Future Analytics Consulting SMI2G Presentations January 26 th and 27 th 2016 Dr. William Hynes Future Analytics Consulting (FAC)

FAC - Who we are SME based in Dublin, Ireland. Strategic and urban planning, development and socio-economic consultancy services, working with public and private sector clients throughout Ireland, the UK and across Europe. FAC advocates an evidence-based approach in all projects, and specialises in data analytics and supporting technical research delivery. Core research interests include strategic planning in a range of themes including economic, socio-economic, healthcare, resilience and risk, transport, quality of life, performance indicators, and critical infrastructure/asset management.

EU projects involvement Successfully won nine FP7 and H2020 projects: – 7 within Secure Societies strand – 1 within Smart Cities strand – 1 within Marie Skłodowska-Curie strand Coordinator of two EU projects within Secure Societies strand: – HARMONISE ( ) A Holistic Approach to Resilience and SysteMatic ActiOns to Make Large Scale UrbaN Built Infrastructure SEcure – RESILENS ( ) Realising European Resilience for Critical Infrastructure

Examples of FAC contributions and experience with EU research Co-ordinator

CIP Prevention, detection, response and mitigation of the combination of physical and cyber threats to the transport infrastructure of Europe

Key Challenges and Goals Need to develop comprehensive, yet installation specific risk and resilience approaches and tools to secure the integrity of critical infrastructures (CIs) in the face of probable and unpredictable disruptions. Solutions for CI to prevent, detect, respond and mitigate physical and cyber threats are specifically required.

Vision for priority areas of this call Facilitate a clear understanding of the selected CI needs and requirements. Prevention, detection, response and mitigation of potential consequences over CI lifespan. Incorporate physical and cyber threats, their interconnections, cascading effects. Methods for sharing information with relevant stakeholders and public. Analysis of the specific CI vulnerabilities, and the development of operational detection tools.

Potential FAC contributions User engagement for defining project framework. Quantitative and semi-quantitative hazard and vulnerability assessment methods. Formulation of measurable multi-hazard risk and resilience indicators for monitoring CI systems. Multi-criteria decision analysis. Development and validation of developed tools.

DS Cyber Security for SMEs, local public administration and Individuals

Key Challenges and Goals Few cyber security solutions have been designed with the human factor in mind which hampers proper decision making and adequate usage. The aim is to develop innovative solutions with a high degree of usability and automation while ensuring that the end-users retain an adequate degree of cyber situational awareness and control. Factors focusing on psychological and behavioural factors (including gender) that affect cyber security at individual or organizational levels will be addressed. Proposals have to address the needs of private and public security end users alike.

Vision for priority areas of this call Investigate the competiveness of European ICT security products and services catering to the needs of SMEs, local public administrations and individuals. Examine and outline potential hindrances to resilience against widespread cyber security threats facing SMEs, local public administrations and individuals. Propose effective cybersecurity solutions through usability advancements and increased automation.

Potential FAC contributions Stakeholder and relevant end-users consultations to support solutions development. Contribute to the design of the security strategies and methodologies. Knowledge of SME operations and requirements. Development and validation of cyber- security solutions (including standardisation). Communication and situational awareness.

DS Economics of Cyber Security

Key Challenges and Goals Many cyber security failures can only be explained and appropriately addressed by examining the problem through not only from the technical point of view but also through a deep societal, institutional and economic analysis. Current structures at institutional level, as well as incentive frameworks (financial or regulatory, positive or negative) apparently do not provide adequate coverage to threats.

Vision for priority areas of this call Contribute to the “Incentive and Business Model strand”. Identify incentives and the right balance between cooperative and regulatory approaches to information sharing regarding incidents and vulnerabilities. A consideration of the behavioural aspects of security and privacy. Investigate the opportunities and risks of information security markets.

Potential FAC contributions Stakeholder and relevant end-users consultations to support solutions development. Contribute to the understanding of information on security failures. Knowledge of risk based assessment methods. Contribute expertise in societal resilience to cyber risks through more efficient and effective institutional and incentive structures.

SEC-01-DRS-2016 Integrated Tools for Response Planning and Scenario Building Dr. William Hynes Future Analytics Consulting (FAC)

Key Challenges and Goals Sectors, disciplines and actors involved in disaster risk management are not sufficiently interlinked. This prevents efficient response planning and the building of realistic multidisciplinary scenarios. Stronger partnerships among research, policy, (research or monitoring) institutes, industry/SMEs communities and practitioners, in particular first responders, are required for better preparedness of societies to cope with complex crisis situations. Support tools that can be used operationally by a large variety of decision-makers and first responders.

Vision for priority areas of this call Properly address disaster risks in context of EU civil protection mechanisms, also drawing from IPCC recommendations and Sendai framework. Integration of operational support tools usable by relevant emergency stakeholders. Strategies to improve the efficient response capacity of the EU especially in frame of request for assistance mechanism. Enhance knowledge of existing relevant capabilities and best practices learnt from previous experiences. Development of tools and scenarios with direct involvement of local authorities and end-users. Development of novel visual interfaces and user- friendly tools enhancing stakeholders and population awareness and involvement.

