SPARC stratospheric temperature trends group Some history: Probably the longest-running SPARC group (since ~ 1995) Distingushed SPARC alumni; originally.

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Presentation transcript:

SPARC stratospheric temperature trends group Some history: Probably the longest-running SPARC group (since ~ 1995) Distingushed SPARC alumni; originally co-chaired by Ramaswamy and Marie-Lise Chanin (+ Karin Labitzke, Alan O’Neill, Keith Shine,....) Contributions to UNEP/WMO Ozone Assessments 1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014 Overview/review papers: Ramaswamy et al (2001) Rev. Geophysics Shine et al (2003) QJRMS Randel et al (2009) JGR Seidel et al (2011) WIREs Climate Change Thompson et al (2012) Nature recent focus on observations

Recent group activities have focused on improved understanding of observations Homogenized radiosonde data (and comparisons to satellites) Merged satellite data sets, especially Stratospheric Sounding Unit (SSU) * SSU is the primary operational satellite data in the middle and upper stratosphere, but difficult to create a merged climate data record * focus of meetings in 2011, 2012, 2013 Results from v1 of both MetO and NOAA SSU data. v2 results now available; papers published MetO NOAA Global temp anomalies models Thompson et al 2012

SPARC Trends Group meeting Reading September 2013 Meeting focused on SSU data and reanalyses

Some points: SSU satellite data now processed by two separate groups, and uncertainties are better understood. New climate data records are available. SSU ends in Several groups are exploring extending SSU using AMSU, MIPAS, SABER and other satellite data sets. Observational records for stratosphere have been improved. Reanalysis data are continually improving, but still a need to understand the fundamental observations.

Global temperature anomalies from reanalyses older generation newer generation MERRA ERA interim JRA-25JRA-55 jumps due to satellite changes 0-50 km from Craig Long 1979

What’s next for the SPARC Temperature Trends group ? Short term (this meeting): revisit comparisons of models and observations (are there any outstanding issues that deserve a group focus? ) Longer term: ??? Part of the focus of this meeting is to help determine future structure and plans Is there a need for this group going forward? How does it fit into evolving SPARC/WCRP goals, plans and other activities? How should membership and leadership evolve? What are some alternative options? Focused discussions this afternoon and tomorrow