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Published byFelicia Small Modified over 8 years ago
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MID ELECTIONS; 2009 ¿WHY THESE RESULTS? JOSE ANTONIO CRESPO
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LOW VOTE TURNOUT
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POSSIBLE REASONS OF PRI VICTORY - UNITY; DEMOCRATIC ELECTION FOR NATIONAL LEADER - NOT INTERNAL OR IDEOLOGICAL RENEWAL - LOW VOTE TURNOUT
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VOTES LOST OR GAIN: 2006 VS 2009 PRI- PVEM PRI- PVEM + 2,235,000 + 2,235,000 ALL THE REST ALL THE REST - 6,985,000 - 6,985,000 DIFERENCE DIFERENCE - 4,750,000 - 4,750,000
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NUMBER% WITH GOVERNORS 6 57 NO GOBERNORS 26 42 NATIONAL32 45 VOTE TURNOUT EN STATES WITH OR WITHOUT GOVERNOR ELECTION GOVERNOR ELECTION - PRI HAS NATIONAL PRESENCE EXCEPT IN MEXICO CITY
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POSSIBLE REASONS OF PAN DEFEAT - ECONOMIC CRISIS - WAR AGAINST DRUG CARTELS - NOT A REAL CHANGE; NO DIFFERENCE FROM PRI - PRESIDENTIAL POPULARITY WITH NO ELECTORAL IMPACT
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POSSIBLE REASONS OF PRD DEFEAT - EXTRA-INSTITUTIONAL BEHAVIOR OF RADICAL WING - UNDEMOCRATIC ELECTIONS FOR NATIONAL LEADER - INTERNAL STRUGGLE – RISK OF RUPTURE
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