National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado State Profile: Arkansas Fayetteville, Arkansas September 25, 2010

Why Focus on Higher Education? 2

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 American Community Survey; Bureau of Economic Analysis, Kauffman Foundation The Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and Economic Strength (2008) 3

AK AR DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NVNJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD VT VA WA US AL CA CO CT FL ID KY MI MN MS MO NH NM TN TX UT WV WI WY $15,000 $22,000 $29,000 $36,000 $43,000 $50, AZ Personal Income Per Capita Percent of Adults Age with Bachelor’s Degrees 1980 Correlation = 0.64 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey Educational Attainment and Income slide 4

Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey AK AR DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD VT VA WA US AL CA CO CT FL ID KY MI MN MS MO NH NM TN TX UT WV WIWY $15,000 $22,000 $29,000 $36,000 $43,000 $50, AZ 1990 Personal Income Per Capita Percent of Adults Age with Bachelor’s Degrees Correlation = 0.76 slide 5

Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey PA AK AR DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR RI SC SD VT VA WA US AL CA CO CT FL ID KY MI MN MS MO NH NM TN TX UT WV WI $15,000 $22,000 $29,000 $36,000 $43,000 $50, AZ 2000 Personal Income Per Capita Percent of Adults Age with Bachelor’s Degrees Correlation = 0.80 WY slide 6

Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey NM NC AK AZ AR DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NV NJ NY ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD VT VA WA US AL CA CO CT FL ID KY MI MN MS MO NH TN TX UT WV WI WY $15,000 $22,000 $29,000 $36,000 $43,000 $50, Personal Income Per Capita Percent of Adults Age with Bachelor’s Degrees Correlation = 0.83 slide 7

Percent of Civilians Age Participating in the Workforce by Level of Education, 2008 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 American Community Survey PUMS File. slide 8

The Current College Completion Picture 9

Educational Attainment and Rank Among States Arkansas, 2007 Rank 50 Rank 48 Rank 43 Rank 41 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 American Community Survey. 10

Percent of Population Age with Less than a High School Diploma (2007) slide 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 American Community Survey; Tables B15001 and C15001

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 American Community Survey Percent of Adults Aged 25 to 64 with Associate Degrees and Higher (2008) 12

16.5 to to to to to10.3 Percent of Population Age with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher, 2000 Arkansas = 18.2% Source: U.S. Census Bureau 13

Adults with Some College (No Degree) as a Percent of Adults with Associate and Bachelor's Degrees (25 to 44 Year Olds) Source: ACS, Public Use Microdata Sample 14

Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group – Arkansas, U.S. & Leading OECD Countries Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2010 slide 15

Annual Increases in Undergraduate Degree Production Need by State (Adjusting for Current Levels of Educational Attainment and Population Growth) Source: NCHEMS How Each State Should Contribute to the National Goal of Producing 8.2 Million Additional Degrees by

The Student Pipeline 17

Student Pipeline, 2006 Source: NCES Common Core Data 2004; Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Education Opportunity; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006 Retention Rate File, 2006 Graduation Rates; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS Of 100 9th Graders, How Many… slide 18

Change in Population Age By Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau slide 19 …2,689,700 …1,044,516

Projected Change in Arkansas Population By Age and Race/Ethnicity, Source: Arkansas Department of Economic Security and Commerce 281,563 20

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 American Community Survey Percentage Difference in College Attainment Between Whites and Minorities (2008) 21

High School Graduation Rates - Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2006 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity slide 22

College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2006 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity slide 23

First-Time Freshman Directly from High School Attending Public Colleges as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, Fall 2010 Arkansas = 48.7% Source: Arkansas Department of Higher Education.

First-Time Freshman Directly from High School Attending Public Four-Year Colleges as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, Fall 2010 Arkansas = 29.0% Source: Arkansas Department of Higher Education.

First-Time Freshman Directly from High School Attending Public Two-Year Colleges as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, Fall 2010 Arkansas = 19.7% Source: Arkansas Department of Higher Education.

Source: NCES; Common Core Data, IPEDS Completions and Enrollment Surveys Input RatesThroughput Rates Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded per 100 FTE Undergraduates ArkansasU.S.Average of Top 5 States High School Graduation, College Participation and Completion (2008) 27

First-Year Retention Rates (2008) Source: NCES, IPEDS Enrollment Survey 28

Four, Five, and Six Year Graduation Rates at Public Four-Year Institutions Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate File; gr2008 Final Release Data File. 29

Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions and Enrollment Surveys Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded per 100 Full-Time Equivalent Undergraduates (2008) 30

Public Research Institutions - Bachelors Degrees Awarded per 100 FTE Undergraduates, Sources: NCES, IPEDS Completions File; c2007_a Early Release Data File Downloaded ; NCES, IPEDS Instructional Activity File; efia2007 Final Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS Unduplicated Headcount File; effy2007 Final Release Data File.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006 Enrollment File; ef2006a Final Release Data File.

Public Masters & Bachelors Institutions - Bachelors Degrees Awarded per 100 FTE Undergraduates, Sources: NCES, IPEDS Completions File; c2007_a Early Release Data File Downloaded ; NCES, IPEDS Instructional Activity File; efia2007 Final Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS Unduplicated Headcount File; effy2007 Final Release Data File.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006 Enrollment File; ef2006a Final Release Data File. Slide 32

Public Associate Colleges - Total Credentials Awarded (Less than Bachelors) per 100 FTE Undergraduates, Sources: NCES, IPEDS Completions File; c2007_a Early Release Data File Downloaded ; NCES, IPEDS Instructional Activity File; efia2007 Final Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS Unduplicated Headcount File; effy2007 Final Release Data File.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006 Enrollment File; ef2006a Final Release Data File. Slide 33

Degrees & Certificates awarded per FTE vs. Total Funding per FTE ( ) slide 34 Source: SHEEO State Higher Education Finance Survey 2008: NCES IPEDS Completions Survey

Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey Undergraduate Credentials Awarded per 100 FTE Students State, Local, and Tuition and Fee Revenues (2008) AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY US ,00011,00017,00023,00029,00035,000 High Degree Production, Low Funding Low Degree Production, Low Funding High Degree Production, High Funding Low Degree Production, High Funding Public Research Institutions: Undergraduate Credentials per 100 FTE Undergraduates and Total Funding per FTE Student ( ) 35

Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey Undergraduate Credentials Awarded per 100 FTE Students State, Local, and Tuition and Fee Revenues (2008) AL AK AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI US ,0006,00010,00014,00018,00022,000 High Degree Production, Low Funding Low Degree Production, Low Funding High Degree Production, High Funding Low Degree Production, High Funding Public Bachelors and Masters Institutions: Undergraduate Credentials per 100 FTE Undergraduates and Total Funding per FTE Student ( ) 36

Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey AL AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MTNE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WY US ,0006,0009,00012,000 Undergraduate Credentials Awarded per 100 FTE Students State, Local, and Tuition and Fee Revenues (2008) High Degree Production, Low Funding Low Degree Production, Low Funding High Degree Production, High Funding Low Degree Production, High Funding Public Two-Year Institutions: Undergraduate Credentials per 100 FTE Undergraduates and Total Funding per FTE Student ( ) 37

Median Earnings by Degree Level, 2008 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 American Community Survey PUMS File. Note: Figures for population age with positive wages working 35+ hours per week. 38

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and an Associate Degree, 2008 slide 39

Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and a Bachelor’s Degree, 2008 slide 40