Canadian Search Area Definition (CSAD) Minnesota Wing Air Branch Director Course.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Most Abused Rules of Golf Clubs Rule 4-4. Maximum or 14 Clubs Count your clubs. The player must start a stipulated round with not more than 14 clubs.
Advertisements

CENTRAL SCOTLAND SEA SCHOOL
IP-20 Review of the Effectiveness of Branching UPRs from PACOTS Track 2 Electronic Navigation Research Institute The IPACG meeting 40, Sep. 2014, Washington.
CIVIL AIR SEARCH AND RESCUE ASSOCIATION
Authored by Rich Simerson 26-Sep-94 Revised 01-Apr-2010 Modified by Lt Colonel Fred Blundell TX-129 Fort Worth Senior Squadron For Local Training Rev 5.0.
Assessment For Learning NCATE Clinic Lake Tahoe, California May 18, 2007 Katherine Bassett, Director of Educator Relations Peter Yeager, Director of Client.
1 Emergency Services Search Coverage Mission Pilot CAPR Attachment 10 Paragraph d Richard Shulak Wasatch Sqdn. RMR-UT-008 February 2000.
Mission Aircrew Course Chapter 9: Search Planning and Coverage (Feb 2005)
STATISTICS. SOME BASIC STATISTICS MEAN (AVERAGE) – Add all of the data together and divide by the number of elements within that set of data. MEDIAN –
AIR NAVIGATION Part 3 The 1 in 60 rule.
AIR NAVIGATION Part 3 The 1 in 60 rule.
AIR NAVIGATION Part 5 The 1 in 60 Rule.
ISCI second International conference University of Western Sydney November, 2009.
Flight Release Minnesota Wing Air Branch Director Course.
Guidelines Presentation. Aircraft Aim & Judging The aircraft needs to transport the mirror segments of the ESO European Extremely Large Telescope, being.
Protection Values for VOR-Defined ATS Routes
POC, POD, POS Minnesota Wing Air Branch Director Course.
We consider a dilute gas of N atoms in a box in the classical limit Kinetic theory de Broglie de Broglie wave length with density classical limit high.
Simulation Exploitation Using Open Source Information 1 Problem The US Government would like to share simulation software packages with friendly countries.
The most important statistic of a diffuser is its efficiency. The efficiency is a measure of how well a diffuser re-expands air and how much pressure is.
VFR FLIGHT PLANS (FROM FAA AVIATION NEWS) SEARCH AND RESCUE PLAN NOT REQUIRED BY FAA, BUT RECOMMENDED FOR CROSS COUNTRY FLIGHTS; REQUIRED BY MILITARY FOR.
CIVIL AIR SEARCH AND RESCUE ASSOCIATION
Scanner Course #6 Minnesota Wing Aircrew Training: Tasks P-2025, P-2026, O-2004 Search Coverage Disaster Assessment.
The John D. Odegard School for Aerospace Sciences at the University of North Dakota.
Principles of Flight Spitfire. Chapter 1 – Weight and Lift How is an aircraft, which is much heavier than the air it flies in, supported by the air? C130.
© 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Chapter 12 Describing Data.
The Triangle of Velocities
LA Series Fixed Aircraft Homer Module 10 of CASARA ELT Training Plan.
P-2025, P-2026 Minnesota Wing Aircrew Training: Tasks P-2025, P-2026 Search Terms Disaster Assessment.
This material is approved for public release. Distribution is limited by the Software Engineering Institute to attendees. Sponsored by the U.S. Department.
Chapter 2 Risk Measurement and Metrics. Measuring the Outcomes of Uncertainty and Risk Risk is a consequence of uncertainty. Although they are connected,
Airman Topics Westwind Air Service Airman Topics Performing Weight and Balance.
Uniform Acceleration.
1SARCHMGTI..PPT LAST REVISED: 9 JULY 2008 Citizens Serving Communities Introduction to Search Management Developed as part of the National Emergency Services.
ATAA Presentation 19 th November 2014 Bruce Vanstone.
Lesson Objective Understand how we can Simulate activities that have an element of chance using probabilities and random numbers Be able to use the random.
Reliability Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill.
Emergency Position Indicating Radio Beacon
Branch and bound branch and bound methods economize the search for the best trees by backing out of dead alleys.
Lecture 10: Traffic alert and Collision Avoidance System (TCAS)
Aircrew Tasks O-2022 DEMONSTRATE SCANNING PATTERNS AND LOCATE TARGETS (S) O-2102 DEMONSTRATE PLANNING AND FLYING A ROUTE SEARCH (P) O-2103 DEMONSTRATE.
CAPF 104 Minnesota Wing Air Branch Director Course.
Notes for Frame of Reference, Distance & Displacement. Write these notes in your IAN.
Observer Scanner Training
Reliability McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Lecture 4: Global Positioning System (GPS)
Motion. Objectives Define motion. Calculate the speed of a moving object. Distinguish between velocity and acceleration.
Level 3 Practical Investigation Where to start?. Aim This is the purpose of your practical i.e. what it is that you want to find out This is the purpose.
1 1 Slide Simulation Professor Ahmadi. 2 2 Slide Simulation Chapter Outline n Computer Simulation n Simulation Modeling n Random Variables and Pseudo-Random.
Minnesota Wing Air Branch Director Course
Search Effort. The Balancing Act Limited Resources Limited Resources Planning Time in Search Area – how much time does it take to complete a search assignment?
DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING VII-SEMESTER PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY-II 1 CHAPTER NO.4 FORECASTING.
Kinematic Equations with Constant Acceleration If an object moves with constant acceleration, we can use four kinematic equations Some Assumptions and.
Reliability Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill.
Navigational Elements. Discussion What other steps do you think the American pilots could have taken to navigate to friendly territory? Read page 262.
PROBABILITY 4 corners review. A.One outcome or a collection of outcomes B. Based on relative frequency- what actually occurs during an experiment C. When.
CMWG Update to WMS Met 4/24 & 5/11 Continued Work on PRR 801 –Discussed outages as related to TCR Cases –ERCOT evaluates various outage combinations.
Decision Tree Analysis. Definition A Decision Tree is a graphical presentation of a decision-making process within a business which aims to highlight.
By Bala M. Dhareneni.  A pitch motion is an up or down movement of the nose of the aircraft  The pitch axis is perpendicular to the aircraft centerline.
Civil Air Patrol – California Wing Visual Search Patterns and Procedures Mission Scanner Course Chapter 10 Version 1.2 (1 March 2014)
Mission Aircrew Course Search Planning and Coverage
AIRE FY17 Aviation Incident Response Training.
Minnesota Wing Air Branch Director Course
Developed by Lt Col David Yost, NCR-MN-122
AIRE FY18 Aviation Incident Response Training.
Aircrew Tasks O-2022 DEMONSTRATE SCANNING PATTERNS AND LOCATE TARGETS (S) O-2102 DEMONSTRATE PLANNING AND FLYING A ROUTE SEARCH (P) O-2103 DEMONSTRATE.
777 Neptune Flight Planning.
Today’s agenda: Thin Film Interference.
Briefings and Debriefings
Aircrew Tasks O-2022 DEMONSTRATE SCANNING PATTERNS AND LOCATE TARGETS (S) O-2102 DEMONSTRATE PLANNING AND FLYING A ROUTE SEARCH (P) O-2103 DEMONSTRATE.
Presentation transcript:

