The Economic Outlook for US Cotton 2007 Prepared by Economic Services Gary Adams Steve Slinsky Shawn Boyd Michelle Huffman.

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Presentation transcript:

The Economic Outlook for US Cotton 2007 Prepared by Economic Services Gary Adams Steve Slinsky Shawn Boyd Michelle Huffman

Macroeconomic Environment

US Crude Oil Spot Price

World Economic Growth

US Federal Budget Surplus CBO Jan. ’07 Forecast

CBO Ag Baseline Spending

US Net Farm Income

US Cotton Demand

US Cotton Textile Imports

US Cotton Mill Use

US Exports & The International Market

US Upland Export Commitments

(Million Bales) Aug05-Jan06Aug06-Jan07Difference Mexico Turkey China Total

China Cotton Supply & Use

India Cotton Supply & Use

Foreign Cotton Production & Use

US Cotton Exports

US Cotton Supply

2007 US Planting Intentions 2006 Actual 2007 Intentions Percent Change Southeast3,3532, % Mid-South4,2353, % Southwest6,8356, % West % Total Upland14,94812, % ELS % All Cotton15,27413, %

US Cotton Yield

US Cotton Production

US Cotton Production & Use Mill Use Exports

US Cotton Ending Stocks

World Cotton Supply & Demand Mill Use Production

Cotton Stocks-to-Use U.S. Rest of World

Cotton Stocks/Use vs A Index

Nearby NY and “A” (FE) Index

The Economic Outlook for US Cotton 2007 Prepared by Economic Services Gary Adams Steve Slinsky Shawn Boyd Michelle Huffman