China Seminar Boulder, Colorado 2010 David Lampton John Hopkins University Version 2

Are American days behind us? Is China the world’s next Superpower? Power is moving from the U.S. to Asia- China. National Intelligence Report of 2008 (16 agencies agreed) The U.S. will be less dominant, but not necessarily in a decline. China sees the U.S on the decline, although less drastic than in Russia and our allies.

Who changed China’s Economic System? Deng Xiaoping Capitalism in China?

Why is China considered to be the next World power? In last 3 decades, China has moved 300 million people out of poverty & quadrupled the average person’s income Exports to the U.S. increased by 1600% in past 15 years. China is considered to be the “Workshop of the World”!

China is world power but does not want….. China does not want to be “ world leaders” or “police of the world.” They want to be recognized as a powerful country & are very proud of their accomplishments! They want to continue their own economic growth and development of their country!!

Powerful just like the United States! Nuclear Power Permanent Member of Security Council & Veto Power.

Second Largest economy in the World!

World’s largest army & largest pop- 1.3 billion

Largest army but still spends less then U.S. on military

China’s government says they want a “Peaceful Rise”. Will China use it’s power in a way that is constructive towards U.S., good chance but not guaranteed. The U.S. national policy towards China will help to create either a positive or negative environment. U.S. can influence China’s rise but not control it. China has a present strategy that many say the U.S can learn from.

Brain/Intellectual Power

Intellectual Power Education Chinese are sending more students to the west for training. In 1978 the education was at the level of Cambodia Chinese government has quadrupled education (for higher education); many new universities cities have been developed in just 1 decade. The government has doubled the % of the GDP in research and development

Infrastructure

Intellectual Power! Infrastructure Chinese government is using its money to invest in intelligent ways- infrastructure over military. Major investments in railroad systems, luxurious train system. Investment in roads, and all other forms of transportation. GDP- China’s debt is very low about 15% of GDP, the U.S. is much higher, 89-90% of debt. Major investments in Green Technology!!

China’s High Speed Train

Chinese Premier-Hu Jintao Harmonious Society The State will do more for society, more social programs In return, people should trust & support the govern. Revitalization of philosophies & religions Continues economic policies of Deng Xiaoping.

Top leaders in China are all engineers!

Internet in China = political expression 1997 Internet starts in China, by 2008 most internet users in the world! Internet has created active citizenship participation-blogs, chat rooms- social mobilization Internet is filtered, censored.

Stop here If classes are doing projects on Human Rights Issues, Environmental Issues and or Infrastructure we can use the last two slides.

Freedom of Expression? Sometimes? Liu Xiaobo-Charter O8- calls for political reform. Religion is still officially illegal, but is tolerated today as long as not a threat to CCP! Falun Gong (religion) CCP banned religion & began national crackdown.

Freedom of Expression Nail House- Communist propaganda machine said don’t report on story, but bloggers got a hold of story and reported! Xiamen protest- (industrial pollution)- river water pollutants Weng’an riots-alleged police cover-up of girls murder.

Industrial waste of the world! China is making everything for the world- industrial world. We outsourced all our jobs and outsourced all the pollution too! They get the blame but they are suffering from pollution on their own population!