Canadian Search Area Definition (CSAD) Minnesota Wing Air Branch Director Course

What is CSAD? Canadian Search Area Definition – A method of determining the POC for a missing aircraft using statistical information from a series of Canadian studies of crash locations.

Sources of Data Several studies of Air Distress Cases conducted by the Canadian Department of National Defense, Operational Research Branch between 1974 and An additional study was made by John Desmarais looking at 1999 cases in the United States. His results were comparable, though not identical, to the Canadian data.

The Goal of the Studies Where were missing aircraft found relative to their intended track? – Distance from LKP along the intended track, – Distance offset from the centerline of the intended track.

Findings Distance along track (without consideration of how far off course): – Cases were spread fairly uniformly along the track (97.4%). Why? – There was a concentration of cases near LKP and the destination. – Slightly more cases occurred in the last half of the track. Why? Distance offset from track--off course (without considering track distance) – There was no correlation between length of flight (actual or intended) and the distance offset from track centerline, – 61.8% of cases were found within 5 nm of track centerline, – 78.9% within 10 nm, – 82.9% within 15 nm, beyond which little was gained.

The Goal The goal was to define a search area large enough to be very likely to contain the missing aircraft, yet small enough to be able to be searched. Trading off these two elements, the researchers coined the CSAD search area: – A box, 10 nm on each side of the intended/expected route of flight. – Generates POC = 76.8%

Probability Along Track Probability the aircraft is between the LKP and a point (as a percentage of the intended route length) along the route of flight.

Probability of Offset Probability the aircraft is within a given distance from the centerline of the intended track.

So how do we use this? To use this method, you need: – LKP - Update your search area as your investigations refine LKP – Destination – Intended or expected route We can use CSAD to calculate POC: – POC = (Probability of Offset) / (Probability Along Track)

Limitations It is historical data based on where aircraft have been found in the past. Your pilot may not be “average.” Does not take into account clues or other factors. – Works good for initial searches when you have few clues. Once you have clues, use your judgment and experience.

Questions?