1. P. JägersbergProgress Report ELPEN. European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network Reporting back... IFCN Dairy Report 2001: 20 countries –Europe: D, F, ESP, UK/NI, DK, Se, A, CH FADN-data: available since May 2001 –Data analysis for assessing vulnerable farms –Method for cost comparison with FADN data EUROSTAT: Regio, German board of statistics: Regional data 1 Data

2. P. JägersbergProgress Report ELPEN. European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network Reporting back... FADN-vulnerability analysis 2 Results

3. P. JägersbergProgress Report ELPEN. European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network Reporting back... IFCN cost comparison 2001 2 Results

4. P. JägersbergProgress Report ELPEN. European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network FAL-Study “Abolishment of milk quotas” –Szenario: Reference szenario: Agenda 2000 Abolishment of the quota in 2007/08 Milk price reductions by 22, 25 and 30% Transfer payments by the way of milk & grassland premia –Main issue: Can income losses resulted by milk price reduction be compensated by farm growth strategies? –Opinion survey among advisors 2 Results Reporting back...

5. P. JägersbergProgress Report ELPEN. European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network FAL-Study “Abolishment of milk quotas” 2 Results Reporting back...

6. P. JägersbergProgress Report ELPEN. European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network FAL-Study “Abolishment of milk quotas” 2 Results Reporting back...

7. P. JägersbergProgress Report ELPEN. European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network Assessment of production costs

8. P. JägersbergProgress Report ELPEN. European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network Workplan next 6 month WP 5 Complete FADN data analysis by comparison of marginal and average costs per kg milk Expansion IFCN-network Europe: IRL, NL, I, PT Policy simulation for European typical farms –Policy impact analysis –Farm adjustment Unused factor capacities Enlargement (barn, etc.) Stop milk production (move to other production systems?); case studies