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MID ELECTIONS; 2009 ¿WHY THESE RESULTS? JOSE ANTONIO CRESPO.

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Presentation on theme: "MID ELECTIONS; 2009 ¿WHY THESE RESULTS? JOSE ANTONIO CRESPO."— Presentation transcript:

1 MID ELECTIONS; 2009 ¿WHY THESE RESULTS? JOSE ANTONIO CRESPO

2 LOW VOTE TURNOUT

3 POSSIBLE REASONS OF PRI VICTORY - UNITY; DEMOCRATIC ELECTION FOR NATIONAL LEADER - NOT INTERNAL OR IDEOLOGICAL RENEWAL - LOW VOTE TURNOUT

4 VOTES LOST OR GAIN: 2006 VS 2009 PRI- PVEM PRI- PVEM + 2,235,000 + 2,235,000 ALL THE REST ALL THE REST - 6,985,000 - 6,985,000 DIFERENCE DIFERENCE - 4,750,000 - 4,750,000

5 NUMBER% WITH GOVERNORS 6 57 NO GOBERNORS 26 42 NATIONAL32 45 VOTE TURNOUT EN STATES WITH OR WITHOUT GOVERNOR ELECTION GOVERNOR ELECTION - PRI HAS NATIONAL PRESENCE EXCEPT IN MEXICO CITY

6 POSSIBLE REASONS OF PAN DEFEAT - ECONOMIC CRISIS - WAR AGAINST DRUG CARTELS - NOT A REAL CHANGE; NO DIFFERENCE FROM PRI - PRESIDENTIAL POPULARITY WITH NO ELECTORAL IMPACT

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9 POSSIBLE REASONS OF PRD DEFEAT - EXTRA-INSTITUTIONAL BEHAVIOR OF RADICAL WING - UNDEMOCRATIC ELECTIONS FOR NATIONAL LEADER - INTERNAL STRUGGLE – RISK OF RUPTURE

10 THE END


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