Probability and Statistics for Engineers Huang Xin 2016 Jan 20.

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Presentation transcript:

Probability and Statistics for Engineers Huang Xin 2016 Jan 20

Sample spaces A sample space is a set of possible outcomes. Examples from class outcomes = { H, T } outcomes = { 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 }

Probability models A probability model is an assignment of probabilities to every element of the sample space. Probabilities are nonnegative and add up to one. S = { HH, HT, TH, TT } ¼¼¼¼ Examples models a pair of coins with equally likely outcomes

Question If 4 boys and 4 girls randomly sit in a row, what is the probability of the following seating arrangement (a) the boys and the girls are each to sit together The total number of all arrangements is 8!=40320 The number of target arrangements is 4! ×4! ×2=1152 The probability

Question If 4 boys and 4 girls randomly sit in a row, what is the probability of the following seating arrangement (b) only the boys must sit together The total number of all arrangements is 8!=40320 The number of target arrangements is 4! ×5! =2880 The probability

Question If 4 boys and 4 girls randomly sit in a row, what is the probability of the following seating arrangement (c) no two people of the same sex are allowed to sit together The total number of all arrangements is 8!=40320 The number of target arrangements is 4! ×4! ×2=1152 The probability

Question Eight balls are randomly withdrawn from an urn that contains 8 red, 8 blue, and 8 green balls. Find the probability that (a) 4 red, 2 blue, and 2 green balls are withdrawn The total number of all combinations is The number of target combinations is The probability

Question Eight balls are randomly withdrawn from an urn that contains 8 red, 8 blue, and 8 green balls. Find the probability that (b) at least 3 red balls are withdrawn The total number of all combinations is The number of target combinations is The probability

Question Eight balls are randomly withdrawn from an urn that contains 8 red, 8 blue, and 8 green balls. Find the probability that (c) all withdrawn balls are of the same color The total number of all combinations is The number of target combinations is The probability

Question A B Best case: Worst case: A B P(A U B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A∩B) ≤1