Potential FAC contributions Stakeholder engagement for defining project framework. User expertise in demographics and societal planning for scenario development. Development of resilience and risk assessment approaches incorporating IPCC and Sendai framework objectives (especially with regards to climate change). Development and validation of novel visual interfaces and demonstrable cross-sector tools which can be used for disaster monitoring and response planning.

SEC-02-DRS-2016 Situational Awareness Systems to Support Civil Protection Preparation and Operational Decision Making

Key Challenges and Goals The need for technologies which can gather or provide information from a wide variety of sources to improve the situational awareness of civil protection actors to take proper coordinated decisions for efficient action in times of crisis. A framework focused on understanding the psychological, cultural, language and societal awareness of such crisis situations.

Vision for priority areas of this call Situational awareness systems which can be customised by specific civil protection authorities. The developed systems should be adaptable to various risks and crisis scenarios, especially in the context of cross border cooperation. Where possible, involvement of first responders in order to ensure full operability of systems.

Potential FAC contributions Stakeholder and relevant end-users consultations to support system development. Investigation of existing systems, previous experiences and exploration of their limitations. Plan for improving cooperation between actors in EU and associated countries. Project dissemination. Design exploitation strategy for the developed situational awareness tools.

SEC-06-FCT-2016 Developing a Comprehensive Approach to Violent Radicalisation in the EU from Early Understanding to Improving Protection

Key Challenges and Goals Radicalisation (although the roots have not been properly identified) have resulted in violent acts which can have a huge impact on the society and its citizens. A better understanding of the causes and processes leading to radicalisation may therefore lead to innovative, ethical solutions to counter violent actions taken by radicalized individuals.

Vision for priority areas of this call Comparative analysis of different types of policies including counter-propaganda techniques currently available. Improved description of competencies, skills and characteristics of the various types of practitioners involved in preventing, detecting or countering violent extremism. Improved information exchange between the different actors involved. Field-validation of new approaches to anti- radicalisation directly applicable to support practitioners.

Potential FAC contributions Conducting comparative analysis of different policy types, and impact analysis of potential prevention approaches which can be applied. Plan for improving information exchange between the different actors.. Testing and validation of the proposed anti- radicalisation strategies. Project dissemination. Design exploitation strategy for the developed situational awareness tools.

SEC-07-FCT-2016 Human Factor for the Prevention, Investigation, and Mitigation of Criminal and Terrorist Acts Sub-topic 2: New methods to prevent, investigate and mitigate cybercriminal behaviours

Key Challenges and Goals A European Security Model which builds upon the analysis of the human factors, at the root of the design of security strategies and methodologies, is needed. This Model would encompass: the development of a common understanding of security issues among EU security practitioners, as well as of the causes and effects of insecurity among EU citizens; common EU methodologies to be implemented by security practitioners. The same applies to the innovative technologies and methodologies for financial crime. Law Enforcement Agencies need new equipment to counter such developments.

Vision for priority areas of this call A policy-making toolkit, for security policy- makers, to advance towards a future European Security Model. Common approaches for assessing risks/threats and identifying relevant risk-based security measures, including acceptance tests and cost- benefit considerations. Better understanding of how the citizens perceive security and how it affects their feeling of insecurity. Toolkits for law enforcement agencies and improving the perception by the citizens that Europe is an area of freedom, justice and security.

Potential FAC contributions Stakeholder and relevant end-users consultations to support tool development. Contribute to the design of the security strategies and methodologies. Incorporation of societal and information considerations to the proposed models. Development and demonstration of test scenarios for the proposed tools. Facilitate tool testing. Project dissemination. Design exploitation strategy for the developed tools.

SEC-12-FCT-2016 Technologies for prevention, investigation and mitigation in the context of fight against crime and terrorism Sub-topic 2: Cyber-crime: virtual/ crypto-currencies de-anonymisation/ tracing/ impairing where they support underground markets in the dark-net.

Key Challenges and Goals Law Enforcement Agencies (LEAs) are often lagging behind when tackling criminal activities supported by "advanced" technologies. New knowledge and targeted technologies for fighting both old and new forms of crime and terrorist behaviours supported by advanced technologies. Testing and demonstration of newly developed technology by LEAs involved in proposals. Innovative curricula, training and (joint) exercises to be used to facilitate the EU-wide take-up of these new technologies.

Vision for priority areas of this call Development of tools utilisable by LEA to ensure crimes solved more rapidly, to reduce societal distress, investigative costs and the impact on victims and their relatives; New cyber-crimes are to be of specific interest in this proposal. Demonstrable tools that will enable the detection, aid prevention and enhance the capability of LEA to deal with such crimes will be developed.

Potential FAC contributions Overall Coordination of Proposal. Stakeholder and relevant end-users consultations to support tool development. Contribute to the design of the security strategies and methodologies. Incorporation of societal and information considerations to the proposed models. Development and demonstration of test scenarios for the proposed tools. Facilitate training exercises for proposed technology uptake. Project dissemination. Design exploitation strategy for the developed tools.

Contacts Dr. William Hynes Managing Director. Chartered spatial planner, surveyor and urban economist, with significant experience in academia and commercial roles. Coordinator of successful FP7 and H2020 projects HARMONISE and RESILENS. Stephen Purcell Director. Chartered surveyor and professional spatial planner, with experience in strategic and urban planning projects.

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