Sustainability Coordinator, Palm Beach County

Climate Change Scenarios for Agriculture Sam Gameda and Budong Qian Eastern Cereal and Oilseed Research Centre Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Ottawa,

Extension, Outreach and Research Activities For promotion to Public Service Associate J. Phil Campbell Crop and Soil Sciences Department.

So Now What Do We Do? Planning for Climate Change Climate science in the public interest Lara Whitely Binder Climate Impacts Group Center for Science in.

Country CBA Project :Sri Lanka A study to economically evaluate possible adaptation measures for climate vulnerabilities in paddy and Other Field Crops.

The hydrological cycle of the western United States is expected to be significantly affected by climate change (IPCC-AR4 report). Rising temperature and.

Agriculture & Adaptation to Climate Change John Reilly Massachusetts Institute of Technology Appearance before the Standing Senate Committee on Agriculture.

Chapter 24 The Business of Farming. In Canada we are lucky in that we do not think about Food – We take it for granted. Agriculture depends on 4 Natural.

Presentation Title Capacity Building Programme on the Economics of Adaptation Supporting National/Sub-National Adaptation Planning and Action Adaptation.

1 EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURE SYSTEM C. P. Srivastava Deputy Director of Agriculture, U.P. Govt.

Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment

Climate Scenarios into Policy Research: Downscaling from GCMs to Regional Scale Workshop #5: Meeting the Challenges of Rapidly Changing Climate Policy.

Climate Change Risks, Implications and Recommendations for Adaptation: Climate Change Risks, Implications and Recommendations for Adaptation: The case.

Chittenden County Climate Action Planning CCRPC Board Presentation February 15, 2012 Julie Potter, Senior Planner.

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Implications for Agriculture in the Asia-Pacific Region Andrew Ash Interim Director CSIRO Climate Adaptation.

Questionnaire on Water and Climate adaptation Jos G. Timmerman Rijkswaterstaat Centre for Water Management.

Research & Systematic Observations (IX) Vulnerability Assessment, Impacts and Adaptation Measures (VII) Research & Systematic Observations (IX) Vulnerability.

Is There a Dust Bowl in Our Future? Projections for the Eastern Rockies and Central Great Plains.” Dennis Ojima Water, Climate and Uncertainty Conference.

Phase 2 Research Questions Theme 1: Nutrition, food safety and value addition 1)Which combinations of technology packages can reduce household vulnerability.

Situational Analysis and Needs Assessment: CLIMATE CHANGE AND HEALTH IN ETHIOPIA Establishing a GEOHealth Hub for East Africa School of Public Health,

Climate Change and Sustainable Agricultural Intensification

Impact and vulnerability assessment in Poland

CLIMATE CHANGE – FUNDAMENTALS

Model Summary Fred Lauer

Economic Commission for Africa

Using climate outlooks to adapt to climate change

POTENTIAL AND CONSTRAINTS TO IMPROVE EARLY WARNING

Local Government Climate Change Support Program 2016

WCIAS Strategy: Filling critical gaps in weather and climate impact assessment science Developing integrating methods Moving toward decision-making as.

EC Workshop on European Water Scenarios Brussels 30 June 2003

What Do Farmers Need to Adapt to Climate Change?

Presentation transcript:

Weather and Climate How They Affect Agriculture in Southern Ontario D C McKay Presentation to Perth Soil and Crop Association July 2, 2015

Outline  Difference Between Weather and Climate  The Climate Change Debate  Climate Change Scenarios  Climate Impacts for Agriculture  Adaptation to Climate Change By Agriculture  Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Risks: A Case Study

Difference Between Weather and Climate

The Climate Change Debate

Climate Change Scenarios for Agriculture

Climate Impacts for Agriculture

What we know from the present  Agricultural production takes place under a climate regime  Sufficient length for crop establishment, growth and maturity  Adequate heat units and precipitation to meet crop needs  Sufficient regularity from year to year so as to allow security of production

What we want to know for the future  Concerning climate change due to enhanced greenhouse effects  Potential changes in the length for crop establishment, growth and maturity  Potential changes in heat units and precipitation in growing season  Potential changes in year to year variability of agroclimatic conditions

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Last Frost in Spring ( )

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Last Frost in Spring ( ) CGCM1 HadCM3

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Frost-Free Days (Changes) CGCM1 HadCM3

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Crop Heat Units ( )

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Crop Heat Units ( ) CGCM1 HadCM3

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Crop Heat Units (Changes) CGCM1 HadCM3

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Precipitation Deficit/Surplus ( )

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Precipitation Deficit/Surplus ( ) CGCM1 HadCM3

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada Precipitation Deficit/Surplus (Changes) CGCM1 HadCM3

Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change

Regional Agricultural System

Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Risks A Case Study Perth County Ontario

Dairy, 509 Hogs, 407

Case Study Conclusions  Stakeholder based approach provides insight into vulnerability of an agricultural system to climate change.  Shows need for assessments of probabilities of change in climate characteristics that are important to farmers  Need to group climate stimuli with non-climate forces such as economic, institutional, and social forces and local characteristics of the farm and farm family  Despite uncertainty of spatial and temporal patterns of future climate, Perth County farmers are aware of these climate and weather conditions most affecting their operations however in many cases they are unconcerned with climate change

References Round Table on Ontario-Specific Climate Change Data: OPS High-Resolution Regional Climate Modelling in Support of Adaptation. Ian Smith, Director, Environmental Monitoring and Reporting Branch Ontario Ministry of Environment and Climate Change. Presented to ECO Climate Data Roundtable January 2015 Climate Change Scenarios for Agriculture. Sam Gameda, Budong Quian, Andy Bootsma, Agriculture and Agr-Food Canada. Presented at Environmental Health National Program Soil, Water and Air Quality theme Agriculture and Agr-Food Canada, Ottawa Canada Reid et al, (2007) Vulnerability and adaptation to climate risks in Ontario agriculture. Mitig Adapt Strat Glob Change 12:

QUESTIONS?