1. Informing Agricultural Trends and Livelihoods in West Africa By Mbaye Yade Coordinator ReSAKSS WA Exploring New Opportunities and Strategic Alternatives to Inform African Agricultural Development, Planning and Policy ----------------------------------- ReSAKSS Africa wide Conference UN-ECA Headquarters, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 23-24 November 2009

2. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 2 OUTLINE INTRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL FUNDING AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE MONITORING MDG1 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AG FUNDING, AG GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION CONCLUSION

3. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 3 INTRODUCTION MAIN ACTIVITY FIELD: –INFORMING DESIGN, IMPLEMENTATION AND MONITORING OF ECOWAP/CAADP THROUGH NAIP AND RAIP IN WA MAIN SOURCES OF THE PRESENTATION: –NATIONAL STUDIES ON TRENDS IN AGRICULTURE AND LIVELIHOODS –CAADP PROGRAMMES DESIGN PROCESS

4. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 4 AGRICULTURAL FUNDING DOWNWARD TRENDS SHARES IN GENERAL: >10% FOR SAHELIAN COUNTRIES AND < % FOR COASTAL COUNTRIES EXCEPT FOR GHANA AG BUDGET SHARES AG ACTUAL EXPENDITURES SHARES

5. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 5 AGRICULTURAL FUNDING (Cont.) SHARES HIGHER FOR SAHELIAN COUNTRIES Ratio Ag expenditures/ contribution to Economy Investment share in Ag expenditures

6. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 6 AGRICULTURAL FUNDING (cont.) RATIOS HIGHER FOR COASTAL COUNTRIES Share of internal resources Share of internal resources in Ag Investments in Ag Expenditures

7. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 7 AGRICULTURAL FUNDING (cont.) Share of individual sub sectors to ag expenditures Share of selected expenditure types to ag expenditures

8. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 8 AGRICULTURAL FUNDING (cont.) TRENDS OF RATIO AG EXPENDITURES/TOTAL EXPENDITURES

9. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 9 AGRICULTURAL FUNDING (cont.) REQUIRED GROWTH RATES OF AG FUNDING TO MEET 10 % IN 2015 OR 2020

10. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 10 AGRICULTURE PERFORMANCE SHARE OF AGRICULTURE IN WHOLE ECONOMY Period1990-19941995-1999 2000- 2004 2003- 2007 ECOWAS31% 32%31% ECOWAS without Nigeria 31%30% 29% Sahelian Countries28%29%28%27% Coastal Countries31%32%

11. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 11 AGRICULTURE PERFORMANCE (Cont.) DISTRIBUTION OF LAND AMONG CROPS IN WEST AFRICA

12. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 12 AGRICULTURE PERFORMANCE (Cont.) AGRICULTURAL GROWTH DURING THE 1990’S AND THE 2000’S

13. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 13 AGRICULTURE PERFORMANCE (Cont.) Contribution of individual sectors to Ag growth in the 1990’s Contribution of individual sectors to Ag growth in the 2000’s

14. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 14 AGRICULTURE PERFORMANCE (Cont.) PRODUCTIVITY TRENDS OF SELECTED CROPS 1990-2008

15. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 15 MONITORING MDG1 POVERTY INCIDENCE IN WEST AFRICA IN THE 1990’S (%)

16. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 16 MONITORING MDG1 (Cont.) POVERTY TRENDS DURING THE 1990s AND THE 2000s

17. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 17 MONITORING MDG1 (Cont.) Poverty reduction rate required for reaching the MDG1 by 2015 compared to current trends

18. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 18 MONITORING MDG1 (Cont.) REQUIRED POVERTY REDUCTION RATES TO HALVE 1990 POVERTY LEVEL IN 2020 OR 2025

19. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 19 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AG FUNDING AND AG GROWTH

20. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 20 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AG GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION

21. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 21 CONCLUSION IN GENERAL MAPUTO TARGET MET ONLY IN SAHELIAN COUNTRY AND GHANA BY CURRENT FUNDING GROWTH RATES ONLY LIBERIA AND NIGERIA ON TRACK TO REACH THE 10 % TARGET IN 2020 AND JOIN THE FIRST GROUP INVESTMENT SHARES HIGHER FOR SAHELIAN COUNTRIES BUT SAHELIAN COUNTRIES DEPEND HEAVILY ON DONORS FOR AG FUNDING SHARE OF AG SECTOR STABLE AROUND 30 % AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN COASTAL COUNTRIES AGRICULTURAL GROWTH IN THE 1990’S AND IN THE 2000’S IN GENERAL LOWER THAN THE 6% TARGET

22. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 22 CONCLUSION CROP PRODUCTION CONTRIBUTES MOST TO AG GROWTH – LIVESTOCK IMPORTANT IN SAHELIAN COUNTRIES 1990-2008: LIMITED PROCTIVITY GROWTH FOR FOOD CROPS BUT AREA EXPANSION CONTRIBUTED MO0RE TO PRODUCTION INCREASES REACHING MDG1 IN WEST AFRICA IS JEOPARDIZED BY THE NEGATIVE PERFORMANCE IN THE 1990’S WITH POVERTY INCIDENCE INCREASES IN MOST COUNTRIES ONLY CAPE VERDE AND GHANA LIKELY TO MEET MDG1 WITH CURRENT POVERTY REDUCTION TRENDS NO OTHER COUNTRY WILL HALVE INCIDENCE POVERTY LEVEL OF 1990  HIGHER GROWTH RATES REQUIRED IN AGRICULTURE AND OTHER SECTORS

23. Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa Page 23 MERCI DE VOTRE AIMABLE ATTENTION