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Germany after March 11 th Dr. Alexander Wolski VP Business Development Varna, June 2 nd 2011.

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Presentation on theme: "Germany after March 11 th Dr. Alexander Wolski VP Business Development Varna, June 2 nd 2011."— Presentation transcript:

1 Germany after March 11 th Dr. Alexander Wolski VP Business Development Varna, June 2 nd 2011

2 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.2 Retrospective since March 11 th The Fukushima Tsunami

3 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.3 Retrospective since March 11 th Political situation in Germany ► Prompt controversial discussion about the use of nuclear energy ► followed by a moratorium State elections at the end of March March 11 th

4 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.4 Retrospective since March 11 th Media and Public Media  focus on the Fukushima incident more than on the natural catastrophe  emotional reporting Public  Geiger-tubes and iodine tablets sold out in Germany  72 % want the immediate shutdown of the 7 oldest NPPs  53 % want all German plants should be shut down immediately  70 % think that a similar accident could also happen in a German plant 68 % consider the moratorium an election campaign maneuver

5 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.5 Retrospective since March 11 th Political situation in Germany ►Bildunterschrift / ► Government implements a three-months- moratorium on the lifetime extension of eight NPPs out of 17 to perform strict new safety reviews of all plants March 11 th March 14 th

6 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.6 Retrospective since March 11 th Political situation in Germany March 11 th March 14 th ► Germany requests joint European Safety Standards ► European Commission - led by Mr. Oettinger - implements a working group to design Stress Tests for European NPPs March 16 th Council of Energy Ministers, 21/03/2011 Günter Oettinger, Commissioner for Energy Tamás Fellegi, Hungarian Minister of National Development «… every nuclear plant must be thoroughly checked, and a set of criteria must be applied… we need common standards in Europe…»

7 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.7 Retrospective since March 11 th Political situation in Germany March 11 th March 14 th ► Ministry of Environment tasks the German Reactor Safety Commission (RSK) to review German NPPs March 16 th «…to draft (…) a safety review and (…) to assess the results of the review carried out on this basis (…) with consideration of the knowledge available about the events in Japan(…) with respect to (…)current design limits and how robust the German NPPs are regarding beyond-design-basis events (…) » March 17 th

8 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.8 RSK Questionnaire Cologne 5.4.2011 Finland EU commission WENRA 1 Flooding Earthquakes France Germany Single or combined initiating event exceeding design basis Power supply loss Cooling system loss Accident management Cyber attack Airplane crash Third party attack (from inside and outside) Loss of safety functions Single or combined initiating event

9 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.9 Retrospective since March 11 th Political situation in Germany March 11 th March 14 th ► 7 reactors have to be shut down for 3 months, the duration of the moratorium March 16 th March 17 th March 18 th

10 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.10 Plan before March 11 th allows an average 12- year extension of the German NPPs’ lifetime Neckarwestheim-2 Emsland Isar-2 Brokdorf Phillippsburg-2 Grohnde Grundemmingen C Grundemmingen B Krümmel Grafenrheinfeld Phillippsburg-1 Isar-1 Unterwesser Biblis B Brunsbüttel Neckarwestheim-1 Biblis A Period corresponding to the already allocated quantity of electricity Life extension 2011

11 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.11 Emsland Isar-2 Brokdorf Grohnde Krümmel Isar-1 Biblis B Biblis A Life extension 2011 200520102015202020252030 The ‘Three Months Moratorium’ Neckarwestheim-2 Phillippsburg-2 Grundemmingen C Grundemmingen B Grafenrheinfeld Phillippsburg-1 Unterwesser Brunsbüttel Neckarwestheim-1 Period corresponding to the already allocated quantity of electricity 890 MW ∑ 7.075 MW 20352040 1/3 of the installed German nuclear capacity lost in 1 week

12 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.12 Retrospective since March 11 th Political situation in Germany March 11 th March 14 th ►Installation of the ‘Ethics Commission’ to evaluate the future of nuclear in Germany in addition to the technical expert group RSK (Reactor Safety Commission) March 16 th March 17 th March 18 th 14 members church, unions, science, politics etc. March 22 nd

13 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.13 Retrospective since March 11 th Political situation in Germany March 11 th March 14 th ►State Elections in Rheinland Pfalz and Baden Württemberg ►First Green State Prime Minister March 16 th March 17 th March 18 th March 22 nd March 24 nd Confirmation of Red / Green with strong increase of Green Party results Change from Conservatives to joint Green/Red parliament – led first time in Germany by the Green Party

14 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.14 Results of Safety Review 15.5.2011 Evaluation of robustness of each individual station against defined criteria (specific attention to cliff-edge effects);  Level 1: Realistic site specific conditions all fullfilled,  Level 2: Existing margins with regard to events beyond the current design  Level 3: Inherent safety against any specific external impact Selected Results:  All units fullfill all requirements (Level 1)  No correlation between robustness and age of unit  Regarding the seismic design the RSK sees potential for safety margins in the magnitude of one intensity level  Regarding flooding all plants demonstrate significant design margins with respect to the 10,000-yearly flood  All plants fullfil at least Level 2 in case of a long-lasting SBO  Loss of Service Water can be controlled in all plants  13 of 17 units are safe against medium-size commercial aircraft (Konvoi plants even against large commercial aircraft)

15 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.15 Germany’s Turn in Energy – A Common Effort for the Future 30.5.2011 Fukushima has devastated the trust in expert opinions about safety of NPPs Fukushima changed the public’s risk perception; people realize that large accidents can really occur Risk has to be assessed all-inclusively, poisoning of the society’s atmosphere shall be considered Conflicting goals with climate-protection, industrial competitiveness etc. must be managed in a sustainable way Security of Supply is not jeopardized, secured supply in Germany exists of 90 GW (20 GW from NPP), whereas peak demand is at 80 GW

16 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.16 Germany’s Turn in Energy – A Common Effort for the Future 30.5.2011 The phase-out of Nuclear Power can be achieved within one decade from now The phase-out is necessary to eliminate risks from Nuclear Power in Germany for the future The phase-out is possible since less risky alternatives are available The NPPs already off-line shall remain permanently shut down, the power is not required

17 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.17 Germany’s Turn in Energy Consensus for nuclear phase-out exists between ALL political parties The government has already announced adoption of the recommendations of the ethics commission  The 7 oldest units will remain shut-down  Further 7 units will be shut down until 2021  The youngest 3 units will be permanently shut down until 2022 Parliamentary approval process will start on June 6

18 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.18 Germany’s Turn in Energy Neckarwestheim-2 Emsland Isar-2 Brokdorf Phillippsburg-2 Grohnde Grundemmingen C Grundemmingen B Krümmel Grafenrheinfeld Phillippsburg-1 Isar-1 Unterwesser Biblis B Brunsbüttel Neckarwestheim-1 Biblis A Period corresponding to the already allocated quantity of electricity Life extension Nuclear Free Electricity Supply by 2022

19 All rights are reserved, see liability notice. Germany after March 11th - Bulatom - Dr. Alexander Wolski - June 2nd - AREVA NP GmbH Proprietary - RESTRICTED AREVA - © AREVA - p.19 Any reproduction, alteration or transmission of this document or its content to any third party or its publication, in whole or in part, are specifically prohibited, unless AREVA has provided its prior written consent. This document and any information it contains shall not be used for any other purpose than the one for which they were provided. Legal action may be taken against any infringer and/or any person breaching the aforementioned obligations.

20 Germany after March 11 th Dr. Alexander Wolski VP Business Development Varna, June 2 nd 2011


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