1. Hot Topic Meeting by: Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh & The Scottish Executive Health Department Pandemic Flu Planning Scotland’s Health Response 5 th June 2007 Queen Mother Conference Centre

2.  Preparing for Pandemic Flu in Scotland RCPE/Scottish Executive Meeting 5 June Kenneth Hogg Public Health and Wellbeing Scottish Executive

3.  Summary  Recap on possible impact  Reflect on progress  Highlight key priorities

4.  Impact in Scotland  One or more waves: each around 3 months  Attack rate: 1.25 to 2.5 million people ill  5,100 - 63,000 additional deaths in Scotland  25-50% of staff may be absent over the pandemic  Plan for absence levels up to 50% during peak week

5.  Health impacts  25 - 50% of population showing symptoms of flu  10 - 25% of symptomatic cases may develop complications  0.5 - 4% of symptomatic cases may need hospitalisation  6 days average hospital stay for those with severe illness; 11 days if immediately life threatening

6.  Progress: within NHS  NHS Board plans  Assessing progress; exercising  NHS Boards’ pandemic flu co-ordinators  Awareness raising  Pandemic Flu Website and Newsletter

7.  Progress: at national level within Scotland National framework Frontline Healthcare services National Pandemic Flu helpline Service and patient prioritisation Workforce Adult community care NHS performance targets Vaccination

8.  Progress: working within the UK  UK Scientific groups  Committee on ethical aspects of pandemic influenza  Range of working groups: eg surveillance, workforce, pharmacy, primary care  Communications work

9.  Progress: planning beyond health  Transport  Management of excess deaths  Telecoms, fuel, water and sewerage, food  Business  Education

10.  Key priorities  Primary care  Community care  Service and patient prioritisation  Workforce planning Key messages  Making good progress  Mapped a way ahead  We have the skills to solve the problems Looking ahead

11. Hot Topic Meeting by: Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh & The Scottish Executive Health Department Pandemic Flu Planning Scotland’s Health Response 5 th June 2007 Queen Mother Conference Centre