AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Defining Issues Forum I: Understanding Military Value Summary of Army Processes 29 February 2016 Mr. Paul D. Cramer Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Army (Installations, Housing, and Partnerships)

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Total Army Analysis (TAA) Force Structure Brigade Combat Team (BCT) Other than BCT Military Value Analysis Total Army Analysis

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Overall Military Value Analysis (MVA) Methodology 1. Review value models used in previous MVA as a starting point. 7. Incorporate results into other analytic efforts; work to shape and prepare recommendations for Army senior leadership. 2. Add/delete/update attributes and value curves to reflect specific unit requirements and considerations for the current decision. 5. Collect data from designated organizations. 6. Calculate values for installation alternatives and perform sensitivity analysis. 3. Modify weighting scheme, using subject matter expert (SME) input. 4. Establish list of installations or sites for analysis. MVA is the starting point for further Army stationing analysis

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION All 40 BRAC 2005 Attributes After the model is run, sensitivity analysis is performed by adjusting these weights to determine their effect on the model results. Swing Weight Matrix: BRAC 2005 HIGHMEDIUMLOW Decreasing Operational Importance Importance Increasing ability to change Level of Importance The matrix below assigns basis points to an attribute which are then converted to a global weight. Mission (Very difficult to change) Mission Support (Difficult to change without External support) Mission Enablers (Change with Army dollars) Heavy Mnvr Area Direct Fire Brigade Capacity 100 Light Mnvr Area Indirect Fire Airspace 90 Int-Svc / Partnering Area Cost Factor 75 Housing Avail. Crime Index Urban Sprawl 50 C2 TGT Fac. RDTE Diversity 20 Supply & Storage Ops / Admin 10 Force Deploy Materiel Deploy 90 Critical Infra. Test Ranges Mob. History 75 Munitions Prod. Maint / Manuf. 50 Connectivity Work Force Availability 20 Ammo Storage MOUT 10 Applied & General Instructional 5 Buildable Acres 75 Soil Resiliency Accessibility Joint Facilities 50 Employment Op. Water Quantity Inst Unit Cost ENV. Elasticity 20 Medical Avail. Noise Contours Air Quality In-State Tuition 1051

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION 2005 Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) – 40 Attributes organized into 6 capabilities/categories: Training, Power Projection, Materiel and Logistics, Well-Being, Cost, and Future Options. – Attributes were chosen and developed based on extensive Senior Leader interviews and input from subject matter experts (SMEs) in order to demonstrate an installation’s value to the Army. – All Army installation in the United States were analyzed, so the attributes were chosen to represent a holistic model that showed value not only for combat units (e.g., Brigade Combat Teams [BCTs]), but all Army units and installation types. Grow the Army (GTA) and other BCT stationing actions (2007-present): – As these decisions only looked at stationing or removing BCTs, the scope of the model was reduced; models included attributes organized into 4 categories: Training, Power Projection, Well-Being, and Expansibility/Reversibility (previously Future Options). – For each model run, the attributes used in the previous model were reassessed to ensure they still represent the current Army priorities and methods of operation European Infrastructure Analysis (EIC): – Analysis of Army sites in Europe; while many attributes used were similar to ones from US models, differing priorities in Europe resulted in many different attributes, definitions, and weights. – 20 Attributes organized to align with the 4 EIC Military Value Criteria, while representing the three Army functions of station, train, and deploy. MVA Attributes Over Time MVA attributes, metrics, and weights evolve over time

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION DoD BRAC Recommendation Development Process Military Value & Other Data Calls Capacity Data Call Capacity Analysis Scenario Development Scenario Analysis/ COBRA Recommen- dations to Commission Analytical Approach Military Value Analysis Finalize Recommen- dations Key Aspects of Process CAPACITY MILITARY VALUE SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO ANALYSIS Inventory What Where How Big Usage Surge Selection Criteria What’s important How to measure How to weight Rank order 20-Year Force Structure Plan Capacity Analysis Military Value Analysis Transformational Ideas Guiding principles ) Selection Criterion 5 – Potential Costs & Savings (COBRA) Criteria 6, 7, 8 – Economic, Community, & Environmental Impacts Each analytical team meticulously follows and documents each step of the process with respective leadership reviewing and exercising continuous oversight MVA is just one part of a comprehensive Army process

