Lammer Mark Fielding-Pritchard mefielding.com1
What are we hedging? Don’t hedge pounds Receipt $490, payment $1640, net payment $1150 Write this, marks for matching and not hedging pounds mefielding.com2
Forward Contract Payment $1150 Hedge for 5 months 3 month rate , 12 month rate Therefore 1.65c over 9 months =.1833c per month or.37c in 2 months = /1.9029= UKP mefielding.com3
Money Market Hedge Payment $1150 Put on deposit $s 2%x 5/12= 0.833% 1150/ = $1141 Put on deposit $1141 Buy at = UKP= $1141/ = UKP Assume we borrow pounds 5.5 x 5/12= 2.29 x = UKP mefielding.com4
Futures Payment $1150 Sell pounds December ( /1.8986)/62500= 10 On 1 June Sell 10 Decembers mefielding.com5
Futures On 1 November buy back Base risk on 1 June = That will have declined by 5/7, so basis risk = Spot on 1/11 = Therefore futures price = = mefielding.com6 Sold Buy Gain c x x 10$375 $1,150, at spot /1.9029= UKP604142
Options December Puts c c c mefielding.com7 ($1150/1.9000)31250= 19 Buy 19 December puts with a strike price of $1.90 Premium price 4.34c x x 19= UKP13452
Options On 1 November spot = Therefore we won’t exercise ( /1.9029) = mefielding.com8
Result UKP Forward MMH Future Option mefielding.com9
Dollar Imports mefielding.com10 Difference from T0 YearExch Rate$ PV
c) Economic Exposure Economic exposure risk is the risk that positive NPV projects become negative due to currency fluctuations Here the dollar is strengthening so costs are increasing We can match projects so we have projects which generate funds in $s Swaps offer us the opportunity to fix medium term liabilities US Export Credit Guarantee Finance may be available if we are importing US goods mefielding.com11