Weekly Review and Outlook
Review of w/c 22 nd February 2016 a. Fundamentals and Sentiment – New Information (Economic Calendar) b. Fundamentals and Sentiment – Market Reaction c. Fundamentals and Sentiment – Financial Media d. Trades
Outlook for w/c 29 th February 2016 a. Fundamentals and Sentiment – New Information (Economic Calendar) b. Fundamentals and Sentiment – Financial Media c. Themes and Trading Ideas d. Current Position
entry and current stop original stop
entry and exit original stop
entry and current stop original stop
Euro – Portugal; Greece; Spain; more QE? (again); Brexit; migrants; ISIS; Russia + Turkey, Banking worries, Central Banks vs Governments UK – rate rise; Brexit = EZ disaster US – rate rise trajectory; Nov 2016 election, Primary season OPEC – war on US shale, Iran re-entry China slow down, currency support Japan – negative interest rates, more QE? Emerging Markets USD debt Global Macro
2. Euro weakness Trade Opportunities 3. JPY weakness 1. GBP weakness Current Climate: volatility and ranging (not trending). This requires shorter term trades with smaller stops. Consider H4 charts.
Themes and Trading Opportunities 1.GBP weakness - FTSE100, GBPUSD, GBPAUD, USDCAD 2.EUR weakness - EURUSD and EURAUD, EURCAD 3.JPY weakness – USDJPY, CADJPY 4.NZD weakness – AUDNZD, NZDUSD, NZDCAD A)Fundamentals with complementary sentiment (risk-on) B)Trade negative sentiment (risk-off) against fundamentals (JPY and EUR strength, COM weakness).