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Classical Analysis Methods: LTV November 30 th 2010 David Dipple Institute of Fundraising: Analysis SIG
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Life Time Value Something that all charities need to know and know what it means.................but what does it mean?
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What Type of LTV? Gross Net To-date Time banded Predicted Lifetime(?) Fund So many Questions!
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LTV Levels Individual Household Product Campaign Method Why are we building it?
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Individual vrs Group This is a very important distinction – especially if cost is to be included. Is it fair that a small number of supporters are allocated a massive recruitment cost if they come in from a campaign that bombs? What about the recruitment source?
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So many costs – but which to use? Actual Smoothed Zero rated Trimmed Discounted Estimated
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So why LTV? Allows fundraisers to go beyond basic ROI and RFV Aids in understanding which are the most profitable supporters, group and recruitment sources
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Predicted LTV – An example RecruitmentRecruitedTotal ValueAverage value Channel 15000£60,000£12 Channel 24000£40,000£10 Supporters recruited by two different channels – Which is best? RecruitmentYear 0year+1year+2Year+3Year+4 Channel 1100%30%20%10% Channel 2100%70%50%30% Recruitment Stats Retention Stats
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Linking Value and Retention to Get Predicted LTV RecruitmentYear 0year+1year+2Year+3Year+4 Channel 1£60,000£18,000£12,000£6,000 Channel 2£40,000£28,000£20,000£12,000 Cumulative Value
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Linking Value and Retention to Get Predicted LTV RecruitmentYear 0year+1year+2Year+3Year+4 Channel 1£60,000£78,000£90,000£96,000£102,000 Channel 2£40,000£68,000£88,000£100,000£112,000
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Any Questions? David Dipple, Tangible Ltd. David.dipple@tangible.uk.com
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