S OUTHERN N EVADA E CONOMIC O UTLOOK Presented to: UNLV OLLI Prepared by: November 2, 2015.

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Presentation transcript:

S OUTHERN N EVADA E CONOMIC O UTLOOK Presented to: UNLV OLLI Prepared by: November 2, 2015

Not All Recessions Are Equal 2

Great Recession lingered longer than previous recessions in Nevada US vs Previous Nevada Recession Recoveries: 1948-present Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 3

Nevada & Las Vegas are about 83% & 87% of the way to full recovery Nevada & Las Vegas MSA Job Recovery: Jan-07 to Sep-15 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 4

Leisure & Hospitality: Before & After 5

Las Vegas Leisure & Hospitality jobs surpassed pre-Recession peak Las Vegas MSA Leisure & Hospitality Employment: Sep-06 to Sep-15 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 6

Las Vegas visitor volume continues to climb into new all-time high territory Las Vegas Visitor Volume: Sep-05 to Sep-15 7 Source: Las Vegas Visitors & Convention Authority

Las Vegas convention attendance slow to recover, unlike total visitor volume Las Vegas Convention Attendance: Sep-05 to Sep-15 8 Source: Las Vegas Visitors & Convention Authority

Hotel room revenue recovering slowly, but starting to level off Las Vegas Hotel Revenue per Available Room: Sep-05 to Sep-15 9 Source: Las Vegas Visitors & Convention Authority

Baccarat buoying casino gaming revenues, slot play still struggling Clark County Gaming Revenue: Sep-05 to Sep Source: Nevada Gaming Control Board

Economics & Population: Before & After 11

State & MSA RCG Indices climbing for 4 years Nevada & Las Vegas MSA RCG Index: Sep-06 to Sep-15 Source: RCG Economics 12

Las Vegas jobs still growing, but at slower pace than in 2000s Las Vegas MSA Job Growth & Unemployment Rate: Sep-06 to Sep-15 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 13

Clark County retail sales still growing strong after 3 years, at new highs Clark County Taxable Retail Sales: Aug-05 to Aug Source: Nevada Department of Taxation

And Today? 15

16 While 2016 definitely won’t be another

It definitely won’t be another either 17

It’s going to look more like this... Still a bit wobbly but definitely a better year. 18  Fed Policy  Corporate Profits  Gas Prices  Job Growth  Population Growth  State Tax Structure

And Tomorrow & Beyond? 19

Las Vegas population expected to grow at more sustainable level Las Vegas MSA Population Forecast: 2000 to 2025 Source: Woods & Poole 20

Contact: John Restrepo Ext Questions?