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Export-Led Growth: 1980- Onwards 1980 1983 1989 2007 Outward Orientation Financial Liberalization
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Export-Led Growth: 1980- Onwards Economy at 1970’s: High inflation Unsustainable trade deficits High unemployment rates
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Export-Led Growth: 1980- Onwards External factors: Increases in oil prices (OPEC) Cyprus operation Economic crises in trade partners The collapse of the Bretton-Woods system USA Reaganomics UK Thatcherism
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Export-Led Growth: 1980- Onwards Stages of the import substitution: Consumption goods Etatism period Durable consumption goods Planned economy Intermediate goods Investment goods
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Structural Adjustment Program: January 24, 1980 General Principles: Long-term economy policy To end economic crisis Structural change Price Mechanism Automatic equilibrium Private sector The role of government
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Structural Adjustment Program: Policies 1. Pricing Goods and services market Labor market Money market Foreign exchange market
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Structural Adjustment Program: Policies 2. Outward Orientation Export promotion Exchange rate policy Export tax rebate system Cash premiums Export credits Import liberalization
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Structural Adjustment Program: Policies 3. Foreign Investment Expectation 4. Public Sector Reform To broaden the tax base Rationalization of public investment To improve the functioning of the SEEs Privatization
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Financial Liberalization: 1989 Liberalization of capital movements Transactions with foreign exchange is free
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Main Economic Indicators (%) GNP GrowthEmployment Growth Savings/GNPManufac./ GDP Agriculture/ GDP 1980-1.11.216.021.122.6 19833.30.916.223.919.6 19855.11.618.925.118.8 19891.92.123.625.316.7
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Main Economic Indicators (%) Exports/GNPImports/GNPCurrent acc. /GNP Foreign debt/GNP 19806.413.9-5.528.0 198315.719.6-3.735.7 198520.723.5-1.947.5 198923.524.00.952.0
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Main Economic Indicators (%) Inflation rateMonetary growth (M1) Nominal Depreciation R. 1980103.857.9142.0 198328.048.040.2 198543.939.740.9 198966.972.947.4
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Yeldan, 2001, s.52.
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