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Backups

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Model Attributes: BRAC 2005 Training: – Direct Fire Capability – Indirect Fire Capability – MOUT Capabilities – Heavy Maneuver Area – Light Maneuver Area – Airspace – General Instructional Facilities – Applied Instructional Facilities – Air Quality – Noise Contours – Soil Resiliency Well-Being – Crime Index – Medical Availability – Housing Availability – In-State Tuition Policies – Employment Opportunities Cost Efficient – Workforce Availability – Area Cost Factor – Joint Facilities – C2 TGT for Facilities – Variable Cost Factor Project Power – Mobilization History – Force Deployment – Materiel Deployment – Operations/Admin Facilities – Accessibility – Connectivity Materiel and Logistics – RDT&E Mission Diversity – Test Ranges – Munitions Production Capability – Maintenance/Manufacturing – Inter-service and Partnering w/Industry Flexibility – Supply and Storage Facility – Ammunition Storage Capacity Future Options – Buildable Acres – Brigade Capacity – Environmental Elasticity – Urban Sprawl – Critical Infrastructure Proximity – Water

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Model Attributes: BCT Models GTA to 2013 Well Being Medical access to care: on and off post. Quality of Life (QOL) Facilities: Army Community Service, Child Development Center, Fitness Center, Chapels, Youth Centers. Family Housing: on and off post. Brigade Complex: whether the installation has facilities for a BCT and the quality of those facilities. Expansibility Buildable Acres: total of all the buildable acreage on the installation not counting training land. Urban Sprawl: expected density of people in 10- mile zone outside the installation. Connectivity: on and off post network infrastructure and commercial cell phone coverage. Geographic Distribution: Mean distance between installations. Training Maneuver Land: ratio of available and required land. Range Sustainability: percentage of training areas with future use restrictions. Training Facilities: ranges, battle command centers, and training support centers. Airspace: largest single restricted area and total of all restricted areas. Indirect Fire: largest indirect fire weapon fired and distance from firing point to impact area. Power Projection Deployment Infrastructure: rail cars per day, runway length, and aircraft parking. Seaport of Embarkation (SPOE) Proximity Aerial Port of Embarkation (APOE) Proximity Airspace and Indirect Fire were added in Brigade Complex was added in 2011, based on a previous GTA screening measure. Geographic Distribution was added in 2013 based on guidance from the SecArmy.

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Model Attributes: BCT Models 2013-present Well Being Medical access to care: assessment of the Medical Treatment Facility based on bed capability, out- of-area capability, case mix index, market share, and supported population. Quality of Life (QOL) Facilities: Army Community Service, Child Development Center, Fitness Center, Chapels, Youth Centers. Family Housing: number of houses and the quality of those houses based on age and recent renovations Brigade Complex: quantity, quality, and functional assessment of facilities for a BCT. Expansibility Developable Area: total of all the buildable acreage on the installation not counting training land. Population Impact: density of people in 10-mile zone outside the installation, plus a growth factor. Connectivity: long haul network, computing capacity, and critical infrastructure. Geographic Distribution: Mean distance between installations. Training Maneuver Land: total acres of maneuver land. Range Sustainability: amount of usable maneuver land with a factor applied for soil resiliency. Training Facilities: ranges, battle command centers, and training support centers. Airspace: largest single restricted area and total of all restricted areas Indirect Fire: Size and number of impact areas. Power Projection Surface Deployment Infrastructure: rail loading and classification tracks, rail marshaling area, truck loading ramps, unit cargo stationing, and truck loading area. Air Deployment Infrastructure: APOE runway length, MOG, and hot cargo pads Deployment Support Infrastructure: container transfer pad, inspection lanes, vehicle scales, and inspection staging area.

AMERICA’S ARMY: THE STRENGTH OF THE NATION Model Attributes: EIC Criterion 1: Ability to perform current and future mission requirements – Ability to Sustain, Maintain, and Support Battalion Sized Units – Ability to Conduct Direct Fire – Ability to Conduct Indirect Fire – Installation Status Report (ISR-F) Rating – Degree of Connectivity – Degree to which Site is Located within Urban Sprawl Criterion 2: Availability of land, facilities, and airspace – Availability of Heavy Maneuver Land – Availability of Family Housing – Availability of Light Maneuver Land – Availability of Training Facilities – Installation Status Report (ISR-Q) Rating – Availability of Medical Facilities – Availability of Quality of Life (QOL) Facilities Criterion 3: Ability to accommodate contingency and mobilization requirements – Availability and Capability of Deployment Infrastructure – Proximity to an Air Deployment Facility – Proximity to a Waterborne Facility Criterion 4: Cost and manpower implications – Cost to Move to a Major Training Area – Cost to Move to an Air Deployment Facility – Cost to Move to a Waterborne Facility – Cost to Travel to Appropriate DoD Dependent Schools