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Giorgio Cingolani Twenty years of transition: issues and problems Tables and figures.

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Presentation on theme: "Giorgio Cingolani Twenty years of transition: issues and problems Tables and figures."— Presentation transcript:

1 Giorgio Cingolani Twenty years of transition: issues and problems Tables and figures

2 Table 1 The political environment after 1989 Old paradigmNew paradigm Actors Segmented istitutionalized system, national populist movement Citizen, groups and party iniziatives, segmented istitutionalized system Issues State unity, party unity, popular mobilization, moral renewal Individual rights and freedom, free elections, lagal state, pluralist democracy, economic reform, national sovereignity Values Collectivism, nationalism (yugoslavism), historism, plebiscitism, solidarity, security, egalitarianism, socialism Individualism, capitalism, europeanism, ethnocentrism, nationalism, anti-socialism, ownership, freedom Type of behaviour Mass action, meetings, demostrations, factional conflict in the party, ruling majorities Protest politics, declarations, petitions, conflict between parties and/or groups, lobbying Source: Mirjana Kasapović, The structure and dynamics of the Yugoslav political environment and elections in Croatia, 1992.

3 Western Balkan countries Trade with European Union Table 2 Western Balkan countries Trade with European Union Source: European Commission

4 Table 3 Aid to Bosnia-Herzegovina 1996-2002 (million dollars) Donator 1996199719981999200020012002Totale Austria 96.844.938.528.522.514.210.9256.3 Belgium 2.64.34.05.71.36.01.925.8 Canada -8.212.314.35.510.66.957.8 France 7.25.05.1115.719.92.12.4157.4 Germany 39.933.043.765.091.527.019.4319.5 Italy 67.47.816.76.033.05.06.4142.3 Japan 25.034.257.336.424.49.614.7201.6 Holland 88.384.177.277.043.352.937.3460.1 Norwey 46.840.827.931.630.816.923.8218.6 Spain 12.26.122.930.334.825.227.8159.3 Sweden 30.131.224.630.423.929.027.0196.2 Great Britain 0.61.83.46.97.16.17.333.2 United States135.0185.0216.4218.985.8135.175.81052.0 Source: OECD, 2003; World Bank, Bosnia-Herzegovina: reconstruction, 2004

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7 Western Balkans population in Italy Table 4 Western Balkans population in Italy (stock) Year From country 2001 (1/1/2001) 2004 (1/1/2004) 2006 (1/1/2007) 2008 (1/1/2008) Albania 146.300240.421348.813401.900 Bosnia- Herzegovina 14.05816.03924.14227.356 Croatia 16.69021.05221.23221.308 Macedonia 26.05134.29163.24578.090 Serbia- Montenegro 40.15146.76664.07068.542 Source: M. Kupiszewski, Labour migration patterns, policies and migration propensity in the western Balkans

8 Source: UN Data and EBRD The first period of transition Growth in real GDP (per cent) 19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000 Albania -9,6-27,1-9,711,08,013,39,1-10,98,613,26,5 Bosnia- Herzeg. -7,5-15,0nd 28,886,037,015,69,65,5 Bulgaria -9,1-11,7-6,0-4,20,02,9-9,4-5,64,02,35,4 Croatia -7,5-15,0-11,7-8,05,96,85,96,82,1-1,53,0 Macedonia -7,5-15,0-6,6-7,5-1,8-1,11,21,43,44,34,5 Montenegro -7,5-15,0-27,2-30,52,56,213,94,24,0-6,73,1 Romania -8,7-6,2-13,81,0 7,13,9-6,1-4,8-1,12,1 Serbia -7,5-15,0-27,2-30,52,56,17,810,11,9-18,05,2

9 Table 5 Registered unemployment as a proportion of the labour force (%) Country/Year 199419982000 Albania18,017,616,9 Bosnia and Herzegovinand Bulgaria12,812,217,9 Croatia17,318,622,6 FYR Macedonia3041,444,9 Montenegro14,214,612 Romania10,910,310,5 Serbia14,214,612 Source: Alena Nesporova, Unemployment in the transition economies, in "Economic Survey of Europe" n° 2, 2002.

10 Source: UN Data and EBRD Table 6 The first period of transition Growth in real GDP (per cent) 19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000 Albania -9,6-27,1-9,711,08,013,39,1-10,98,613,26,5 Bosnia- Herzeg. -7,5-15,0nd 28,886,037,015,69,65,5 Bulgaria -9,1-11,7-6,0-4,20,02,9-9,4-5,64,02,35,4 Croatia -7,5-15,0-11,7-8,05,96,85,96,82,1-1,53,0 Macedonia -7,5-15,0-6,6-7,5-1,8-1,11,21,43,44,34,5 Montenegro -7,5-15,0-27,2-30,52,56,213,94,24,0-6,73,1 Romania -8,7-6,2-13,81,0 7,13,9-6,1-4,8-1,12,1 Serbia -7,5-15,0-27,2-30,52,56,17,810,11,9-18,05,2

11 Source: UN Data and EBRD Table 7 The second period of transition Growth in real GDP (per cent) 200120022003200420052006200720082009 1989= 100 Albania7,94,25,85,75,75,46,06,83,0 163 Bosnia- Herzeg.4,35,53,06,33,96,76,85,4-3,1 84 Bulgaria4,14,55,06,66,26,36,26,0-6,0 114 Croatia3,85,45,04,24,24,75,52,4-5,4 111 Macedonia-4,50,92,84,14,14,05,94,9-1,6 102 Montenegro1,11,92,54,44,28,610,77,5-4,1 92 Romania5,75,15,28,54,27,96,07,1-8,0 128 Serbia5,14,52,49,36,35,56,95,4-4,0 72

12 Table 8 Transition situation in 2009 Source: EBRD Transition Report 2009

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